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Vasco vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-74
21-18 18-14 17-23 19-19
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game74.3
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record5-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game77.3
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Cearense
18 Oct 2025
VASC78
CEAR88
18 Jan 2025
VASC75
CEAR74
23 Dec 2023
VASC81
CEAR75
24 Jan 2019
VASC77
CEAR79
08 Feb 2018
VASC96
CEAR92
22 Nov 2016
VASC71
CEAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 71
A04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 71
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
70avg 71
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 71
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
64avg 71
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
79avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 71
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
72avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 71
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 71
H14/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
16-12
23-23
22-19
21-23
12-17
22-21
32-23
23-14
13-9
21-21
24-20
16-19
21-21
23-28
19-20
13-23
16-29
15-17
25-19
13-9
22-16
29-20
17-18
19-20
10-18
15-15
25-22
21-22
18-29
20-27
20-21
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
155.9Avg total
76.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.474.3148.7+0.052%
Season at home (11)74.273.8148.0+0.445%
Season away (10)74.674.9149.5-0.360%
Last 10 (10)76.779.2155.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.079.6154.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar (20)77.277.2154.4+0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)70.467.3137.7+3.157%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 67
A27/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
59avg 67
A29/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
41avg 67
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 67
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 67
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 67
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 67
H13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-21
18-20
17-18
15-25
13-24
18-21
25-27
18-14
22-19
18-19
18-17
14-16
11-21
18-22
12-16
24-25
23-22
11-23
25-22
20-14
16-21
17-22
21-19
24-16
25-19
8-19
24-23
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
152.9Avg total
73.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.877.3147.1-7.525%
Season at home (10)67.872.1139.9-4.340%
Season away (10)71.782.5154.2-10.810%
Last 10 (10)73.279.7152.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)75.276.8152.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.379.6148.9-10.313%
vs Similar (12)72.274.8147.1-2.650%
vs Weaker (3)81.779.0160.7+2.767%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
VascoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
73.6Avg total
34.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.469.7-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.135.170.2+0.041%-
Last 30 away (13)33.235.869.0-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.873.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (20)35.837.273.0-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)32.331.163.4+1.129%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A27/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A29/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
79.5Avg total
38.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.839.774.6-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.538.871.3-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.777.8-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.479.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.941.975.9-8.027%-
vs Similar (12)33.638.271.8-4.617%-
vs Weaker (3)44.335.079.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.0
54.7%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.4
28.1%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.115.0
71.1%
72.7%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.9
51.1%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
33.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.3
68.8%
72.7%14.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WLLLWLLWWW
Cearense
WLLWLLLWLL
#7
League position
#17
-2.4
Net rating
-9.9
102.2
Offensive rating
100.4
104.6
Defensive rating
110.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.1%
3-point %
30.3%
75.4%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 100.4Defence104.6 · 110.3Shooting48.7% · 48.8%3-point %28.1% · 30.3%Ball care17.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Vasco   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vasco wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Cearense v Vasco68-70
06/04/24Cearense v Vasco70-69 OT
23/12/23Vasco v Cearense81-75
24/01/19Vasco v Cearense77-79
07/12/18Cearense v Vasco66-60
08/02/18Vasco v Cearense96-92
05/12/17Cearense v Vasco85-76
18/02/17Cearense v Vasco89-80 OT
22/11/16Vasco v Cearense71-69
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87
09/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-99
29/12/24HSao Jose69-75
23/12/24HBauru81-63
21/12/24HFranca69-88
12/12/24HBrasilia79-88
09/12/24HMinas81-64
06/12/24ASao Paulo87-84
04/12/24APaulistano76-70
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
19/12/24AUnifacisa81-77
14/12/24APinheiros74-76
12/12/24ACorinthians Paulista83-92
09/12/24HSao Jose55-75
06/12/24HMogi76-69
29/11/24AFranca71-97
27/11/24ABauru71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeLLWLW45%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%45%60%
Points / game74.474.274.6
Allowed / game74.373.874.9
Point differential+0.0+0.4-0.3
Avg total148.7148.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayLLWLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game69.867.871.7
Allowed / game77.372.182.5
Point differential-7.5-4.3-10.8
Avg total147.1139.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo2015575%84.073.2+10.9
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Pinheiros2012860%76.874.5+2.4
5 Uniao Corinthians2012860%78.378.5-0.2
6 Franca1911858%81.178.3+2.8
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Vasco21111052%74.474.3+0.0
9 Sao Jose20101050%76.675.3+1.2
10 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
11 Sao Paulo20101050%78.078.3-0.3
12 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
13 Paulistano1991047%77.775.0+2.7
14 Mogi2281436%73.078.6-5.6
15 Pato2171433%81.684.8-3.2
16 Botafogo2161529%72.880.9-8.1
17 Caxias do Sul2051525%72.479.0-6.7
18 Cearense2051525%69.877.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2118171975
Cearense1814231974
← all games of the day
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