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Central Michigan vs Toledo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#60
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#262
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Central Michigan v Toledo
02 Jan 2027
CENT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
CENT75
TOLE78
19 Jan 2024
CENT65
TOLE62
28 Feb 2023
CENT65
TOLE99
04 Jan 2022
CENT54
TOLE82
02 Mar 2021
CENT81
TOLE79
25 Feb 2020
CENT81
TOLE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H04/03
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A03/11
NCAA
Alma Scots
#461
W
93-50
93
50
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#270
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
27-31
40-33
43-37
42-32
39-51
34-26
41-44
33-39
31-38
26-42
43-43
32-43
51-35
43-23
50-27
50-34
41-44
22-26
46-31
147.5Avg total
76.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.865.8149.5+18.0100%
Season at home (2)92.064.0156.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.171.4147.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)80.869.6150.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.383.5153.8-13.225%
vs Similar (9)72.675.7148.2-3.122%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.269.3148.5+9.867%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#13
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen Paraiso
#21
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Arkansas State
#228
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A07/11
NCAA
Spanish Basketball Academy
#20
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#41
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H11/11
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Detroit
#453
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A14/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
19-25
25-22
30-17
22-18
21-28
13-17
25-27
23-22
30-20
15-17
25-22
0-0
35-36
0-0
35-35
0-0
25-48
0-0
36-43
0-0
27-38
0-0
54-38
15-14
23-27
18-19
21-25
0-0
31-36
0-0
37-40
21-26
26-17
19-21
14-24
0-0
42-40
0-0
43-32
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
Season at home (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Season away (4)74.277.5151.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)78.279.4157.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.179.3151.4-7.220%
vs Similar (12)81.876.1157.8+5.767%
vs Weaker (8)78.571.4149.9+7.175%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
Central MichiganToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/03
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Alma Scots
#461
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#270
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A14/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.371.2+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.132.071.1+7.169%-
Last 30 away (17)33.537.971.4-4.435%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.368.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.439.273.7-4.842%-
vs Similar (9)32.136.068.1-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.730.570.2+9.267%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen Paraiso
#21
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Arkansas State
#228
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Spanish Basketball Academy
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#41
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H11/11
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Detroit
#453
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/11
NCAA
79.6Avg total
38.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.474.6+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.976.1+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.973.1-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
vs Similar (12)40.036.776.7+3.375%-
vs Weaker (8)39.534.173.6+5.462%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Central Michigan wins
8
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorthern Kentucky68-57
11/11/26HYoungstown State91-78
07/11/26HAlma Scots93-50
03/11/26ALouisiana Monroe83-78
07/03/26ABall State69-85
04/03/26HAkron64-77
28/02/26ABuffalo75-70
25/02/26AKent State81-83
21/02/26HWestern Michigan83-70
17/02/26AEastern Michigan54-66
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADetroit85-72
14/11/26HCBC Valladolid80-88
11/11/26HWright State68-76
08/11/26ASpanish Basketball Academy77-85
07/11/26AMarshall81-76
06/11/26AMichigan State61-91
03/11/26AArkansas State70-71
01/11/26HJaen Paraiso93-81
25/10/26AMoron81-90
18/10/26HAlgeciras100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.892.075.5
Allowed / game65.864.067.5
Point differential+18.0+28.0+8.0
Avg total149.5156.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game73.068.074.2
Allowed / game77.276.077.5
Point differential-4.2-8.0-3.2
Avg total150.2144.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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