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Vasco vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 79-88
16-19 21-21 23-28 19-20
Position#7
Record9-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.5
Vasco
Brazil
vs
Brasilia 🏆
Brazil
Position#6
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Brasilia
23 Nov 2025
VASC59
BRAS81
12 Dec 2024
VASC79
BRAS88
19 Nov 2023
VASC79
BRAS54
07 Mar 2019
VASC78
BRAS94
19 Jan 2017
VASC85
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
70-68
70
68
+2
55avg 71
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-72 OT
81
72
+9
75avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 71
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 71
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 71
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 71
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
80avg 71
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 71
A04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 71
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
70avg 71
H09/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
13-16
26-22
17-12
16-18
21-17
16-15
12-15
19-18
19-13
26-24
16-16
22-18
17-26
23-23
17-14
22-13
20-12
25-29
17-22
11-21
19-9
20-18
16-20
27-21
17-17
16-24
30-22
15-16
16-12
23-23
22-19
21-23
12-17
22-21
32-23
23-14
13-9
21-21
24-20
153.2Avg total
79.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.270.5144.7+3.764%
Season at home (6)73.770.7144.3+3.050%
Season away (8)74.670.4145.0+4.275%
Last 10 (10)79.473.8153.2+5.680%
Last 5 (5)80.074.0154.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.072.0138.0-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.975.2151.1+0.756%
vs Weaker (9)74.070.7144.7+3.367%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
70avg 65
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 65
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
79avg 65
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 65
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
58avg 65
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
66avg 65
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 65
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 65
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
89-67
89
67
+22
86avg 65
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
74avg 65
A07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
16-17
13-20
27-17
18-14
32-25
18-24
18-17
25-18
24-16
13-20
27-21
24-33
26-19
24-22
31-25
20-25
19-14
17-14
17-19
27-12
17-14
17-20
16-26
15-21
21-21
12-13
28-16
15-16
17-17
22-23
24-20
33-18
27-12
11-20
18-17
26-23
13-18
17-26
28-23
161.6Avg total
83.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.278.8161.0+3.569%
Season at home (4)79.275.0154.2+4.2100%
Season away (9)83.680.4164.0+3.156%
Last 10 (10)83.877.8161.6+6.090%
Last 5 (5)80.875.2156.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.391.6167.9-15.210%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.881.8168.7+5.083%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.5153.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
VascoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A01/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/12
NBB
68.5Avg total
35.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.669.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.432.868.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)33.936.270.2-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.868.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.866.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.734.066.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.034.669.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (9)34.435.069.4-0.633%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
NBB
81.5Avg total
44.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.383.6-5.017%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.345.787.0-4.423%-
Last 30 away (17)37.743.280.9-5.512%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.581.5+6.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.476.6+7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.947.284.2-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.539.081.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.2
53.1%
50.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.0
30.8%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.4%
72.7%16.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.814.3
48.0%
50.9%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.8
36.2%
33.0%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.018.6
80.9%
72.7%18.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WWWWLWLWWW
Brasilia
LWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#6
+7.6
Net rating
+7.8
105.4
Offensive rating
114.4
97.7
Defensive rating
106.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.8%
3-point %
36.2%
67.6%
Assist %
60.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 114.4Defence97.7 · 106.6Shooting49.5% · 51.3%3-point %30.8% · 36.2%Ball care16.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Vasco   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vasco wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24Brasilia v Vasco84-89
19/11/23Vasco v Brasilia79-54
07/03/19Vasco v Brasilia78-94
13/10/18Brasilia v Vasco76-77
19/01/17Vasco v Brasilia85-76
12/11/16Brasilia v Vasco95-72
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24HMinas81-64
06/12/24ASao Paulo87-84
04/12/24APaulistano76-70
17/11/24HCorinthians Paulista90-84
15/11/24ABotafogo66-68
12/11/24APato84-76
09/11/24HUniao Corinthians79-81
07/11/24HCaxias do Sul80-71
04/11/24AUnifacisa81-72 OT
01/11/24ACearense70-68
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AFlamengo84-90
05/12/24ABotafogo89-67
16/11/24AUniao Corinthians78-76
14/11/24ACaxias do Sul76-71
09/11/24HUnifacisa77-72
05/11/24HCearense73-72
02/11/24ACorinthians Paulista105-99
31/10/24APinheiros89-75
26/10/24HMogi86-80
23/10/24HSao Jose81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%50%75%
Points / game74.273.774.6
Allowed / game70.570.770.4
Point differential+3.7+3.0+4.2
Avg total144.7144.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %69%100%56%
Points / game82.279.283.6
Allowed / game78.875.080.4
Point differential+3.5+4.2+3.1
Avg total161.0154.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1513287%83.069.3+13.7
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia139469%82.278.8+3.5
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Vasco149564%74.270.5+3.7
6 Sao Paulo138562%80.178.5+1.6
7 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
8 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
9 Uniao Corinthians147750%78.081.4-3.4
10 Sao Jose157847%74.574.3+0.1
11 Paulistano135838%75.473.2+2.2
12 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
13 Unifacisa145936%73.976.4-2.5
14 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
15 Mogi1551033%70.378.3-8.0
16 Botafogo1441029%70.179.4-9.3
17 Caxias do Sul1431121%70.678.1-7.4
18 Cearense1431121%66.976.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1621231979
Brasilia1921282088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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