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Cearense vs Osasco Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 69-93
17-32 23-22 13-18 16-21
Position#18
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cearense
Brazil
vs
Osasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game96.0
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cearense v Osasco
20 Oct 2026
CEAR69
OSAS93
09 Dec 2025
CEAR89
OSAS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 65
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
33avg 65
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
54avg 65
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
76avg 65
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 65
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-116
71
116
-45
56avg 65
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
84avg 65
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
83-107
83
107
-24
76avg 65
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-87
56
87
-31
45avg 65
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 65
A16/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
16-18
16-17
23-19
21-22
24-24
24-23
18-23
11-21
16-34
15-26
17-23
23-33
19-20
26-21
30-29
19-23
20-23
18-36
22-25
23-23
9-25
21-24
15-24
11-14
23-20
19-23
23-18
12-25
167.2Avg total
74.5Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.592.7167.2-18.210%
Last 5 (5)76.297.8174.0-21.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.691.9166.4-17.38%
vs Similar (5)80.278.2158.4+2.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 67
A12/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 67
A14/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 67
H17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
57avg 67
A20/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 67
H22/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
57avg 67
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 67
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
56avg 67
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 67
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#3
L
70-96
70
96
-26
41avg 67
A17/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
28-17
19-21
11-20
18-23
25-28
24-12
19-25
18-16
17-16
19-23
22-21
13-18
20-26
19-30
19-27
20-31
19-12
18-18
9-17
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
166.6Avg total
77.6Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.689.0166.6-11.430%
Last 5 (5)76.889.8166.6-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.890.3165.0-15.59%
vs Similar (7)80.081.6161.6-1.643%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
CearenseOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/04
NBB
81.6Avg total
36.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.445.382.7-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.743.880.5-7.131%-
Last 30 away (14)38.246.985.1-8.721%-
Last 10 (10)36.345.381.6-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.250.487.6-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.046.683.6-9.620%-
vs Similar (5)39.438.477.8+1.060%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A14/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H22/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
83.0Avg total
38.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.782.0-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.242.679.9-5.429%-
Last 30 away (16)39.244.683.9-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)38.144.983.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.083.4-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)37.844.782.5-6.917%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.480.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.0
46.5%
49.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.0
29.5%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.015.5
64.6%
71.2%15.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.7
49.9%
49.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.2
28.7%
31.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.2
70.2%
71.2%13.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLWLLLLLL
Osasco
LWWLLLLWLL
#18
League position
#15
-20.2
Net rating
-14.3
82.6
Offensive rating
85.0
102.8
Defensive rating
99.2
45.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.5%
3-point %
28.7%
55.8%
Assist %
58.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 85.0Defence102.8 · 99.2Shooting45.7% · 46.7%3-point %29.5% · 28.7%Ball care17.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Cearense   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cearense wins
1
Osasco wins
DateGameScore
17/03/26Osasco v Cearense90-89 OT
09/12/25Cearense v Osasco89-82
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26ACruzeiro77-86
14/04/26AMinas56-87
06/04/26HCaxias do Sul83-107
04/04/26HUniao Corinthians94-93
22/03/26AFranca71-116
19/03/26APaulistano77-91
17/03/26AOsasco89-90 OT
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101
22/03/26HMinas66-78
20/03/26AFlamengo71-101
17/03/26HCearense90-89 OT
14/03/26AVasco86-88
12/03/26ABotafogo79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-26.0--26.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca110100%90.059.0+31.0
2 Unifacisa220100%88.567.5+21.0
3 Mogi110100%84.073.0+11.0
4 Uniao Corinthians110100%83.074.0+9.0
5 Bauru110100%82.081.0+1.0
6 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
7 Cruzeiro21150%73.072.0+1.0
8 Botafogo1010%71.081.0-10.0
9 Caxias do Sul1010%61.072.0-11.0
10 Corinthians Paulista1010%73.084.0-11.0
11 Pinheiros1010%65.081.0-16.0
12 Osasco1010%70.096.0-26.0
13 Sao Jose1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1723131669
Osasco3222182193
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