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Mogi vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-95
18-29 17-18 28-23 16-25
Position#14
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game64.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos (Mogi das Cruzes)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Vasco
01 Nov 2025
MOGI79
VASC57
17 Oct 2024
MOGI66
VASC65
25 Nov 2023
MOGI79
VASC95
13 Feb 2019
MOGI90
VASC88
01 Feb 2018
MOGI89
VASC80
04 Feb 2017
MOGI80
VASC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 67
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 67
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
63avg 67
H08/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 67
H10/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
66-74
66
74
-8
49avg 67
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 67
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 67
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
85avg 67
H23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
22-11
24-23
26-19
29-16
18-8
15-15
28-30
20-15
19-22
15-13
9-15
19-21
19-22
15-14
15-25
15-23
16-25
24-18
15-21
10-21
22-21
15-14
23-23
15-22
17-18
22-13
12-21
23-15
11-16
17-23
26-27
17-17
17-21
26-18
26-25
22-20
30-26
15-29
19-20
154.0Avg total
76.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.280.5153.8-7.212%
Season at home (6)73.881.5155.3-7.717%
Season away (2)71.577.5149.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)76.277.8154.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)77.082.0159.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.986.1161.0-11.26%
vs Similar (13)76.776.0152.7+0.746%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
no box
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 70
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
69avg 70
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
70avg 70
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 70
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 70
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
no box
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-54
79
54
+25
83avg 70
H19/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
22-24
12-18
15-20
18-27
25-19
21-30
16-36
18-16
17-18
14-26
11-12
22-23
18-19
13-11
18-9
15-13
27-18
18-13
14-21
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
16-15
15-16
18-13
7-12
22-18
17-16
15-14
20-23
12-14
19-12
28-12
20-16
143.6Avg total
72.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.264.6135.9+6.675%
Season at home (5)69.865.4135.2+4.460%
Season away (3)73.763.3137.0+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)72.271.4143.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)73.063.6136.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.585.5158.0-13.09%
vs Similar (1)92.081.0173.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)74.262.8137.0+11.3100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
MogiVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H08/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/11
NBB
74.7Avg total
37.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.376.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.138.675.7-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.540.176.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.274.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.476.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.142.279.3-5.235%-
vs Similar (13)36.535.572.0+0.954%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/11
NBB
73.0Avg total
37.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.974.5-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.438.472.8-4.141%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.676.8-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.273.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.465.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.641.075.6-6.326%-
vs Similar (1)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.332.369.7+5.083%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.914.6
50.6%
51.8%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.6
39.5%
33.9%31.9
🏀 Free throws16.211.6
71.5%
72.6%11.6
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.615.3
51.7%
51.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.6
32.8%
33.9%28.7
🏀 Free throws19.112.0
62.7%
72.6%12.0
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LWLLLLLLWW
Vasco
WWLWWWWLLL
#14
League position
#4
-8.9
Net rating
+11.2
103.7
Offensive rating
96.1
112.7
Defensive rating
84.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
39.7%
21.7%
Turnover %
22.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.5%
3-point %
32.8%
70.3%
Assist %
78.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 96.1Defence112.7 · 84.9Shooting54.8% · 50.5%3-point %39.5% · 32.8%Ball care21.7% · 22.8%Off. rebounds24.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Mogi   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mogi wins
1
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
13/02/19Mogi v Vasco90-88
14/12/18Vasco v Mogi75-88
01/02/18Mogi v Vasco89-80
18/11/17Vasco v Mogi75-82
04/02/17Mogi v Vasco80-73
19/11/16Vasco v Mogi94-70
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HFlamengo86-95
20/11/23HBotafogo86-81
15/11/23ACaxias do Sul77-81
13/11/23AUniao Corinthians66-74
10/11/23HMinas70-79
08/11/23HPato70-87
27/10/23HUnifacisa68-82
25/10/23HCearense63-65
11/04/22APinheiros90-69
06/04/22HCaxias do Sul86-65
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HBrasilia79-54
15/11/23HCerrado74-71
10/11/23HFlamengo65-68 OT
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63
30/10/23AUniao Corinthians74-65
27/10/23HPato71-62
23/10/23HMinas60-72
26/03/19APinheiros80-112
24/03/19ACorinthians Paulista72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %12%17%0%
Points / game73.273.871.5
Allowed / game80.581.577.5
Point differential-7.2-7.7-6.0
Avg total153.8155.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%60%100%
Points / game71.269.873.7
Allowed / game64.665.463.3
Point differential+6.6+4.4+10.3
Avg total135.9135.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas87188%83.072.4+10.6
2 Cearense87188%78.572.8+5.8
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo86275%81.873.2+8.5
5 Vasco86275%71.264.6+6.6
6 Paulistano86275%71.168.9+2.2
7 Sao Jose85362%81.673.5+8.1
8 Unifacisa85362%75.872.4+3.4
9 Bauru106460%79.074.8+4.2
10 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
11 Caxias do Sul94544%71.779.2-7.6
12 Uniao Corinthians94544%73.281.6-8.3
13 Corinthians Paulista83538%75.676.8-1.1
14 Sao Paulo93633%77.481.8-4.3
15 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
16 Cerrado92722%72.873.2-0.4
17 Brasilia92722%70.883.4-12.7
18 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
19 Mogi81712%73.280.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1817281679
Vasco2918232595
← all games of the day
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