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Chemnitz vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-77
9-18 14-14 23-20 35-25
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game72.4
GermanyBBLRound 10· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Wurzburg
05 May 2027
CHE v WUR
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
CHE67
WUR86
30 Nov 2024
CHE81
WUR77
12 May 2024
CHE79
WUR66
22 Oct 2022
CHE81
WUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 79
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
103-75
103
75
+28
112avg 79
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 79
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
60avg 79
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
59-105
59
105
-46
48avg 79
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
90avg 79
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 79
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 79
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 79
A16/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
20-18
21-17
23-26
10-19
25-23
15-15
23-21
32-17
25-16
22-21
24-21
21-21
16-20
25-19
19-18
16-17
19-20
12-12
21-11
11-26
20-18
12-21
16-40
23-25
26-16
27-22
20-25
22-20
24-19
20-23
21-16
22-9
17-31
28-29
11-20
22-14
17-28
19-23
16-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.978.2158.1+1.662%
Season at home (4)89.283.2172.5+6.075%
Season away (4)70.573.2143.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)78.888.4167.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.086.3160.3-12.314%
vs Similar (16)84.981.8166.8+3.162%
vs Weaker (6)89.082.8171.8+6.267%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
92-65
92
65
+27
80avg 74
A05/10
BBL
Igokea
#33
W
98-80
98
80
+18
91avg 74
H08/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 74
A11/10
German Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
80avg 74
H18/10
BBL
Nanterre
#12
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 74
A23/10
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
57avg 74
A27/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
56avg 74
A02/11
BBL
Nanterre
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 74
H06/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
62avg 74
H10/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 74
A17/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
24-12
26-6
19-32
21-23
20-18
33-17
24-22
18-23
18-17
23-17
19-29
23-21
24-23
24-19
20-22
26-19
21-23
19-26
22-15
18-18
15-10
20-21
16-21
11-19
20-8
26-23
15-17
20-26
19-32
24-19
25-19
25-11
17-11
17-13
11-18
18-18
17-15
28-25
28-24
160.4Avg total
83.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.172.4152.6+7.771%
Season at home (2)80.569.0149.5+11.5100%
Season away (5)80.073.8153.8+6.260%
Last 10 (10)83.776.7160.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)78.073.6151.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.184.1156.3-12.00%
vs Similar (15)82.979.2162.1+3.780%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.780.9174.6+12.986%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
ChemnitzWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/11
BBL
80.5Avg total
41.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.382.4+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.838.782.5+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.682.3-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.380.5+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.282.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.342.478.7-6.10%-
vs Similar (16)43.740.083.7+3.762%-
vs Weaker (6)46.038.284.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
BBL
Igokea
#33
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
German Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H18/10
BBL
Nanterre
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A23/10
Champions League
Bayern
#1
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A27/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/11
BBL
Nanterre
#12
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H06/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H10/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A17/11
BBL
76.0Avg total
39.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.482.5+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.439.277.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.276.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.669.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.440.072.4-7.614%-
vs Similar (15)43.138.581.6+4.780%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.140.184.3+4.057%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.9
55.6%
52.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.7%
73.5%14.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.2
53.8%
52.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.5
30.4%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.517.8
79.1%
73.5%17.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLWWLWWWLW
Wurzburg
WWLWLWWLWW
#7
League position
#5
-0.7
Net rating
+9.3
107.4
Offensive rating
112.8
108.1
Defensive rating
103.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
42.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.5%
3-point %
30.4%
56.6%
Assist %
46.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 112.8Defence108.1 · 103.5Shooting53.9% · 49.8%3-point %34.5% · 30.4%Ball care20.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 42.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chemnitz wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
12/05/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg79-66
04/11/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz68-70
03/02/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz77-74
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig74-82
12/11/24HManresa78-89
10/11/24HOldenburg87-78
03/11/24HGottingen96-88
30/10/24AManresa59-105
27/10/24ARostock68-60
20/10/24AAlba Berlin81-78
16/10/24HBenfica103-75
13/10/24AHeidelberg73-78
06/10/24HVechta88-77
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ALudwigsburg91-82
10/11/24HBasketball Braunschweig70-53
06/11/24HNanterre88-96
02/11/24AHeidelberg72-67
27/10/24ABayern69-70
23/10/24ANanterre88-83
18/10/24HHamburg91-85
11/10/24AGottingen78-86
08/10/24HIgokea98-80
05/10/24ARostock92-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game79.989.270.5
Allowed / game78.283.273.2
Point differential+1.6+6.0-2.8
Avg total158.1172.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%100%60%
Points / game80.180.580.0
Allowed / game72.469.073.8
Point differential+7.7+11.5+6.2
Avg total152.6149.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern86275%80.973.9+7.0
2 Ulm86275%83.578.9+4.6
3 Wurzburg75271%80.172.4+7.7
4 Heidelberg107370%83.479.8+3.6
5 Syntainics MBC85362%87.885.0+2.8
6 Chemnitz85362%79.978.2+1.6
7 Bonn74357%82.481.7+0.7
8 Ludwigsburg84450%77.574.9+2.6
9 Oldenburg84450%83.883.8+0.0
10 Vechta84450%82.584.5-2.0
11 Rostock94544%77.276.0+1.2
12 Basketball Braunschweig73443%74.374.1+0.1
13 Alba Berlin83538%85.883.9+1.9
14 Hamburg72529%80.683.0-2.4
15 Frankfurt72529%76.781.6-4.9
16 Bamberg72529%79.484.6-5.1
17 Gottingen7070%74.398.3-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz914233581
Wurzburg1814202577
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