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Wurzburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-74
19-22 29-17 11-13 18-22
Position#11
Record8-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#12
Record9-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game83.5
GermanyBBLRound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Wurzburg v Chemnitz
26 Oct 2026
WUR98
CHE88
06 Mar 2026
WUR81
CHE69
16 Mar 2025
WUR83
CHE90
04 Nov 2023
WUR68
CHE70
03 Feb 2023
WUR77
CHE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 73
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
67avg 73
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 73
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 73
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 73
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
63avg 73
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 73
A28/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
18-26
21-14
18-20
24-11
24-23
18-17
22-21
20-26
27-14
15-20
17-17
14-13
30-18
14-24
29-23
9-29
22-28
23-17
19-22
19-17
24-23
19-24
11-15
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
21-19
24-22
14-20
17-18
24-17
19-26
22-21
17-29
164.5Avg total
82.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.585.8170.3-1.247%
Season at home (8)86.487.1173.5-0.838%
Season away (9)82.984.6167.4-1.756%
Last 10 (10)82.182.4164.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)84.283.6167.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.083.8161.8-5.840%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.286.9173.1-0.745%
vs Weaker (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 79
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 79
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 79
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 79
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 79
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-27
28-14
14-29
13-19
16-20
26-21
18-20
19-14
11-25
24-24
27-20
22-13
27-24
24-18
16-25
22-16
29-18
26-17
16-11
26-20
24-22
22-22
24-17
24-26
17-14
31-14
17-22
20-19
18-25
18-10
19-23
18-16
18-23
21-18
14-21
24-23
19-17
23-13
20-21
162.5Avg total
84.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.183.5170.6+3.760%
Season at home (8)88.683.5172.1+5.175%
Season away (7)85.483.4168.9+2.043%
Last 10 (10)84.078.5162.5+5.550%
Last 5 (5)83.477.2160.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.087.0169.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.083.0165.0-1.033%
vs Weaker (15)90.677.5168.1+13.173%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
WurzburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
BBL
85.8Avg total
43.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)42.943.586.4-0.656%-
Last 30 at home (9)43.442.485.9+1.067%-
Last 30 away (9)42.344.686.9-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.688.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.043.885.8-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.542.585.1+0.055%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
81.7Avg total
41.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.386.5+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.541.989.4+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)43.140.883.9+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.581.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.044.385.3-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.043.785.7-1.722%-
vs Weaker (15)48.140.288.3+7.973%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.2
51.9%
54.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.9
37.3%
35.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.8
69.9%
75.8%12.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.9
59.6%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.4
34.7%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
75.8%15.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LLWWLLWWWL
Chemnitz
WLLWWWWLLL
#11
League position
#12
-1.0
Net rating
+6.3
109.9
Offensive rating
112.3
110.9
Defensive rating
106.1
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.3%
3-point %
34.7%
49.5%
Assist %
70.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 112.3Defence110.9 · 106.1Shooting53.2% · 55.9%3-point %37.3% · 34.7%Ball care17.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wurzburg wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23AHeidelberg82-93
23/01/23HAlba Berlin76-79
14/01/23AUlm91-84
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
04/01/23HBamberg73-79
30/12/22AHamburg73-96
26/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins87-78
17/12/22AOldenburg79-77
09/12/22HFrankfurt88-72
27/11/22ABayern73-83
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23AFC Porto86-74
29/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig71-78
24/01/23ACholet75-77
21/01/23HFrankfurt89-76
18/01/23ARostock96-81
10/01/23HSCM Craiova93-62
08/01/23HLudwigsburg89-80
03/01/23AOldenburg81-83
26/12/22ABonn73-80
20/12/22HFC Porto87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%38%56%
Points / game84.586.482.9
Allowed / game85.887.184.6
Point differential-1.2-0.8-1.7
Avg total170.3173.5167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game87.188.685.4
Allowed / game83.583.583.4
Point differential+3.7+5.1+2.0
Avg total170.6172.1168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1615194%91.179.0+12.1
2 Bonn1715288%91.075.5+15.5
3 Bayern1713476%83.977.3+6.6
4 Oldenburg1711665%85.582.4+3.1
5 Gottingen1610662%86.585.3+1.2
6 Chemnitz159660%87.183.5+3.7
7 Ludwigsburg169756%86.984.2+2.7
8 Rostock189950%86.490.7-4.2
9 Ulm178947%88.787.7+1.0
10 Wurzburg178947%84.585.8-1.2
11 Crailsheim Merlins1771041%88.791.8-3.1
12 Heidelberg1771041%87.591.2-3.6
13 Bamberg1871139%85.286.4-1.3
14 Syntainics MBC1761135%82.689.2-6.5
15 Hamburg1861233%83.886.8-3.1
16 Basketball Braunschweig1851328%79.084.6-5.6
17 Frankfurt1851328%79.486.1-6.7
18 Bayreuth1731418%81.589.4-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1929111877
Chemnitz2217132274
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