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Vasco vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-63
13-9 22-16 29-20 17-18
Position#7
Record9-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.7
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#4
Record10-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.7
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Bauru
16 Feb 2026
VASC70
BAUR90
23 Dec 2024
VASC81
BAUR63
14 May 2024
VASC73
BAUR76
12 May 2024
VASC95
BAUR87
04 May 2024
VASC84
BAUR78
02 Dec 2023
VASC67
BAUR58
09 Jan 2019
VASC82
BAUR88
10 Apr 2018
VASC103
BAUR104
02 Apr 2018
VASC84
BAUR93
17 Jan 2018
VASC86
BAUR87
21 Feb 2017
VASC64
BAUR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 70
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 70
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 70
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 70
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
80avg 70
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 70
A04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
70avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
64avg 70
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-13
26-24
16-16
22-18
17-26
23-23
17-14
22-13
20-12
25-29
17-22
11-21
19-9
20-18
16-20
27-21
17-17
16-24
30-22
15-16
16-12
23-23
22-19
21-23
12-17
22-21
32-23
23-14
13-9
21-21
24-20
16-19
21-21
23-28
19-20
13-23
16-29
15-17
25-19
156.5Avg total
79.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.272.7146.9+1.556%
Season at home (8)73.875.0148.8-1.238%
Season away (8)74.670.4145.0+4.275%
Last 10 (10)79.177.4156.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)78.478.8157.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.876.0142.8-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.175.9151.9+0.253%
vs Weaker (7)70.467.3137.7+3.157%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
68-66
68
66
+2
65avg 74
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 74
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 74
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 74
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
66avg 74
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 74
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 74
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 74
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 74
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 74
A20/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
10-22
18-16
18-14
25-29
17-29
18-22
27-23
26-22
18-16
15-20
28-22
21-12
21-24
20-18
18-17
19-13
20-20
17-22
14-6
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
161.6Avg total
80.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.179.7159.8+0.462%
Season at home (8)79.874.9154.6+4.988%
Season away (8)80.584.5165.0-4.038%
Last 10 (10)80.880.8161.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)83.285.4168.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.389.3161.7-17.017%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.977.9158.8+2.967%
vs Weaker (9)82.876.2159.0+6.678%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
VascoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A15/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/12
NBB
71.0Avg total
35.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.034.568.5-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.134.469.5+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)32.834.567.3-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.171.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.669.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.838.570.2-6.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.134.869.9+0.347%-
vs Weaker (7)32.331.163.4+1.129%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
79.9Avg total
38.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.677.8+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.839.779.5+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.479.9-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.679.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.347.281.5-12.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.136.476.5+3.780%-
vs Weaker (9)40.936.777.6+4.256%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.5
56.8%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.69.5
30.1%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.3
70.2%
72.7%15.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.314.1
66.2%
72.7%14.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLWWWWLWLW
Bauru
LLWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#4
+3.5
Net rating
-0.5
104.8
Offensive rating
106.3
101.4
Defensive rating
106.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.1%
3-point %
35.1%
71.1%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 106.3Defence101.4 · 106.9Shooting50.9% · 52.2%3-point %30.1% · 35.1%Ball care17.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Vasco   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
14/05/24Vasco v Bauru73-76
12/05/24Vasco v Bauru95-87 OT
09/05/24Bauru v Vasco67-59
07/05/24Bauru v Vasco80-66
04/05/24Vasco v Bauru84-78 OT
17/02/24Bauru v Vasco76-81
02/12/23Vasco v Bauru67-58
09/01/19Vasco v Bauru82-88
23/10/18Bauru v Vasco76-80
10/04/18Vasco v Bauru103-104 OT
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HFranca69-88
12/12/24HBrasilia79-88
09/12/24HMinas81-64
06/12/24ASao Paulo87-84
04/12/24APaulistano76-70
17/11/24HCorinthians Paulista90-84
15/11/24ABotafogo66-68
12/11/24APato84-76
09/11/24HUniao Corinthians79-81
07/11/24HCaxias do Sul80-71
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66
30/11/24HUnifacisa70-61
27/11/24HCearense80-71
14/11/24APinheiros87-80
12/11/24ACorinthians Paulista87-103
08/11/24HMogi68-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%38%75%
Points / game74.273.874.6
Allowed / game72.775.070.4
Point differential+1.5-1.2+4.2
Avg total146.9148.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%88%38%
Points / game80.179.880.5
Allowed / game79.774.984.5
Point differential+0.4+4.9-4.0
Avg total159.8154.6165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1715288%82.869.6+13.2
2 Flamengo1714382%84.271.7+12.5
3 Brasilia1711665%83.881.4+2.4
4 Franca1610662%80.976.9+4.0
5 Bauru1610662%80.179.7+0.4
6 Pinheiros1710759%75.874.5+1.3
7 Sao Paulo1710759%78.978.3+0.6
8 Uniao Corinthians1710759%78.379.2-0.9
9 Vasco169756%74.272.7+1.5
10 Paulistano1771041%77.775.6+2.1
11 Sao Jose1771041%74.975.1-0.2
12 Unifacisa1771041%74.976.8-1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista1661038%79.481.4-2.1
14 Pato1761135%82.685.3-2.7
15 Mogi1761135%72.478.6-6.2
16 Botafogo1651131%71.680.3-8.8
17 Cearense1741324%69.177.4-8.3
18 Caxias do Sul1631319%72.179.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1322291781
Bauru916201863
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