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Cerrado vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-78
14-12 14-19 28-21 18-26
Position#17
Record3-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#10
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB (Brasília)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Sao Jose
02 Dec 2023
CERR74
SAO 78
06 Mar 2023
CERR64
SAO 96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 63
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 63
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 63
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 63
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 63
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 63
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 63
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
84-53
84
53
+31
88avg 63
H24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
64avg 63
H28/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
16-21
13-16
23-20
19-32
18-22
16-17
14-15
23-20
17-14
28-24
12-16
16-20
21-13
20-15
24-16
19-9
21-15
17-20
13-13
19-14
144.6Avg total
72.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.572.1144.6+0.430%
Season at home (6)74.266.8141.0+7.350%
Season away (4)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)72.572.1144.6+0.430%
Last 5 (5)73.870.4144.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.192.7168.8-16.75%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.477.9156.3+0.643%
vs Weaker (4)82.069.2151.2+12.850%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 77
H25/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 77
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
100-69
100
69
+31
99avg 77
H06/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
59avg 77
H08/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
76avg 77
A15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 77
A17/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 77
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-72
96
72
+24
93avg 77
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
83avg 77
H27/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
12-20
20-15
16-13
14-11
5-22
20-17
23-18
20-19
12-23
20-17
26-23
22-14
25-15
28-16
25-24
14-19
28-18
9-25
16-15
20-22
15-12
22-17
21-23
24-23
27-17
9-17
30-25
27-13
17-20
22-14
16-17
20-20
31-12
25-16
20-24
20-15
21-17
24-19
18-20
153.2Avg total
80.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.873.2155.0+8.667%
Season at home (7)81.171.9153.0+9.357%
Season away (2)84.078.0162.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.273.0153.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)85.872.6158.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.584.8162.3-7.231%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.476.1156.5+4.250%
vs Weaker (9)92.974.3167.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
CerradoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/11
NBB
71.6Avg total
36.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.781.7-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.540.582.0+1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.281.3-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.271.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.472.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.345.583.8-7.332%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.741.479.1-3.729%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H25/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H06/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A17/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H27/11
NBB
74.7Avg total
39.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.481.0+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.239.279.4+1.059%-
Last 30 away (13)41.142.183.2-1.062%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.574.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.278.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.744.383.0-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)45.637.082.6+8.6100%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.0
46.5%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.1
28.6%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.811.8
59.6%
72.6%11.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.3
56.0%
51.8%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.0%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
71.9%
72.6%13.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
WWLLLLWLLL
Sao Jose
WWWWWLWLLL
#17
League position
#10
+1.2
Net rating
+12.0
98.0
Offensive rating
105.4
96.7
Defensive rating
93.5
45.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.4%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.6%
3-point %
34.0%
61.3%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 105.4Defence96.7 · 93.5Shooting45.1% · 53.9%3-point %28.6% · 34.0%Ball care17.8% · 20.4%Off. rebounds35.5% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Cerrado   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
2
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
06/03/23Cerrado v Sao Jose64-96
01/12/22Sao Jose v Cerrado88-79
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23HMogi70-62
24/11/23HBrasilia84-53
18/11/23ABotafogo73-74
15/11/23AVasco71-74
13/11/23AFlamengo71-89
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23HVasco83-71
23/11/23HBotafogo96-72
21/11/23HFlamengo82-64
17/11/23ACaxias do Sul90-82
15/11/23AUniao Corinthians78-74
08/11/23HMinas67-77
06/11/23HPato100-69
27/10/23HCearense78-82
25/10/23HUnifacisa62-68
21/04/23ABauru66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW30%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game72.574.270.0
Allowed / game72.166.880.0
Point differential+0.4+7.3-10.0
Avg total144.6141.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%57%100%
Points / game81.881.184.0
Allowed / game73.271.978.0
Point differential+8.6+9.3+6.0
Avg total155.0153.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%84.474.5+9.8
2 Cearense108280%79.275.0+4.2
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo97278%82.673.2+9.3
5 Paulistano118373%71.368.5+2.8
6 Vasco107370%73.667.9+5.7
7 Sao Jose96367%81.873.2+8.6
8 Unifacisa106460%75.672.8+2.8
9 Bauru126650%78.676.7+1.9
10 Sao Paulo115645%78.480.8-2.5
11 Corinthians Paulista94544%77.778.4-0.8
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Caxias do Sul114736%71.779.8-8.1
14 Uniao Corinthians114736%71.379.8-8.5
15 Cerrado103730%72.572.1+0.4
16 Brasilia103730%71.883.1-11.3
17 Botafogo123925%75.183.4-8.3
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi111109%73.480.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado1414281874
Sao Jose1219212678
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