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Chemnitz vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-87
20-22 19-17 21-30 18-18
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Quarter-finals· Messe Chemnitz
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ulm
13 Feb 2027
CHE v ULM
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
CHE79
ULM66
29 Oct 2025
CHE89
ULM78
22 Sep 2024
CHE86
ULM90
02 Mar 2024
CHE83
ULM82
09 Dec 2023
CHE78
ULM87
21 Apr 2023
CHE92
ULM86
24 Oct 2021
CHE78
ULM81
02 Oct 2021
CHE87
ULM85
02 May 2021
CHE70
ULM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 80
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 80
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
99-63
99
63
+36
102avg 80
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 80
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 80
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
88-61
88
61
+27
94avg 80
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
73avg 80
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 80
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
16-20
16-19
12-12
26-17
23-12
28-13
30-22
18-16
23-19
30-17
26-19
27-13
19-19
22-17
34-14
22-25
22-22
20-12
25-21
18-20
20-11
31-18
16-17
21-15
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
20-14
18-12
19-19
22-13
35-16
27-25
18-29
29-15
161.2Avg total
90.6Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
Season at home (1)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.670.6161.2+20.0100%
Last 5 (5)91.473.2164.6+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.288.0165.2-10.820%
vs Similar (5)83.081.8164.8+1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.471.7161.1+17.7100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 81
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 81
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
108avg 81
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
47avg 81
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 81
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
89-107
89
107
-18
87avg 81
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 81
A06/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
19-21
22-21
14-17
26-22
25-29
23-18
19-21
27-19
17-17
16-36
20-15
31-21
18-28
34-27
18-29
19-23
21-13
22-29
20-21
22-20
177.2Avg total
90.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.187.1177.2+3.070%
Last 5 (5)90.290.8181.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.286.6171.9-1.462%
vs Similar (15)88.583.0171.5+5.587%
vs Weaker (7)97.389.6186.9+7.786%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
ChemnitzUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
78.9Avg total
44.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.982.3+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.739.885.5+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.079.1+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.934.078.9+10.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.634.081.6+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.445.887.2-4.420%-
vs Similar (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.936.180.0+7.875%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/12
Eurocup
87.7Avg total
42.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.087.7+1.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.643.790.3+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.385.1+0.473%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.987.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.891.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.445.487.8-3.050%-
vs Similar (15)43.140.883.9+2.367%-
vs Weaker (7)50.745.195.9+5.686%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.7
55.6%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.8
39.6%
32.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
74.1%14.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.8
60.3%
53.5%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
32.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
74.1%15.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWWW
Ulm
WLLWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+26.3
Net rating
+5.0
120.4
Offensive rating
115.3
94.0
Defensive rating
110.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
57.4%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.6%
3-point %
35.4%
64.9%
Assist %
70.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 115.3Defence94.0 · 110.3Shooting57.2% · 57.4%3-point %39.6% · 35.4%Ball care17.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
27/09/23Ulm v Chemnitz90-85
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
05/11/22Ulm v Chemnitz93-99 OT
22/01/22Ulm v Chemnitz77-68
24/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm78-81
02/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm87-85
02/05/21Chemnitz v Ulm70-85
24/01/21Ulm v Chemnitz102-63
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HVarese109-85
03/12/23AOldenburg79-58
24/11/23HHamburg96-87
22/11/23HDen Bosch88-61
17/11/23HRostock85-75
15/11/23HSpojnia Stargard97-75
12/11/23ATubingen106-68
08/11/23APeja99-63
04/11/23AWurzburg70-68
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23ATrento85-83
03/12/23HRostock89-107
29/11/23HJL Bourg84-89
25/11/23HCrailsheim Merlins94-87
22/11/23AAris99-88 OT
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+25.0+25.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ulm
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%101.073.0+28.0
2 Chemnitz110100%89.064.0+25.0
3 Alba Berlin220100%90.570.5+20.0
4 Bamberg330100%82.072.7+9.3
5 Ulm110100%76.072.0+4.0
6 Bonn110100%80.079.0+1.0
7 Vechta32167%90.787.7+3.0
8 Syntainics MBC32167%83.084.0-1.0
9 Wurzburg21150%82.578.5+4.0
10 Heidelberg21150%91.590.0+1.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig21150%74.580.0-5.5
12 Hamburg21150%76.082.5-6.5
13 Giessen21150%71.581.0-9.5
14 Ludwigsburg1010%79.080.0-1.0
15 Gottingen1010%99.0101.0-2.0
16 Dresden1010%85.088.0-3.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins1010%73.079.0-6.0
18 Bayreuth1010%82.089.0-7.0
19 Frankfurt1010%73.081.0-8.0
20 Rostock1010%76.084.0-8.0
21 Artland1010%67.078.0-11.0
22 PS Karlsruhe1010%81.093.0-12.0
23 Tubingen1010%64.078.0-14.0
24 Oldenburg1010%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2019211878
Ulm2217301887
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