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Chemnitz vs CSM Oradea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-98 (OT)
23-18 28-22 19-23 19-26 12-9
Position#2
Record9-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#17
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 81
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
72avg 81
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 81
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 81
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 81
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 81
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 81
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 81
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 81
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 81
A12/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-16
27-25
18-29
29-15
20-22
19-17
21-30
18-18
25-20
15-17
25-25
30-17
25-20
28-14
25-18
15-17
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
166.8Avg total
89.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.869.4162.2+23.3100%
Season at home (4)98.073.2171.2+24.8100%
Season away (5)88.666.4155.0+22.2100%
Last 10 (10)89.976.9166.8+13.080%
Last 5 (5)88.673.8162.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.792.7167.3-18.00%
vs Similar (3)85.390.3175.7-5.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.270.8160.0+18.596%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
92avg 83
A02/12
Divizia A
Leiden
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 83
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Craiova
#4
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 83
H09/12
Divizia A
Chemnitz
#2
L
79-95
79
95
-16
70avg 83
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
90avg 83
A18/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 83
H23/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 83
A28/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
92-72
92
72
+20
94avg 83
H05/01
Divizia A
Varese
#7
L
81-100
81
100
-19
70avg 83
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Focsani
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
92avg 83
A12/01
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
21-16
24-17
22-22
23-19
19-24
17-18
23-16
18-12
17-15
26-26
29-20
20-25
17-15
25-25
17-30
27-13
22-22
22-25
24-19
30-15
20-21
24-21
16-19
24-14
24-29
20-28
15-17
34-23
19-14
14-23
25-12
19-26
19-26
16-29
27-19
20-17
24-13
27-16
24-21
169.4Avg total
88.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.684.3170.9+2.256%
Season at home (4)92.088.5180.5+3.550%
Season away (5)82.281.0163.2+1.260%
Last 10 (10)88.281.2169.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)88.280.6168.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.786.3170.0-2.733%
vs Similar (7)73.380.9154.1-7.629%
vs Weaker (19)89.474.8164.2+14.684%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
ChemnitzCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
82.6Avg total
44.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.280.1+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.082.3+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)40.637.377.9+3.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.082.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.347.085.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (3)42.050.392.3-8.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.734.378.0+9.479%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A02/12
Divizia A
Leiden
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Craiova
#4
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H09/12
Divizia A
Chemnitz
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A18/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/12
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/01
Divizia A
Varese
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Focsani
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/01
Divizia A
83.4Avg total
44.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.1+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.437.582.9+7.862%-
Last 30 away (17)42.239.481.5+2.859%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.983.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.686.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.043.383.3-3.30%-
vs Similar (7)35.639.174.7-3.629%-
vs Weaker (19)47.737.485.1+10.384%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.6
56.6%
52.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.3
39.2%
33.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
73.0%16.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.9
56.7%
52.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.6
38.1%
33.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
73.0%12.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLWWWWLW
CSM Oradea
WLWLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#17
+17.4
Net rating
+8.9
117.7
Offensive rating
117.5
100.3
Defensive rating
108.6
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
38.1%
65.8%
Assist %
64.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 117.5Defence100.3 · 108.6Shooting57.5% · 56.9%3-point %39.2% · 38.1%Ball care19.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds36.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
0
CSM Oradea wins
DateGameScore
13/12/23CSM Oradea v Chemnitz79-95
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
20/12/23AVechta81-80
16/12/23HHeidelberg93-69
13/12/23ACSM Oradea95-79
09/12/23HUlm78-87
06/12/23HVarese109-85
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24ACSM Focsani95-67
10/01/24AVarese81-100
05/01/24HPetrolul Ploiesti92-72
28/12/23ACSM Targu Mures83-88
23/12/23HCSM Constanta90-76
18/12/23AArges Pitesti95-79
13/12/23HChemnitz79-95
09/12/23HSCM Craiova90-73
06/12/23ALeiden82-77
02/12/23ACSU Sibiu95-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.898.088.6
Allowed / game69.473.266.4
Point differential+23.3+24.8+22.2
Avg total162.2171.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSM Oradea
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game86.692.082.2
Allowed / game84.388.581.0
Point differential+2.2+3.5+1.2
Avg total170.9180.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz990100%92.869.4+23.3
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Bilbao990100%83.267.3+15.9
4 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%91.176.4+14.7
5 Nymburk97278%86.974.8+12.1
6 Legia97278%88.079.4+8.6
7 Basket Zaragoza97278%80.675.1+5.4
8 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
9 Gottingen96367%87.780.7+7.0
10 Varese96367%94.189.0+5.1
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 FC Porto117464%83.577.4+6.1
13 Manisa117464%77.374.8+2.5
14 Leiden85362%65.565.2+0.2
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque74357%71.365.1+6.1
16 CSM Oradea95456%86.684.3+2.2
17 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Jonava94544%84.788.6-3.9
29 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
30 Sporting CP73443%83.984.9-1.0
31 Balkan73443%74.482.1-7.7
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Chemnitz2328191912101
CSM Oradea18222326998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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