PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-66
14-16 24-14 15-16 32-20
Position#3
Record12-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game75.1
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
vs
Ludwigsburg
Germany
Position#9
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game80.9
GermanyBBLRound 15· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg
31 Oct 2026
CHE94
LUD78
10 Oct 2025
CHE111
LUD88
01 May 2025
CHE104
LUD100
06 Jan 2024
CHE85
LUD66
08 Jan 2023
CHE89
LUD80
12 Feb 2022
CHE74
LUD56
22 Dec 2020
CHE91
LUD114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#40
W
88-61
88
61
+27
94avg 80
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
73avg 80
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 80
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
72avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 80
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 80
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 80
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 80
A31/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
31-18
16-17
21-15
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
20-14
18-12
19-19
22-13
35-16
27-25
18-29
29-15
20-22
19-17
21-30
18-18
25-20
15-17
25-25
30-17
25-20
28-14
25-18
15-17
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
167.8Avg total
90.4Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.675.1162.6+12.586%
Season at home (7)89.972.1162.0+17.7100%
Season away (7)85.378.0163.3+7.371%
Last 10 (10)90.477.4167.8+13.080%
Last 5 (5)90.879.2170.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.792.7167.3-18.00%
vs Similar (5)83.286.2169.4-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.671.7161.3+17.995%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 75
H26/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
104-76
104
76
+28
109avg 75
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 75
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
60-80
60
80
-20
40avg 75
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 75
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
W
83-79
83
79
+4
66avg 75
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 75
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
104-80
104
80
+24
102avg 75
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
99avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
82-63
82
63
+19
72avg 75
H02/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
28-13
21-29
19-16
17-28
37-18
23-12
27-18
20-21
14-15
23-17
18-19
12-22
14-20
17-11
17-27
17-22
21-27
23-12
17-20
21-18
14-20
22-18
26-23
25-20
26-23
18-19
13-21
31-18
27-15
29-18
17-29
24-31
26-17
24-26
30-20
20-17
20-16
25-12
17-18
164.6Avg total
85.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.980.9170.7+9.064%
Season at home (7)90.684.1174.7+6.457%
Season away (7)89.177.6166.7+11.671%
Last 10 (10)85.978.7164.6+7.270%
Last 5 (5)91.079.8170.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.085.4161.4-9.420%
vs Similar (11)85.777.6163.4+8.173%
vs Weaker (13)86.881.2167.9+5.662%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
ChemnitzLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#40
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
84.6Avg total
46.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.5+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.638.383.9+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.438.779.1+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)46.038.684.6+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.347.085.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (5)41.046.087.0-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.135.679.7+8.577%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/01
Champions League
83.5Avg total
43.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.782.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.583.2+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.840.981.7-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.283.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
vs Similar (11)41.538.579.9+3.055%-
vs Weaker (13)44.243.787.9+0.554%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.5
60.3%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
76.0%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.4
48.1%
54.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.8
35.4%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
76.0%14.4
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWWWWLWWWW
Ludwigsburg
WWWLWLLWWW
#3
League position
#9
+17.7
Net rating
+10.1
120.2
Offensive rating
109.5
102.5
Defensive rating
99.4
59.1%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.2%
3-point %
35.4%
62.4%
Assist %
62.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 109.5Defence102.5 · 99.4Shooting59.1% · 50.3%3-point %38.2% · 35.4%Ball care19.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds36.3% · 29.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
3
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
05/05/23Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz86-79
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
05/11/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz74-76
09/03/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-60
22/12/20Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg91-114
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
20/12/23AVechta81-80
16/12/23HHeidelberg93-69
13/12/23ACSM Oradea95-79
09/12/23HUlm78-87
06/12/23HVarese109-85
03/12/23AOldenburg79-58
24/11/23HHamburg96-87
22/11/23HDen Bosch88-61
Ludwigsburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24HDarussafaka82-63
30/12/23HTubingen104-94
27/12/23HOldenburg104-80
23/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
20/12/23HAEK Athens83-79
17/12/23HSyntainics MBC78-81
06/12/23ASzczecin60-80
02/12/23AHeidelberg75-72
28/11/23AGottingen104-76
26/11/23HAlba Berlin87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game87.689.985.3
Allowed / game75.172.178.0
Point differential+12.5+17.7+7.3
Avg total162.6162.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%57%71%
Points / game89.990.689.1
Allowed / game80.984.177.6
Point differential+9.0+6.4+11.6
Avg total170.7174.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1412286%87.675.1+12.5
2 Ulm1512380%93.587.6+5.9
3 Bayern129375%87.776.3+11.3
4 Alba Berlin118373%94.084.4+9.6
5 Wurzburg139469%82.376.0+6.3
6 Vechta1510567%90.179.9+10.2
7 Ludwigsburg149564%89.980.9+9.0
8 Hamburg149564%87.488.6-1.2
9 Bonn159660%89.984.7+5.2
10 Rostock136746%92.592.5+0.1
11 Oldenburg146843%83.984.2-0.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%82.887.6-4.8
13 Bamberg145936%88.291.7-3.5
14 Syntainics MBC1441029%81.789.0-7.3
15 Tubingen1441029%85.994.8-8.9
16 Gottingen1331023%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins1421214%79.295.2-16.0
18 Heidelberg1521313%81.595.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1424153285
Ludwigsburg1614162066
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.