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Pato vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 78-65
16-20 21-15 16-17 25-13
Position#14
Record7-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game84.8
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record5-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Caxias do Sul
09 Jan 2026
PATO85
CAXI91
20 Jan 2025
PATO78
CAXI65
29 Dec 2023
PATO78
CAXI74
06 Feb 2023
PATO88
CAXI80
08 Apr 2022
PATO59
CAXI68
08 Jan 2021
PATO77
CAXI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 73
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
63avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 73
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 73
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 73
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
90-106
90
106
-16
85avg 73
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 73
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 73
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 73
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 73
A13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
19-30
19-22
14-23
18-22
18-16
29-26
20-26
24-29
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
22-18
16-23
22-19
25-21
28-30
20-26
20-21
22-29
22-16
19-18
21-25
28-27
19-22
22-18
25-23
10-22
15-16
19-13
13-22
20-29
31-17
19-29
16-23
10-11
176.2Avg total
84.2Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.684.8166.4-3.233%
Season at home (11)85.483.6169.0+1.755%
Season away (10)77.486.1163.5-8.710%
Last 10 (10)84.292.0176.2-7.820%
Last 5 (5)79.887.4167.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.489.8171.1-8.425%
vs Similar (16)79.179.9158.9-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.380.2168.5+8.267%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 62
A29/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
62avg 62
H03/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 62
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 62
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 62
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
81avg 62
H21/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 62
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-70
73
70
+3
63avg 62
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 62
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 62
A13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
18-16
23-18
12-16
24-13
14-21
15-21
13-16
18-21
21-19
24-17
13-25
21-15
18-17
19-28
21-29
17-20
19-17
17-20
19-25
23-25
17-22
18-14
24-21
19-29
25-22
25-16
11-12
21-18
18-20
20-12
14-20
15-18
10-22
15-20
25-18
15-23
21-20
25-20
16-15
155.5Avg total
75.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.479.0151.4-6.625%
Season at home (10)73.980.4154.3-6.530%
Season away (10)70.977.7148.6-6.820%
Last 10 (10)75.180.4155.5-5.320%
Last 5 (5)77.481.2158.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.982.8155.7-10.012%
vs Similar (4)70.270.8141.0-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
PatoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/01
NBB
86.9Avg total
43.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.381.6+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.238.681.8+4.671%-
Last 30 away (13)41.240.381.5+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.586.9-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.083.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.144.486.5-2.250%-
vs Similar (16)40.937.878.7+3.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.336.783.0+9.783%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/01
NBB
77.4Avg total
37.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.940.876.7-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.942.279.1-5.231%-
Last 30 away (14)34.739.374.0-4.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.277.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.880.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.941.377.2-5.423%-
vs Similar (4)36.037.873.8-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.9
52.0%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.4
35.6%
33.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
72.7%13.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.0
52.1%
50.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.5
70.7%
72.7%13.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLWLWLLLL
Caxias do Sul
LLWWLLLLLL
#14
League position
#15
-10.8
Net rating
-7.0
109.4
Offensive rating
104.3
120.2
Defensive rating
111.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
32.5%
58.0%
Assist %
60.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 104.3Defence120.2 · 111.3Shooting52.7% · 50.6%3-point %35.6% · 32.5%Ball care17.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Pato   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
4
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Caxias do Sul v Pato81-80
12/04/24Caxias do Sul v Pato68-85
29/12/23Pato v Caxias do Sul78-74
06/02/23Pato v Caxias do Sul88-80
06/12/22Caxias do Sul v Pato73-84
08/04/22Pato v Caxias do Sul59-68
28/12/21Caxias do Sul v Pato80-67
07/04/21Caxias do Sul v Pato83-85 OT
08/01/21Pato v Caxias do Sul77-92
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25ACearense76-80
10/01/25AUnifacisa67-80
29/12/24HCorinthians Paulista76-85
27/12/24HPinheiros90-86
21/12/24HMogi90-106
19/12/24HSao Jose85-81
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98
13/12/24ABauru91-97
05/12/24AMinas70-97
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25AUniao Corinthians77-78
29/12/24HUnifacisa65-78
27/12/24HCearense73-70
23/12/24HCorinthians Paulista80-79
21/12/24HPinheiros92-101 OT
12/12/24APaulistano72-82
10/12/24ASao Paulo79-89
05/12/24HFranca76-82
03/12/24HBauru66-71
29/11/24AMogi71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLWL55%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%55%10%
Points / game81.685.477.4
Allowed / game84.883.686.1
Point differential-3.2+1.7-8.7
Avg total166.4169.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game72.473.970.9
Allowed / game79.080.477.7
Point differential-6.7-6.5-6.8
Avg total151.4154.3148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Uniao Corinthians2012860%78.378.5-0.2
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Franca2011955%81.278.7+2.5
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
9 Paulistano20101050%78.275.5+2.7
10 Sao Jose20101050%76.675.3+1.2
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Sao Paulo20101050%78.078.3-0.3
13 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
14 Mogi2281436%73.078.6-5.6
15 Pato2171433%81.684.8-3.2
16 Botafogo2161529%72.880.9-8.1
17 Caxias do Sul2051525%72.479.0-6.7
18 Cearense2151624%70.077.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1621162578
Caxias do Sul2015171365
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