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Cerrado vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 70-62
21-15 17-20 13-13 19-14
Position#17
Record2-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#14
Record1-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB (Brasília)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Mogi
28 Nov 2023
CERR70
MOGI62
21 Nov 2021
CERR74
MOGI86
24 Feb 2021
CERR78
MOGI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 62
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 62
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 62
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 62
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 62
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 62
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 62
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
84-53
84
53
+31
88avg 62
H24/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
16-21
13-16
23-20
19-32
18-22
16-17
14-15
23-20
17-14
28-24
12-16
16-20
21-13
20-15
24-16
19-9
147.3Avg total
71.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.873.2146.0-0.422%
Season at home (5)75.067.8142.8+7.240%
Season away (4)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)71.975.4147.3-3.520%
Last 5 (5)75.274.6149.8+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.392.8170.1-15.510%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.880.5160.3-0.733%
vs Weaker (4)82.069.2151.2+12.850%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 68
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 68
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
63avg 68
H08/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 68
H10/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
66-74
66
74
-8
49avg 68
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 68
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
85avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 68
H25/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
18-8
15-15
28-30
20-15
19-22
15-13
9-15
19-21
19-22
15-14
15-25
15-23
16-25
24-18
15-21
10-21
22-21
15-14
23-23
15-22
17-18
22-13
12-21
23-15
11-16
17-23
26-27
17-17
17-21
26-18
26-25
22-20
30-26
15-29
19-20
18-29
17-18
28-23
16-25
156.3Avg total
75.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.982.1156.0-8.211%
Season at home (7)74.683.4158.0-8.914%
Season away (2)71.577.5149.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.580.8156.3-5.320%
Last 5 (5)78.885.2164.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.386.5161.8-11.26%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.776.0152.7+0.746%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
CerradoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H24/11
NBB
71.9Avg total
34.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.082.3-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.183.2+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.281.3-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.271.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.271.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.845.584.2-6.735%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.742.580.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H08/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H25/11
NBB
77.0Avg total
37.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.376.4-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.939.176.1-2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.676.8-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.542.279.7-4.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.535.572.0+0.954%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.218.9
45.8%
51.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.2
29.1%
33.9%21.8
🏀 Free throws20.111.8
58.4%
72.6%11.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.314.6
51.4%
51.8%29.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.7
39.3%
33.9%32.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.3
74.0%
72.6%12.3
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
WLLLLWLLLL
Mogi
LLWLLLLLLW
#17
League position
#14
+0.0
Net rating
-10.2
97.2
Offensive rating
104.9
97.2
Defensive rating
115.1
45.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.7%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.1%
3-point %
39.3%
60.3%
Assist %
68.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 104.9Defence97.2 · 115.1Shooting45.0% · 55.1%3-point %29.1% · 39.3%Ball care18.2% · 21.7%Off. rebounds35.9% · 25.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Cerrado   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
4
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
17/02/22Mogi v Cerrado87-67
21/11/21Cerrado v Mogi74-86
24/02/21Cerrado v Mogi78-84
23/11/20Mogi v Cerrado81-75
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HBrasilia84-53
18/11/23ABotafogo73-74
15/11/23AVasco71-74
13/11/23AFlamengo71-89
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HVasco79-95
23/11/23HFlamengo86-95
20/11/23HBotafogo86-81
15/11/23ACaxias do Sul77-81
13/11/23AUniao Corinthians66-74
10/11/23HMinas70-79
08/11/23HPato70-87
27/10/23HUnifacisa68-82
25/10/23HCearense63-65
11/04/22APinheiros90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game72.875.070.0
Allowed / game73.267.880.0
Point differential-0.4+7.2-10.0
Avg total146.0142.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %11%14%0%
Points / game73.974.671.5
Allowed / game82.183.477.5
Point differential-8.2-8.9-6.0
Avg total156.0158.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas98189%83.372.2+11.1
2 Cearense87188%78.572.8+5.8
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo97278%82.673.2+9.3
5 Vasco107370%73.667.9+5.7
6 Sao Jose96367%81.873.2+8.6
7 Paulistano96367%71.170.8+0.3
8 Unifacisa85362%75.872.4+3.4
9 Bauru116555%78.576.1+2.4
10 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
11 Caxias do Sul94544%71.779.2-7.6
12 Uniao Corinthians94544%73.281.6-8.3
13 Corinthians Paulista83538%75.676.8-1.1
14 Sao Paulo93633%77.481.8-4.3
15 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
16 Cerrado92722%72.873.2-0.4
17 Brasilia92722%70.883.4-12.7
18 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
19 Mogi91811%73.982.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado2117131970
Mogi1520131462
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