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Chemnitz vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 95-67
26-26 22-14 29-9 18-18
Position#3
Record11-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game73.6
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game95.8
GermanyBBLRound 13· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins
26 Dec 2023
CHE95
CME67
18 Nov 2022
CHE106
CME94
30 Dec 2021
CHE82
CME92
14 Apr 2021
CHE73
CME85
31 Mar 2018
CHE74
CME91
11 Feb 2017
CHE87
CME96
08 Feb 2014
CHE77
CME79
02 Nov 2012
CHE80
CME71
23 Mar 2012
CHE70
CME66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 80
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
88-61
88
61
+27
94avg 80
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
73avg 80
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 80
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
72avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 80
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 80
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 80
A20/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-17
34-14
22-25
22-22
20-12
25-21
18-20
20-11
31-18
16-17
21-15
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
20-14
18-12
19-19
22-13
35-16
27-25
18-29
29-15
20-22
19-17
21-30
18-18
25-20
15-17
25-25
30-17
25-20
28-14
25-18
15-17
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
165.7Avg total
90.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.873.6160.3+13.292%
Season at home (6)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Season away (6)84.574.2158.7+10.383%
Last 10 (10)90.175.6165.7+14.590%
Last 5 (5)91.280.0171.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.091.0170.0-12.025%
vs Similar (5)81.479.6161.0+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.372.0161.3+17.495%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 72
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 72
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-99
63
99
-36
53avg 72
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
58-96
58
96
-38
46avg 72
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 72
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
49avg 72
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 72
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
33avg 72
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
96-98
96
98
-2
94avg 72
H23/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
25-18
14-29
11-20
18-23
14-15
20-25
15-33
14-26
16-18
20-24
12-25
10-29
26-22
18-24
22-19
20-28
29-25
18-23
21-19
19-27
16-26
12-19
29-25
30-14
19-29
20-26
20-19
28-23
19-28
25-19
32-21
20-30
175.6Avg total
79.8Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.895.8175.6-15.917%
Season at home (6)79.892.0171.8-12.233%
Season away (6)79.899.5179.3-19.70%
Last 10 (10)79.895.8175.6-16.010%
Last 5 (5)88.693.2181.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.893.1172.9-13.412%
vs Similar (11)82.886.6169.5-3.836%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -6.3-6.3
ChemnitzCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
80.6Avg total
45.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.881.0+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.484.1+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.377.8+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.035.680.6+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.284.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.245.586.8-4.225%-
vs Similar (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.935.479.3+8.576%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/12
BBL
85.0Avg total
38.7Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.083.6-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.181.9-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.985.4-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.746.385.0-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)40.448.288.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.745.584.2-6.818%-
vs Similar (11)41.841.883.6+0.045%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
54.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.6
39.7%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.913.2
73.7%
76.0%13.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.5
51.5%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
76.0%12.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLWWWWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#17
+20.2
Net rating
-24.7
121.0
Offensive rating
100.5
100.8
Defensive rating
125.2
58.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.7%
3-point %
32.5%
62.1%
Assist %
52.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 100.5Defence100.8 · 125.2Shooting58.7% · 50.4%3-point %39.7% · 32.5%Ball care17.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds33.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chemnitz wins
8
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz79-82
18/11/22Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins106-94
15/10/22Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz86-72
07/05/22Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz95-93
30/12/21Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins82-92
14/04/21Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins73-85
09/12/20Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz88-76
31/03/18Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins74-91
30/09/17Crailsheim Merlins v Chemnitz78-70
11/02/17Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins87-96
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AVechta81-80
16/12/23HHeidelberg93-69
13/12/23ACSM Oradea95-79
09/12/23HUlm78-87
06/12/23HVarese109-85
03/12/23AOldenburg79-58
24/11/23HHamburg96-87
22/11/23HDen Bosch88-61
17/11/23HRostock85-75
15/11/23HSpojnia Stargard97-75
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HWurzburg96-98
18/12/23ABamberg87-97
02/12/23HTubingen87-84
25/11/23AUlm87-94
20/11/23HHeidelberg86-93
11/11/23AVechta58-96
04/11/23HOldenburg63-99
29/10/23ABonn68-90
22/10/23HBayern62-97
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game86.889.084.5
Allowed / game73.673.074.2
Point differential+13.2+16.0+10.3
Avg total160.3162.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game79.879.879.8
Allowed / game95.892.099.5
Point differential-15.9-12.2-19.7
Avg total175.6171.8179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1211192%86.873.6+13.2
2 Ulm129375%92.189.7+2.4
3 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
4 Bayern107370%87.378.5+8.8
5 Wurzburg117464%82.275.6+6.5
6 Bonn138562%89.884.5+5.4
7 Ludwigsburg127558%87.579.8+7.7
8 Vechta127558%87.880.6+7.2
9 Hamburg127558%87.890.3-2.6
10 Oldenburg126650%84.882.7+2.1
11 Rostock115645%93.193.2-0.1
12 Bamberg125742%90.292.8-2.5
13 Basketball Braunschweig135838%82.388.3-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC124833%82.986.6-3.7
15 Tubingen124833%86.293.9-7.8
16 Gottingen102820%88.099.1-11.1
17 Heidelberg1221017%81.793.0-11.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins1221017%79.895.8-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2622291895
Crailsheim Merlins261491867
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