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Flamengo vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-73
29-24 14-17 20-20 29-12
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilSuper 8Super 8 - Quarter-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2025
Meetings · Flamengo v Vasco
14 Apr 2026
FLAM95
VASC75
27 Mar 2025
FLAM84
VASC78
26 Jan 2025
FLAM92
VASC73
08 Jan 2024
FLAM84
VASC79
10 Nov 2018
FLAM90
VASC70
30 Dec 2017
FLAM89
VASC81
11 Mar 2017
FLAM94
VASC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
102avg 81
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 81
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
92avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 81
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
96-50
96
50
+46
99avg 81
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
92avg 81
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 81
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
86-65
86
65
+21
81avg 81
A18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
13-13
21-15
16-19
23-13
18-17
34-17
24-25
16-20
39-15
21-27
18-17
30-18
18-27
27-10
14-20
21-20
14-24
25-8
22-37
19-11
21-17
23-17
18-15
18-12
30-14
26-18
22-6
27-21
30-14
20-12
19-14
28-32
23-24
22-15
14-24
24-25
26-14
26-19
10-7
159.5Avg total
88.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.071.5159.5+16.580%
Last 5 (5)89.266.2155.4+23.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.372.2142.5-1.833%
vs Weaker (24)86.771.1157.8+15.683%
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
70avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
64avg 70
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
79avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 70
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
72avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 70
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 70
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 70
H18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
12-17
22-21
32-23
23-14
13-9
21-21
24-20
16-19
21-21
23-28
19-20
13-23
16-29
15-17
25-19
13-9
22-16
29-20
17-18
19-20
10-18
15-15
25-22
21-22
18-29
20-27
20-21
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
156.2Avg total
76.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.679.6156.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)73.881.8155.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar (19)76.777.1153.8-0.453%
vs Weaker (8)71.068.1139.1+2.962%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
FlamengoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A18/01
NBB
83.1Avg total
45.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.536.279.6+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.035.276.2+5.856%-
Last 30 away (14)46.337.383.6+9.079%-
Last 10 (10)45.837.383.1+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.236.886.0+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.235.770.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker (24)45.536.381.8+9.275%-
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
74.8Avg total
35.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.935.169.0-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.434.669.0-0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)33.235.869.0-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.479.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (19)34.937.172.0-2.137%-
vs Weaker (8)33.131.264.4+1.938%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.6
56.0%
49.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.7
37.9%
31.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.9
72.5%
69.9%12.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.0
55.2%
49.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.8
28.9%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
69.9%14.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWLWWWW
Vasco
WWLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#7
+23.0
Net rating
-2.8
120.3
Offensive rating
102.8
97.3
Defensive rating
105.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.9%
3-point %
28.9%
62.6%
Assist %
72.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 102.8Defence97.3 · 105.6Shooting56.4% · 49.5%3-point %37.9% · 28.9%Ball care16.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds35.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Flamengo   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Flamengo wins
1
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Vasco v Flamengo50-59
08/01/24Flamengo v Vasco84-79
10/11/23Vasco v Flamengo65-68 OT
16/03/19Vasco v Flamengo67-107
10/11/18Flamengo v Vasco90-70
27/01/18Vasco v Flamengo75-89
30/12/17Flamengo v Vasco89-81
11/03/17Flamengo v Vasco94-86
28/01/17Vasco v Flamengo78-77
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25APinheiros86-65
17/01/25ACorinthians Paulista87-95
14/01/25HBoca Juniors96-61
13/01/25AToros del Chiriqui96-50
29/12/24HMogi81-60
27/12/24HSao Jose82-89
23/12/24APaulistano89-75
20/12/24HBauru94-79
17/12/24HToros del Chiriqui99-72
15/12/24HBoca Juniors70-69
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87
09/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-99
29/12/24HSao Jose69-75
23/12/24HBauru81-63
21/12/24HFranca69-88
12/12/24HBrasilia79-88
09/12/24HMinas81-64
06/12/24ASao Paulo87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Super 8 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vasco
Super 8 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas110100%82.066.0+16.0
2 Brasilia110100%85.075.0+10.0
3 Uniao Corinthians1010%75.085.0-10.0
4 Sao Paulo1010%66.082.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2914202992
Vasco2417201273
← all games of the day
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