PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 79-66
14-18 24-6 19-18 22-24
Position#3
Record25-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#4
Record24-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game80.2
GermanyBBLRound 34· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Wurzburg
05 May 2027
CHE v WUR
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
CHE67
WUR86
30 Nov 2024
CHE81
WUR77
12 May 2024
CHE79
WUR66
22 Oct 2022
CHE81
WUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
80avg 83
H06/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 83
H13/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 83
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
88avg 83
A21/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
80avg 83
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
80avg 83
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 83
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 83
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
82-68
82
68
+14
83avg 83
H08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
15-21
23-18
14-25
16-15
21-18
20-18
23-15
27-25
25-16
29-24
32-17
29-18
21-18
18-22
17-16
28-20
23-17
20-23
18-29
19-18
19-37
29-12
17-28
24-21
20-30
20-29
29-16
20-29
25-26
14-11
24-25
22-22
22-17
23-20
18-20
22-20
28-17
13-19
19-12
173.1Avg total
88.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.179.2168.3+9.976%
Season at home (16)87.174.9162.1+12.281%
Season away (17)90.983.2174.2+7.771%
Last 10 (10)88.884.3173.1+4.550%
Last 5 (5)87.687.8175.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.589.0172.5-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.479.0171.4+13.382%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 75
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 75
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 75
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 75
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
68avg 75
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
86-95
86
95
-9
68avg 75
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 75
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
89avg 75
H08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
26-23
18-19
31-19
13-22
33-26
9-22
24-17
26-17
25-25
22-13
23-26
16-21
14-13
24-16
21-17
17-20
19-25
23-20
23-25
26-21
17-22
21-21
22-31
30-26
24-21
17-22
18-18
25-23
28-25
31-15
23-20
22-23
30-21
22-20
26-27
24-17
20-18
29-24
25-25
174.9Avg total
90.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.580.2167.7+7.473%
Season at home (17)86.978.4165.3+8.671%
Season away (16)88.182.1170.2+6.175%
Last 10 (10)90.884.1174.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)96.088.0184.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.382.3153.7-11.00%
vs Similar (11)87.883.3171.1+4.573%
vs Weaker (16)92.279.4171.6+12.988%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
ChemnitzWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H13/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A21/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H08/05
BBL
87.0Avg total
44.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.185.0+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.037.981.9+6.179%-
Last 30 away (16)45.741.987.6+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.387.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.491.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)44.944.189.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.938.683.5+6.377%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A28/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/05
BBL
88.0Avg total
45.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.081.6+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.637.380.9+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.682.3+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.488.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.492.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.339.776.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (11)44.339.984.2+4.455%-
vs Weaker (16)42.738.280.9+4.562%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.7
58.1%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.318.6
70.7%
76.0%18.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.1
54.9%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.3
40.8%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
76.0%16.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWLLLLWWWL
Wurzburg
WWWWLLWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+6.3
Net rating
+10.3
112.3
Offensive rating
121.9
106.0
Defensive rating
111.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.6%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.5%
3-point %
40.8%
58.3%
Assist %
50.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 121.9Defence106.0 · 111.7Shooting53.8% · 57.6%3-point %31.5% · 40.8%Ball care19.3% · 13.8%Off. rebounds35.1% · 27.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz68-70
03/02/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz77-74
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24HBasketball Braunschweig82-68
04/05/24AHamburg85-79
01/05/24HVechta83-91
27/04/24ALudwigsburg93-96
24/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.95-105 OT
21/04/24AGottingen99-100 OT
17/04/24HBahcesehir Kol.85-74
13/04/24HTubingen113-82
06/04/24HBonn80-66
03/04/24HBilbao73-82
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24HHeidelberg98-84
05/05/24ABonn100-91
30/04/24HSyntainics MBC107-83
28/04/24AVechta89-87
20/04/24HRostock86-95
14/04/24HBayern82-90
07/04/24AGottingen75-67
30/03/24HTubingen96-81
23/03/24AUlm79-87
17/03/24HHamburg96-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW76%
HomeLWWLW81%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %76%81%71%
Points / game89.187.190.9
Allowed / game79.274.983.2
Point differential+9.9+12.2+7.7
Avg total168.3162.1174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %73%71%75%
Points / game87.586.988.1
Allowed / game80.278.482.1
Point differential+7.4+8.6+6.1
Avg total167.7165.3170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3327682%87.576.1+11.4
2 Alba Berlin3326779%89.280.8+8.5
3 Chemnitz3325876%89.179.2+9.9
4 Wurzburg3324973%87.580.2+7.4
5 Ulm33231070%90.983.7+7.2
6 Vechta33201361%88.082.8+5.2
7 Bonn33191458%89.686.3+3.2
8 Ludwigsburg33181555%88.482.8+5.6
9 Oldenburg33171652%85.183.8+1.2
10 Hamburg33161748%85.886.8-1.1
11 Bamberg33151845%88.689.3-0.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig33151845%82.084.6-2.6
13 Syntainics MBC33112233%86.093.1-7.1
14 Gottingen33102330%85.993.0-7.1
15 Rostock3392427%87.292.8-5.7
16 Crailsheim Merlins3382524%81.292.2-11.1
17 Heidelberg3382524%82.593.8-11.3
18 Tubingen3362718%82.495.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1424192279
Wurzburg186182466
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.