PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 84-96
21-26 18-18 22-29 23-23
Position#6
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 77
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
70avg 77
A30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 77
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
76avg 77
A04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 77
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 77
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
83avg 77
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
104-85
104
85
+19
106avg 77
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 77
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 77
A18/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
23-26
22-17
29-22
24-27
18-15
24-23
16-21
23-12
18-21
16-21
19-19
14-20
22-20
23-15
27-32
23-20
20-18
20-15
24-23
17-24
16-27
26-24
11-19
22-23
21-17
22-19
18-31
17-21
27-21
28-20
32-23
16-18
23-25
24-13
29-22
15-22
16-15
31-19
19-17
168.6Avg total
85.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.483.2168.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)86.084.0170.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.084.3165.3-3.340%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.882.0162.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (16)88.878.9167.8+9.988%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 80
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
97avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
49-84
49
84
-35
38avg 80
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 80
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 80
H14/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
100-88
100
88
+12
102avg 80
H17/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 80
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 80
A24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-98
70
98
-28
64avg 80
H26/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
27-20
20-18
21-26
28-26
7-20
8-27
18-22
16-15
21-25
21-27
21-26
21-18
23-20
21-14
26-28
15-17
25-15
21-28
28-28
26-17
18-18
13-20
18-31
32-12
14-21
20-22
21-24
20-21
22-22
13-27
17-27
18-22
172.1Avg total
82.6Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.689.5172.1-6.940%
Last 5 (5)85.689.2174.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.289.5167.8-11.219%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.691.6181.1-2.033%
vs Weaker (5)87.874.8162.6+13.080%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A04/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/06
LKL
81.1Avg total
39.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.284.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.181.6+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)42.243.886.1-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.781.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.680.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.641.181.7-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.041.285.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker (16)43.941.285.1+2.756%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
15-47
15
47
-32
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H14/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H17/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H26/05
LKL
82.3Avg total
38.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.683.3-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.443.284.6-1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)37.144.381.4-7.217%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.582.3-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.143.982.1-5.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.346.486.8-6.122%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.681.0+5.860%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.1
53.6%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.219.4
77.0%
74.3%19.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.3
57.7%
55.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.3
29.6%
35.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
74.3%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWWLLWLWLW
Neptunas
LLWWWLLWLL
#6
League position
#3
+2.4
Net rating
-9.0
112.5
Offensive rating
108.7
110.1
Defensive rating
117.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
29.6%
67.1%
Assist %
69.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 108.7Defence110.1 · 117.7Shooting53.1% · 52.0%3-point %34.9% · 29.6%Ball care18.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/25AJonava81-73
16/06/25HJonava92-78
13/06/25AJonava104-85
11/06/25HJonava83-90
08/06/25ARytas70-94
06/06/25HRytas87-76
04/06/25ARytas86-87
01/06/25HRytas76-73
30/05/25ARytas82-86
27/05/25AJuventus93-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
24/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas75-88
20/05/25AJonava98-93 OT
17/05/25HJuventus100-88
14/05/25HMazeikiai85-79
11/05/25ABC Wolves84-96
07/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas49-84
04/05/25HNevezis96-90
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%87.078.0+9.0
2 Jonava1010%78.087.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2118222384
Neptunas2618292396
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.