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Caxias do Sul vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 71-69
22-15 25-20 12-16 12-18
Position#13
Record12-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#20
Record4-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game79.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Vasco
11 Mar 2026
CAXI71
VASC69
04 Feb 2025
CAXI88
VASC82
01 Nov 2023
CAXI63
VASC68
10 Jan 2018
CAXI81
VASC69
07 Jan 2017
CAXI78
VASC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
77avg 64
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 64
A12/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
63avg 64
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 64
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
52avg 64
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 64
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
83-66
83
66
+17
82avg 64
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 64
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 64
H09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
17-24
14-15
13-16
15-7
12-19
22-34
16-17
18-20
16-17
16-16
23-21
10-21
16-29
21-23
19-20
16-18
13-18
19-20
25-23
19-15
14-17
13-21
16-16
20-22
18-13
19-20
23-18
17-20
15-18
26-19
25-9
17-33
23-18
19-16
21-23
20-24
15-10
9-22
23-16
151.8Avg total
74.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.677.1149.7-4.541%
Season at home (14)74.675.6150.1-1.050%
Season away (15)70.878.5149.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)74.077.8151.8-3.830%
Last 5 (5)74.474.0148.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.882.0147.8-16.214%
vs Similar (7)76.174.3150.4+1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.472.7152.1+6.878%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
65avg 65
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
60-67
60
67
-7
49avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 65
A02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
48avg 65
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 65
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-90
70
90
-20
68avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 65
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 65
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 65
A09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
25-18
14-24
29-11
12-21
24-18
12-17
19-19
7-25
16-16
18-11
19-15
19-24
13-21
23-20
29-10
12-25
20-16
16-20
13-23
18-21
15-20
17-17
22-16
23-20
22-18
14-22
11-30
20-24
25-24
17-16
18-21
22-26
18-26
9-8
25-17
11-23
19-18
14-22
22-14
148.9Avg total
71.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.779.4149.1-9.713%
Season at home (13)73.181.8154.9-8.88%
Season away (17)67.177.5144.6-10.518%
Last 10 (10)71.277.7148.9-6.520%
Last 5 (5)72.480.6153.0-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)67.980.0148.0-12.19%
vs Similar (8)74.577.6152.1-3.125%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Caxias do SulVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A12/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/03
NBB
71.5Avg total
33.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.238.273.4-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.238.975.1-2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)34.237.571.7-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.871.5-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.073.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.240.171.4-8.929%-
vs Similar (7)39.636.976.4+2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.036.174.1+1.967%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/03
NBB
77.5Avg total
35.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.540.174.7-5.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.039.974.9-4.923%-
Last 30 away (17)34.240.374.5-6.124%-
Last 10 (10)35.142.477.5-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.082.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.940.374.2-6.423%-
vs Similar (8)36.239.876.0-3.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.0
51.4%
52.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.4%
72.8%14.3
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.4
49.9%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.2
28.4%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.612.6
67.7%
72.8%12.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLWWLLLLLW
Vasco
LLLLLLWLLW
#13
League position
#20
-6.6
Net rating
-7.0
88.5
Offensive rating
83.5
95.1
Defensive rating
90.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
28.4%
63.8%
Assist %
67.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 83.5Defence95.1 · 90.5Shooting50.6% · 46.6%3-point %33.1% · 28.4%Ball care18.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds16.1% · -Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caxias do Sul wins
4
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Vasco v Caxias do Sul80-79 OT
04/02/25Caxias do Sul v Vasco88-82
07/11/24Vasco v Caxias do Sul80-71
20/01/24Vasco v Caxias do Sul78-73
01/11/23Caxias do Sul v Vasco63-68
06/03/18Vasco v Caxias do Sul70-87
10/01/18Caxias do Sul v Vasco81-69
14/03/17Vasco v Caxias do Sul57-76
07/01/17Caxias do Sul v Vasco78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HMogi67-72
05/03/26HUniao Corinthians80-90
22/02/26HOsasco83-66
13/02/26HPaulistano80-73
11/02/26HPinheiros62-69
03/02/26ARio Claro73-79
21/01/26HFranca66-93
19/01/26HBauru73-74
12/01/26ABrasilia65-77
09/01/26APato91-85 OT
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26AUniao Corinthians66-77
06/03/26ARio Claro74-77
22/02/26HFranca80-85
16/02/26HBauru70-90
11/02/26HSao Jose72-74
07/02/26ABrasilia61-84
02/02/26APato84-75
20/01/26HMogi60-67
17/01/26HCorinthians Paulista67-75
13/01/26ACearense78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game72.674.670.8
Allowed / game77.175.678.5
Point differential-4.5-1.0-7.7
Avg total149.7150.1149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %13%8%18%
Points / game69.773.167.1
Allowed / game79.481.877.5
Point differential-9.7-8.8-10.5
Avg total149.1154.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)17% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %7%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2924583%85.774.5+11.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2921872%82.172.7+9.4
6 Corinthians Paulista2921872%84.078.0+6.0
7 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi30161453%75.670.0+5.6
12 Unifacisa29151452%80.980.1+0.8
13 Caxias do Sul29121741%72.677.1-4.5
14 Cruzeiro29111838%80.085.2-5.2
15 Rio Claro3092130%77.586.6-9.1
16 Pato2972224%73.579.8-6.2
17 Botafogo2962321%72.582.9-10.4
18 Cearense2962321%76.887.4-10.6
19 Osasco2942514%75.387.7-12.4
20 Vasco3042613%69.779.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul2225121271
Vasco1520161869
← all games of the day
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