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Vasco vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-54
12-14 19-12 28-12 20-16
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game66.1
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game84.0
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Brasilia
23 Nov 2025
VASC59
BRAS81
12 Dec 2024
VASC79
BRAS88
19 Nov 2023
VASC79
BRAS54
07 Mar 2019
VASC78
BRAS94
19 Jan 2017
VASC85
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
67-107
67
107
-40
no box
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
no box
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 67
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
69avg 67
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
70avg 67
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 67
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 67
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
no box
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 67
H15/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-26
17-30
18-28
23-23
22-24
12-18
15-20
18-27
25-19
21-30
16-36
18-16
17-18
14-26
11-12
22-23
18-19
13-11
18-9
15-13
27-18
18-13
14-21
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
16-15
15-16
18-13
7-12
22-18
17-16
15-14
20-23
147.7Avg total
71.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.166.1136.3+4.071%
Season at home (4)67.568.2135.8-0.850%
Season away (3)73.763.3137.0+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)71.076.7147.7-5.750%
Last 5 (5)72.065.8137.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.686.2158.8-13.58%
vs Similar (1)92.081.0173.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.264.6137.8+8.6100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
no box
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 64
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 64
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 64
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 64
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 64
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 64
A16/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
19-29
12-22
17-20
14-27
14-28
25-23
18-35
22-24
23-24
15-24
13-18
26-24
14-21
15-21
17-18
25-25
24-17
24-11
21-23
20-15
22-25
12-17
26-21
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
162.0Avg total
73.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.784.0159.7-8.329%
Season at home (4)79.282.2161.5-3.025%
Season away (3)71.086.3157.3-15.333%
Last 10 (10)73.888.2162.0-14.420%
Last 5 (5)72.885.6158.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.091.8170.8-12.812%
vs Similar (6)78.380.2158.5-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
VascoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/11
NBB
75.4Avg total
37.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.875.8-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.639.273.8-4.638%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.678.1-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.468.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.941.576.4-6.525%-
vs Similar (1)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.633.672.2+5.080%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
83.6Avg total
37.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.746.385.0-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.944.585.4-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)35.848.784.5-12.915%-
Last 10 (10)37.146.583.6-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.280.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.448.186.5-9.721%-
vs Similar (6)39.739.278.8+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.5
52.8%
51.8%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.7
30.2%
33.9%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.0
62.9%
72.6%13.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.0%
51.8%33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.6%
33.9%29.6
🏀 Free throws17.411.6
66.4%
72.6%11.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WLWWWWLLLL
Brasilia
LLLLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#19
+6.9
Net rating
-11.0
93.9
Offensive rating
101.0
87.0
Defensive rating
112.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
41.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
22.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.2%
3-point %
35.6%
77.9%
Assist %
52.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 101.0Defence87.0 · 112.0Shooting49.1% · 50.9%3-point %30.2% · 35.6%Ball care22.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 23.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Vasco   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vasco wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
07/03/19Vasco v Brasilia78-94
13/10/18Brasilia v Vasco76-77
19/01/17Vasco v Brasilia85-76
12/11/16Brasilia v Vasco95-72
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HCerrado74-71
10/11/23HFlamengo65-68 OT
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63
30/10/23AUniao Corinthians74-65
27/10/23HPato71-62
23/10/23HMinas60-72
26/03/19APinheiros80-112
24/03/19ACorinthians Paulista72-85
16/03/19HFlamengo67-107
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
03/11/23APato80-78
23/10/23HPinheiros94-76
21/10/23HCorinthians Paulista72-84
15/04/23ACorinthians Paulista73-90
13/04/23APaulistano71-113
07/04/23APato64-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game70.167.573.7
Allowed / game66.168.263.3
Point differential+4.0-0.8+10.3
Avg total136.3135.8137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game75.779.271.0
Allowed / game84.082.286.3
Point differential-8.3-3.0-15.3
Avg total159.7161.5157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas76186%83.072.0+11.0
2 Flamengo65183%82.569.7+12.8
3 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
4 Franca75271%88.179.3+8.9
5 Vasco75271%70.166.1+4.0
6 Paulistano75271%70.069.0+1.0
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%76.676.9-0.3
8 Caxias do Sul74357%75.175.7-0.6
9 Pato95456%76.677.1-0.6
10 Sao Jose63350%79.275.3+3.8
11 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista63350%77.576.7+0.8
13 Bauru84450%75.177.8-2.6
14 Pinheiros62433%74.378.0-3.7
15 Sao Paulo72529%76.183.7-7.6
16 Brasilia72529%75.784.0-8.3
17 Botafogo92722%73.982.1-8.2
18 Cerrado81712%71.475.8-4.4
19 Mogi6060%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1219282079
Brasilia1412121654
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