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Chemnitz vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-86
15-19 26-27 22-15 18-25
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLWLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game98.3
GermanyBBLRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Chemnitz v Wurzburg
05 May 2027
CHE v WUR
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
CHE67
WUR86
30 Nov 2024
CHE81
WUR77
12 May 2024
CHE79
WUR66
22 Oct 2022
CHE81
WUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
53-77
53
77
-24
40avg 75
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
71avg 75
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
no box
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
96-77
96
77
+19
97avg 75
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
93-70
93
70
+23
72avg 75
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 75
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
70avg 75
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-18
9-24
13-17
13-27
13-22
25-23
25-21
15-20
16-21
32-16
11-17
24-14
22-14
22-25
28-24
24-26
24-17
30-13
15-14
22-30
22-20
21-8
13-24
22-28
27-19
8-20
17-21
29-14
20-27
21-23
15-25
19-21
18-19
12-25
23-21
25-13
26-13
22-15
17-19
160.6Avg total
79.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)79.780.9160.6-1.230%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.578.2154.8-1.838%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.982.8161.6-3.925%
vs Weaker (11)85.477.5162.9+7.873%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
58avg 66
H01/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
89-82
89
82
+7
73avg 66
A03/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
113-117 OT
113
117
-4
no box
H08/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H15/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
19-27
18-21
18-22
12-17
27-21
25-17
25-27
19-26
25-30
23-9
21-23
17-25
27-18
17-20
26-28
186.5Avg total
90.0Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.098.3189.3-7.333%
Season at home (2)92.0106.5198.5-14.50%
Season away (1)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (4)90.096.5186.5-6.525%
Last 5 (4)90.096.5186.5-6.525%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.096.0167.0-25.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)101.099.5200.5+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
ChemnitzWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A15/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H20/05
BBL
TFT Skopje
#48
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A21/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#49
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
Champions League
Tofas
#27
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/10
German Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.3Avg total
41.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.879.6+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.836.877.6+3.958%-
Last 30 away (18)40.940.181.0+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.181.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.886.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.638.976.5-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.840.480.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (11)43.338.081.3+5.355%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H01/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A03/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H08/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/10
German Cup
88.0Avg total
40.5Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)40.547.588.0-7.050%-
Last 30 at home (3)41.050.791.7-9.733%-
Last 30 away (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
Last 10 (4)40.547.588.0-7.050%-
Last 5 (4)40.547.588.0-7.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.053.088.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.547.088.5-5.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.8
51.7%
54.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
75.8%12.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.0
53.9%
54.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.06.0
35.3%
35.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws15.513.0
83.9%
75.8%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLLLLWWLLL
Wurzburg
LLWL
#12
League position
#11
+0.5
Net rating
-13.0
107.1
Offensive rating
114.3
106.6
Defensive rating
127.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
35.3%
72.8%
Assist %
43.3%
30%
Form (last 10/4)
25%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 114.3Defence106.6 · 127.3Shooting54.1% · 53.7%3-point %37.9% · 35.3%Ball care21.3% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.2% · 36.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/4)30% · 25%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Wurzburg wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22HGolden Eagle Ylli90-60
15/10/22ACrailsheim Merlins72-86
13/10/22HBamberg85-89
09/10/22ABayern74-88
25/09/22ATofas78-82
23/09/22AFribourg Olympic93-70
21/09/22ATFT Skopje96-77
20/05/22HBayern80-87 OT
15/05/22ABayern76-93
13/05/22ABayern53-77
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/22HOldenburg87-91
08/10/22HSyntainics MBC113-117 OT
03/10/22ABasketball Braunschweig89-82
01/10/22HBonn71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game91.092.089.0
Allowed / game98.3106.582.0
Point differential-7.3-14.5+7.0
Avg total189.3198.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn330100%86.373.0+13.3
2 Bayern330100%86.076.0+10.0
3 Rostock330100%99.090.0+9.0
4 Alba Berlin330100%86.779.7+7.0
5 Gottingen220100%87.080.5+6.5
6 Oldenburg43175%83.279.0+4.2
7 Hamburg32167%88.078.0+10.0
8 Ludwigsburg32167%91.784.7+7.0
9 Heidelberg21150%89.595.0-5.5
10 Crailsheim Merlins31233%81.086.0-5.0
11 Syntainics MBC31233%89.394.3-5.0
12 Bayreuth31233%78.084.3-6.3
13 Wurzburg31233%91.098.3-7.3
14 Frankfurt41325%81.284.0-2.8
15 Bamberg3030%79.386.0-6.7
16 Ulm4040%79.286.5-7.2
17 Basketball Braunschweig4040%78.889.5-10.8
18 Chemnitz1010%74.088.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1526221881
Wurzburg1927152586
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