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Ulm vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 102-63
23-8 25-17 29-21 25-17
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.4
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#14
Record4-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game90.2
GermanyBBLRound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Chemnitz
10 Jan 2027
ULM v CHE
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
ULM88
CHE76
28 Sep 2025
ULM94
CHE81
06 Apr 2025
ULM117
CHE87
27 Sep 2023
ULM90
CHE85
05 Nov 2022
ULM93
CHE99
22 Jan 2022
ULM77
CHE68
24 Jan 2021
ULM102
CHE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A13/12
BBL
Unicaja
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A16/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A19/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H26/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H02/01
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A09/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
A17/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
11-25
14-18
24-22
20-25
18-15
15-14
20-15
17-24
34-21
17-26
26-19
19-20
22-31
20-22
22-20
22-19
25-23
23-21
16-26
16-19
17-22
36-26
15-19
13-22
22-19
15-19
23-12
18-19
16-16
17-18
16-21
17-17
29-22
23-23
18-27
29-14
20-27
22-19
27-14
163.1Avg total
81.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.479.4164.8+6.058%
Season at home (5)80.876.8157.6+4.060%
Season away (7)88.781.3170.0+7.457%
Last 10 (10)81.881.3163.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)81.879.0160.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)78.881.6160.5-2.815%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.674.0160.6+12.682%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-119
73
119
-46
A04/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H06/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A09/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H12/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A18/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
91-114
91
114
-23
H22/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H30/12
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A10/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H15/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
15-28
19-32
17-27
21-21
13-19
20-20
16-23
14-19
18-20
23-22
21-27
14-18
17-22
13-22
23-14
20-25
27-19
24-20
24-19
24-30
17-24
21-31
29-29
17-16
28-17
22-19
28-23
27-13
23-28
21-16
25-22
17-26
16-13
24-18
19-20
23-13
21-19
26-26
14-26
171.8Avg total
83.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.890.2174.9-5.433%
Season at home (6)86.091.2177.2-5.233%
Season away (6)83.589.2172.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)83.288.6171.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)90.287.4177.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.394.0178.3-9.729%
vs Similar (5)85.484.8170.2+0.640%
vs Weaker (18)97.481.4178.9+16.094%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
UlmChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A13/12
BBL
Unicaja
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A19/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H26/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/01
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A17/01
BBL
82.1Avg total
40.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.479.6+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.737.677.3+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)43.139.282.3+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.282.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)40.539.279.8+1.354%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.837.779.5+4.153%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A04/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A09/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A18/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H30/12
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A10/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/01
BBL
81.6Avg total
39.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.286.6+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.986.6+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.786.6+1.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.281.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.882.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.943.082.9-3.143%-
vs Similar (5)41.842.484.2-0.640%-
vs Weaker (18)48.540.288.7+8.383%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.0
47.5%
54.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.7
37.9%
37.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.321.7
85.8%
78.0%21.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.2
55.7%
54.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.0
40.3%
37.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.716.3
82.7%
78.0%16.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLWLLLWWL
Chemnitz
WLWWLWLLLL
#6
League position
#14
+0.4
Net rating
-8.5
111.2
Offensive rating
112.1
110.8
Defensive rating
120.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
57.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.9%
3-point %
40.3%
66.0%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 112.1Defence110.8 · 120.7Shooting51.7% · 57.7%3-point %37.9% · 40.3%Ball care17.1% · 21.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21AGottingen98-74
09/01/21ALudwigsburg87-89
06/01/21HBamberg67-74
02/01/21HBonn73-72
29/12/20ACrailsheim Merlins84-86
26/12/20HOldenburg86-89
19/12/20AAlba Berlin83-93
16/12/20AUnicaja94-90
13/12/20AHamburg73-69
08/12/20HBuducnost73-77
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21HBonn93-92 OT
10/01/21ABayern76-77
30/12/20HSyntainics MBC96-79
27/12/20AHamburg95-75
22/12/20HLudwigsburg91-114
18/12/20AGiessen95-83
12/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg67-76
09/12/20ACrailsheim Merlins76-88
06/12/20HFrankfurt70-83
04/12/20AOldenburg73-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game85.480.888.7
Allowed / game79.476.881.3
Point differential+6.0+4.0+7.4
Avg total164.8157.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game84.886.083.5
Allowed / game90.291.289.2
Point differential-5.4-5.2-5.7
Avg total174.9177.2172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1413193%89.478.6+10.8
2 Alba Berlin109190%84.175.6+8.5
3 Oldenburg1412286%92.081.9+10.1
4 Crailsheim Merlins1311285%88.680.1+8.5
5 Bayern1210283%87.375.6+11.8
6 Hamburg139469%84.877.5+7.4
7 Ulm127558%85.479.4+6.0
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg125742%78.282.5-4.2
9 Basketball Braunschweig104640%87.191.8-4.7
10 Bamberg135838%80.581.5-1.1
11 Syntainics MBC135838%84.887.9-3.2
12 Frankfurt135838%77.882.2-4.4
13 Chemnitz124833%84.890.2-5.4
14 Bayreuth1441029%81.588.2-6.7
15 Bonn123925%79.884.6-4.8
16 Gottingen1331023%81.792.8-11.2
17 Vechta1431121%81.186.8-5.6
18 Giessen1421214%84.495.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm23252925102
Chemnitz817211763
← all games of the day
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