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Chemnitz vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-83
15-17 15-23 25-22 6-21
Position#14
Record4-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#10
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game88.2
GermanyBBLRound 15
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayreuth
16 Dec 2022
CHE84
BAR77
09 Oct 2021
CHE72
BAR86
30 Jan 2021
CHE61
BAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#12
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H06/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A09/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H12/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A18/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
91-114
91
114
-23
H22/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H30/12
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A10/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H15/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
63-102
63
102
-39
A24/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
13-19
20-20
16-23
14-19
18-20
23-22
21-27
14-18
17-22
13-22
23-14
20-25
27-19
24-20
24-19
24-30
17-24
21-31
29-29
17-16
28-17
22-19
28-23
27-13
23-28
21-16
25-22
17-26
16-13
24-18
19-20
23-13
21-19
26-26
14-26
8-23
17-25
21-29
17-25
169.1Avg total
82.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.191.1174.2-8.031%
Season at home (6)86.091.2177.2-5.233%
Season away (7)80.691.0171.6-10.429%
Last 10 (10)82.286.9169.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)84.685.0169.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.695.0176.6-13.425%
vs Similar (5)85.484.8170.2+0.640%
vs Weaker (17)97.181.4178.5+15.894%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#18
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A09/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
99-110
99
110
-11
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H23/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
19-25
23-23
27-25
25-27
22-24
17-25
15-14
28-24
21-28
15-25
22-27
24-23
27-21
14-24
22-25
27-30
25-17
18-24
29-39
18-22
20-17
18-15
17-13
18-25
23-19
15-24
14-21
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
19-17
16-19
21-27
21-19
21-24
22-25
19-26
16-23
171.6Avg total
81.4Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.588.2169.7-6.729%
Season at home (7)83.688.4172.0-4.929%
Season away (7)79.488.0167.4-8.629%
Last 10 (10)81.490.2171.6-8.820%
Last 5 (5)74.283.2157.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.289.2167.4-11.09%
vs Similar (7)80.076.9156.9+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.895.3192.1+1.450%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
ChemnitzBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A09/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A18/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H30/12
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A10/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A24/01
BBL
79.2Avg total
38.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.585.9+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.986.6+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)41.943.485.2-1.557%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.043.681.6-5.638%-
vs Similar (5)41.842.484.2-0.640%-
vs Weaker (17)48.240.388.5+7.982%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A19/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
BBL
87.0Avg total
43.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.587.1-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.686.5-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.245.587.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.787.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.344.483.6-5.127%-
vs Similar (7)39.340.479.7-1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.547.194.6+0.450%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.7
55.0%
54.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.6
39.5%
37.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.616.2
82.7%
78.0%16.2
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.4
55.3%
54.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.6
36.4%
37.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.516.0
78.0%
78.0%16.0
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWLWWLWLLL
Bayreuth
LLLLWLLLLW
#14
League position
#10
-13.1
Net rating
-12.0
111.1
Offensive rating
110.3
124.3
Defensive rating
122.3
56.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.6%
22.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.5%
3-point %
36.4%
63.0%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 110.3Defence124.3 · 122.3Shooting56.8% · 55.0%3-point %39.5% · 36.4%Ball care22.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Bayreuth wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21AUlm63-102
15/01/21HBonn93-92 OT
10/01/21ABayern76-77
30/12/20HSyntainics MBC96-79
27/12/20AHamburg95-75
22/12/20HLudwigsburg91-114
18/12/20AGiessen95-83
12/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg67-76
09/12/20ACrailsheim Merlins76-88
06/12/20HFrankfurt70-83
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21HBayern78-98
16/01/21ACrailsheim Merlins77-82
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
02/01/21HLudwigsburg70-89
30/12/20ABamberg73-67
26/12/20HGiessen99-110
22/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-93
19/12/20AFrankfurt86-104
13/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig79-90
09/12/20AVechta92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL31%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game83.186.080.6
Allowed / game91.191.291.0
Point differential-8.0-5.2-10.4
Avg total174.2177.2171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %15%33%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game81.583.679.4
Allowed / game88.288.488.0
Point differential-6.7-4.9-8.6
Avg total169.7172.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1413193%89.478.6+10.8
2 Alba Berlin1110191%85.576.5+9.0
3 Oldenburg1412286%92.081.9+10.1
4 Crailsheim Merlins1412286%88.980.4+8.6
5 Bayern1210283%87.375.6+11.8
6 Hamburg139469%84.877.5+7.4
7 Ulm138562%86.778.2+8.5
8 Bamberg156940%81.682.1-0.5
9 Syntainics MBC135838%84.887.9-3.2
10 Frankfurt135838%77.882.2-4.4
11 s.Oliver Wurzburg135838%78.883.8-5.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig114736%86.892.4-5.5
13 Chemnitz134931%83.191.1-8.0
14 Bayreuth1441029%81.588.2-6.7
15 Gottingen1441029%82.191.9-9.9
16 Bonn1331023%80.285.2-5.1
17 Vechta1431121%81.186.8-5.6
18 Giessen1421214%84.495.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz151525661
Bayreuth1723222183
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