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Venezia vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-69
27-10 24-16 23-21 15-22
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game89.0
Venezia 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game101.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
83-64
83
64
+19
90avg 78
H11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 78
A18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
69avg 78
A20/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
89-82
89
82
+7
82avg 78
H23/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 78
H25/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 78
A27/05
Lega A
Aris
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 78
H30/09
Eurocup
Cremona
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 78
H05/10
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 78
A08/10
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
92avg 78
A12/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-20
18-14
22-9
18-28
23-17
15-29
29-16
13-20
20-20
26-15
16-22
22-15
25-22
18-22
24-23
13-17
25-21
22-21
24-19
21-22
18-19
26-24
19-21
27-20
22-29
16-21
16-15
25-13
11-25
17-16
29-21
15-25
28-21
5-21
26-26
22-18
20-29
25-19
24-25
167.8Avg total
83.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.589.0166.5-11.50%
Season at home (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season away (1)74.093.0167.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)83.983.9167.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)84.689.6174.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.485.4168.8-2.038%
vs Similar (11)86.185.5171.6+0.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.980.1167.0+6.873%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
100-88
100
88
+12
102avg 81
H17/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 81
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 81
A24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-98
70
98
-28
64avg 81
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-84
96
84
+12
93avg 81
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 81
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 81
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 81
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 81
H11/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
21-28
28-28
26-17
18-18
13-20
18-31
32-12
14-21
20-22
21-24
20-21
22-22
13-27
17-27
18-22
26-21
18-18
29-22
23-23
16-23
17-20
17-20
21-21
21-28
24-19
24-23
16-25
22-16
28-27
25-13
17-29
28-19
28-29
22-29
24-30
28-18
19-18
29-16
26-22
178.7Avg total
89.1Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.5101.0194.5-7.50%
Season at home (1)102.0107.0209.0-5.00%
Season away (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)89.189.6178.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)90.489.0179.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.891.6172.4-10.819%
vs Similar (8)92.591.5184.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (6)93.278.8172.0+14.383%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
VeneziaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A27/05
Lega A
Aris
#13
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H30/09
Eurocup
Cremona
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/10
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/10
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/10
Lega A
83.3Avg total
41.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.280.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.184.3+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.283.3-1.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.040.480.4-0.438%-
vs Similar (11)43.841.985.7+1.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.738.279.9+3.564%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H17/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
LKL
85.0Avg total
42.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.784.7-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.743.285.9-0.559%-
Last 30 away (13)38.844.483.2-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.489.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.844.883.5-6.038%-
vs Similar (8)41.445.987.2-4.538%-
vs Weaker (6)46.538.084.5+8.583%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.5
56.3%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
34.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.716.4
72.2%
75.2%16.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.8
56.5%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
34.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.4
70.5%
75.2%13.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LLWLLWWLLW
Neptunas
WLWLLWLLWW
#9
League position
#14
+0.3
Net rating
-1.4
109.4
Offensive rating
115.5
109.2
Defensive rating
116.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
35.4%
61.2%
Assist %
68.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 115.5Defence109.2 · 116.9Shooting53.4% · 55.0%3-point %32.6% · 35.4%Ball care18.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Venezia   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Venezia wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ATrapani102-109 OT
08/10/25ABahcesehir Kol.74-93
05/10/25HCremona82-75
30/09/25HAris81-85
27/05/25AVirtus Bologna84-86
25/05/25HVirtus Bologna84-78
23/05/25HVirtus Bologna89-82
20/05/25AVirtus Bologna75-77
18/05/25AVirtus Bologna85-90
11/05/25HVarese83-64
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HGargzdai102-74
07/10/25HCluj-Napoca102-107
04/10/25ANevezis92-85
30/09/25ASlask Wroclaw85-95
27/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas71-84
20/09/25ALietkabelis96-84
26/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
24/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas75-88
20/05/25AJonava98-93 OT
17/05/25HJuventus100-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.581.074.0
Allowed / game89.085.093.0
Point differential-11.5-4.0-19.0
Avg total166.5166.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game93.5102.085.0
Allowed / game101.0107.095.0
Point differential-7.5-5.0-10.0
Avg total194.5209.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg330100%77.761.3+16.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%99.083.0+16.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija330100%85.070.7+14.3
4 Ulm330100%99.094.3+4.7
5 Besiktas32167%90.382.0+8.3
6 Aris32167%80.779.0+1.7
7 Slask Wroclaw32167%83.784.0-0.3
8 Manresa21150%71.569.0+2.5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%92.092.0+0.0
10 Trento21150%77.587.5-10.0
11 Chemnitz31233%86.783.0+3.7
12 Buducnost31233%84.781.7+3.0
13 Cluj-Napoca31233%96.798.0-1.3
14 Turk Telekom31233%84.085.3-1.3
15 Panionios31233%80.385.0-4.7
16 Lietkabelis31233%82.087.7-5.7
17 Neptunas2020%93.5101.0-7.5
18 Venezia2020%77.589.0-11.5
19 Hamburg3030%82.0101.3-19.3
20 London Lions2020%66.092.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2724231589
Neptunas1016212269
← all games of the day
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