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Sao Jose vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 100-69
22-14 25-15 28-16 25-24
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game74.2
BrazilNBB· Gym Linneu de Moura (Sao Jose dos Campos)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Jose v Pato
29 Dec 2026
SAO v PATO
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
SAO 86
PATO71
18 Apr 2025
SAO 77
PATO89
06 Nov 2023
SAO 100
PATO69
10 Jan 2023
SAO 96
PATO69
20 Nov 2019
SAO 81
PATO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-96
68
96
-28
no box
A27/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
97-84
97
84
+13
no box
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
A01/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
77-95
77
95
-18
no box
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
A20/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 58
H25/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 58
H27/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
28-23
16-22
14-14
19-27
17-19
19-26
13-24
23-22
25-22
21-21
28-19
21-33
10-17
21-18
23-27
24-25
20-18
16-17
32-20
21-21
15-32
17-16
24-26
18-20
19-16
21-22
25-21
18-23
12-20
20-15
16-13
14-11
5-22
20-17
23-18
20-19
12-23
20-17
26-23
159.6Avg total
76.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.075.0145.0-5.00%
Season at home (2)70.075.0145.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.982.7159.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)73.279.0152.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.488.4163.8-13.119%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.778.2154.8-1.533%
vs Weaker (8)93.676.8170.4+16.988%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#15
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 68
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 68
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 68
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 68
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 68
H03/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
29-19
22-12
20-17
28-26
19-21
23-23
28-21
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
155.7Avg total
77.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.674.2148.8+0.440%
Season at home (2)80.572.5153.0+8.050%
Season away (3)70.775.3146.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)77.977.8155.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.674.2148.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.784.7158.4-11.018%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.675.1156.8+6.562%
vs Weaker (5)91.690.2181.8+1.460%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
Sao JosePato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A27/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A01/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A20/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H25/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H27/10
NBB
78.5Avg total
35.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.482.6-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.742.581.3-3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.384.0-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.443.178.5-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.841.472.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.246.483.7-9.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.040.576.5-4.533%-
vs Weaker (8)45.639.585.1+6.188%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
77.9Avg total
40.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.580.8-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.838.279.0+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)38.244.082.2-5.818%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.577.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.940.678.6-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.440.179.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker (5)43.846.690.4-2.820%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.0
49.4%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.0
28.0%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.59.0
62.1%
72.6%9.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.6
54.2%
51.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.0
31.4%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.2
68.9%
72.6%10.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/5 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LLLWLWLWLL
Pato
LWLWLLLWWW
#10
League position
#12
-6.6
Net rating
+0.0
91.8
Offensive rating
104.2
98.4
Defensive rating
104.2
46.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.0%
3-point %
31.4%
53.7%
Assist %
64.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 104.2Defence98.4 · 104.2Shooting46.6% · 50.6%3-point %28.0% · 31.4%Ball care17.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds21.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
0
Pato wins
DateGameScore
10/01/23Sao Jose v Pato96-69
17/10/22Pato v Sao Jose61-71
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HCearense78-82
25/10/23HUnifacisa62-68
21/04/23ABauru66-71
20/04/23ABauru83-79
17/04/23HBauru77-95
12/04/23ARio Claro92-80
01/04/23AFranca75-95
30/03/23HSao Paulo97-84
27/03/23AFlamengo68-96
23/03/23HPaulistano71-77
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80
31/10/23HCerrado83-65
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
10/04/23HCerrado98-91
07/04/23HBrasilia91-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game74.680.570.7
Allowed / game74.272.575.3
Point differential+0.4+8.0-4.7
Avg total148.8153.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
3 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
4 Vasco54180%70.464.8+5.6
5 Unifacisa43175%73.563.8+9.8
6 Cearense43175%75.074.5+0.5
7 Uniao Corinthians32167%76.372.7+3.7
8 Brasilia32167%82.079.3+2.7
9 Paulistano53260%67.868.8-1.0
10 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
11 Bauru42250%74.276.5-2.2
12 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
13 Pato52340%74.674.2+0.4
14 Caxias do Sul31233%67.772.3-4.7
15 Sao Jose2020%70.075.0-5.0
16 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
17 Botafogo5050%70.882.0-11.2
18 Cerrado3030%61.773.0-11.3
19 Sao Paulo3030%70.086.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose22252825100
Pato1415162469
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