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Cearense vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Postponed
Position#15
Record5-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game81.6
BrazilNBBRound 20
Other2019-20
Meetings · Cearense v Sao Paulo
14 Nov 2024
CEAR79
SAO 80
13 Jan 2024
CEAR75
SAO 81
08 Dec 2022
CEAR81
SAO 111
04 Nov 2021
CEAR68
SAO 81
23 Dec 2020
CEAR92
SAO 85
17 Mar 2020
CEAR v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H23/01
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A27/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
104-83
104
83
+21
A30/01
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A01/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A03/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H08/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A26/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A28/02
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
H06/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
10-21
21-23
33-21
21-14
13-20
20-18
19-26
23-27
31-20
19-21
31-15
20-27
17-21
21-13
14-25
17-24
13-15
13-22
28-17
27-24
13-30
17-22
18-21
14-25
22-14
22-22
20-22
10-13
21-21
17-24
24-26
19-21
20-20
21-21
19-24
18-14
21-14
14-25
28-28
165.5Avg total
80.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.381.0157.4-4.719%
Season at home (13)77.679.8157.5-2.223%
Season away (13)75.182.2157.3-7.215%
Last 10 (10)80.185.4165.5-5.320%
Last 5 (5)80.689.0169.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.481.4152.7-10.06%
vs Similar (10)82.684.6167.2-2.030%
vs Weaker (3)80.366.0146.3+14.367%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
99-97
99
97
+2
A21/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H27/01
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H31/01
NBB
Pato
#16
W
106-86
106
86
+20
A03/02
NBB
Minas
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A08/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H29/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H10/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A15/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
17-18
20-14
32-20
16-37
22-25
38-20
23-15
21-24
16-16
17-20
25-26
16-26
13-17
24-20
22-11
19-17
27-23
30-22
30-24
29-22
20-26
25-17
13-20
30-15
23-17
23-23
20-18
29-21
20-10
12-28
28-21
24-12
22-17
24-19
29-16
31-26
21-19
23-22
31-36
173.5Avg total
91.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.581.6170.2+6.977%
Season at home (13)83.676.9160.5+6.762%
Season away (13)93.586.3179.8+7.292%
Last 10 (10)91.981.6173.5+10.390%
Last 5 (5)95.481.0176.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.185.0173.1+3.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.780.4169.1+8.379%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
CearenseSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H23/01
NBB
Mogi
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A27/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/01
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H08/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#16
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A26/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/02
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H06/03
NBB
76.8Avg total
36.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.138.473.5-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.937.573.4-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)34.339.273.6-4.912%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.476.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.739.872.5-7.118%-
vs Similar (10)37.339.076.3-1.730%-
vs Weaker (3)41.028.769.7+12.367%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A21/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/01
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/01
NBB
Pato
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/02
NBB
Minas
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A08/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H29/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A15/03
NBB
83.4Avg total
43.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)40.238.778.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.435.572.8+1.946%-
Last 30 away (13)42.941.884.8+1.154%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.837.086.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.738.480.1+3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.638.778.3+0.853%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cearense wins
1
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
30/11/19Sao Paulo v Cearense92-73
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20HPaulistano99-95 OT
28/02/20ARio Claro79-86
26/02/20APato72-84
14/02/20HBauru78-83
08/02/20HFranca75-97
03/02/20AFlamengo71-78
01/02/20ABotafogo72-86
30/01/20ASao Jose104-83
27/01/20AMogi73-78
23/01/20HCorinthians Paulista78-84
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/20AUnifacisa106-103
10/03/20HBauru99-64
29/02/20HCorinthians Paulista89-80
13/02/20ABrasilia96-73
08/02/20AMinas87-85
03/02/20APato106-86
31/01/20HPaulistano75-74
27/01/20HFranca79-86
21/01/20ASao Jose99-97
18/01/20HBotafogo83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLLLLW23%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %19%23%15%
Points / game76.377.675.1
Allowed / game81.079.882.2
Point differential-4.7-2.2-7.2
Avg total157.4157.5157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)14% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%62%92%
Points / game88.583.693.5
Allowed / game81.676.986.3
Point differential+6.9+6.7+7.2
Avg total170.2160.5179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2421388%85.077.1+7.9
2 Franca2520580%87.479.0+8.4
3 Sao Paulo2620677%88.581.6+6.9
4 Minas2617965%86.681.4+5.2
5 Mogi26161062%82.881.4+1.3
6 Pinheiros27151256%81.679.9+1.7
7 Corinthians Paulista26131350%82.378.9+3.4
8 Rio Claro26131350%84.486.7-2.2
9 Botafogo26131350%78.480.7-2.3
10 Unifacisa27131448%83.281.0+2.2
11 Paulistano25111444%81.783.1-1.4
12 Bauru26111542%80.281.0-0.8
13 Brasilia2681831%76.085.9-10.0
14 Sao Jose2772026%86.392.1-5.8
15 Cearense2652119%76.381.0-4.7
16 Pato2542116%71.080.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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