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Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 101-90
34-19 26-26 20-25 21-20
Position#2
Record7-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#3
Record12-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game73.1
GermanyBBLRound 14· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Chemnitz
18 Sep 2026
ABE89
CHE82
03 May 2026
ABE82
CHE84
20 Oct 2024
ABE78
CHE81
06 Jun 2024
ABE97
CHE84
31 May 2024
ABE86
CHE64
28 May 2024
ABE82
CHE95
31 Dec 2023
ABE101
CHE90
11 Mar 2023
ABE101
CHE91
19 Feb 2022
ABE91
CHE81
05 Dec 2021
ABE83
CHE62
07 Feb 2021
ABE83
CHE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 79
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 79
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 79
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 79
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
71avg 79
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 79
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 79
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
57avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
13-28
29-21
16-19
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
15-22
25-15
25-27
24-33
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
22-25
20-26
11-20
18-14
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
26-24
21-27
12-21
23-19
25-19
18-21
8-27
16-27
162.5Avg total
78.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.383.8177.1+9.570%
Season at home (4)93.881.8175.5+12.075%
Season away (6)93.085.2178.2+7.867%
Last 10 (10)78.284.3162.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)76.885.0161.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.986.2162.2-10.318%
vs Similar ◀ (2)93.090.0183.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (11)91.780.2171.9+11.573%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
88-61
88
61
+27
94avg 80
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
73avg 80
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
109-85
109
85
+24
108avg 80
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
72avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 80
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 80
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 80
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-12
25-21
18-20
20-11
31-18
16-17
21-15
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
20-14
18-12
19-19
22-13
35-16
27-25
18-29
29-15
20-22
19-17
21-30
18-18
25-20
15-17
25-25
30-17
25-20
28-14
25-18
15-17
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
164.7Avg total
89.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.473.1160.5+14.392%
Season at home (7)89.972.1162.0+17.7100%
Season away (6)84.574.2158.7+10.383%
Last 10 (10)89.974.8164.7+15.190%
Last 5 (5)88.476.4164.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.792.7167.3-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.479.6161.0+1.860%
vs Weaker (22)89.671.7161.3+17.995%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
Alba BerlinChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/12
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
39.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.942.485.3+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)42.345.087.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.683.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.088.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.044.283.2-5.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)53.046.599.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (11)46.242.688.8+3.564%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/12
BBL
Varese
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
81.7Avg total
45.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.880.9+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.638.383.9+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.377.8+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.081.7+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.081.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.347.085.3-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
vs Weaker (22)44.135.679.7+8.577%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.6
50.8%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
76.0%12.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.2
59.6%
54.6%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
76.0%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWWLWLWLL
Chemnitz
WWWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
-8.2
Net rating
+21.0
104.0
Offensive rating
120.5
112.2
Defensive rating
99.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
58.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
21.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
37.0%
60.9%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 120.5Defence112.2 · 99.5Shooting52.0% · 58.0%3-point %36.0% · 37.0%Ball care21.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 35.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alba Berlin wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
11/04/23Chemnitz v Alba Berlin70-76
11/03/23Alba Berlin v Chemnitz101-91
27/03/22Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-64
19/02/22Alba Berlin v Chemnitz91-81
05/12/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-62
09/05/21Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-91
07/02/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HOlympiacos67-94
22/12/23HFenerbahce82-91
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
14/12/23ACrvena zvezda71-85
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70
07/12/23HAnadolu Efes89-97
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102
26/11/23ALudwigsburg79-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
20/12/23AVechta81-80
16/12/23HHeidelberg93-69
13/12/23ACSM Oradea95-79
09/12/23HUlm78-87
06/12/23HVarese109-85
03/12/23AOldenburg79-58
24/11/23HHamburg96-87
22/11/23HDen Bosch88-61
17/11/23HRostock85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game93.393.893.0
Allowed / game83.881.885.2
Point differential+9.5+12.0+7.8
Avg total177.1175.5178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game87.489.984.5
Allowed / game73.172.174.2
Point differential+14.3+17.7+10.3
Avg total160.5162.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1312192%87.473.1+14.3
2 Ulm1310377%93.288.5+4.7
3 Bayern129375%87.776.3+11.3
4 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
5 Wurzburg139469%82.376.0+6.3
6 Ludwigsburg149564%89.980.9+9.0
7 Vechta149564%88.480.1+8.3
8 Hamburg138562%87.889.8-2.0
9 Bonn159660%89.984.7+5.2
10 Rostock136746%92.592.5+0.1
11 Oldenburg146843%83.984.2-0.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig146843%84.387.9-3.6
13 Bamberg145936%88.291.7-3.5
14 Syntainics MBC1441029%81.789.0-7.3
15 Tubingen1441029%85.994.8-8.9
16 Gottingen123925%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Heidelberg1421214%81.993.7-11.9
18 Crailsheim Merlins1421214%79.295.2-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin34262021101
Chemnitz1926252090
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