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Wurzburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-90
14-19 22-21 21-22 26-28
Position#5
Record11-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#7
Record12-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.3
GermanyBBLRound 24· Tectake Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Wurzburg v Chemnitz
26 Oct 2026
WUR98
CHE88
06 Mar 2026
WUR81
CHE69
16 Mar 2025
WUR83
CHE90
04 Nov 2023
WUR68
CHE70
03 Feb 2023
WUR77
CHE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 74
A26/01
BBL
Tortona
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
66avg 74
H28/01
Champions League
Oldenburg
#9
L
102-112
102
112
-10
95avg 74
H01/02
BBL
Promitheas
#31
W
79-77
79
77
+2
78avg 74
A05/02
Champions League
Rostock
#12
L
93-97
93
97
-4
81avg 74
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
90avg 74
A12/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
77-60
77
60
+17
76avg 74
H01/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 74
H04/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 74
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 74
A11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-18
10-17
17-17
18-16
21-20
14-20
27-23
21-27
26-30
30-23
25-32
21-29
13-21
21-15
24-12
29-21
30-19
19-29
15-28
23-23
21-18
21-26
21-19
19-17
16-13
14-21
28-9
22-32
19-18
14-14
16-13
26-36
27-20
16-23
32-31
34-19
14-20
17-20
12-25
170.1Avg total
84.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.280.8164.0+2.452%
Season at home (10)83.179.9163.0+3.260%
Season away (11)83.481.6165.0+1.745%
Last 10 (10)84.485.7170.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.884.8169.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.277.5151.8-3.225%
vs Similar (19)84.482.3166.6+2.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.578.2162.7+6.383%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
83avg 75
H04/01
BBL
Manisa
#25
L
86-87
86
87
-1
88avg 75
A08/01
Champions League
Manisa
#25
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 75
H14/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 75
H17/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 75
A24/01
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
84-80
84
80
+4
69avg 75
A02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 75
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
68avg 75
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
62avg 75
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
67avg 75
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
26-14
21-16
16-23
20-21
21-16
22-24
23-26
21-26
23-17
21-25
19-19
15-12
16-11
22-16
16-21
15-19
15-21
18-24
18-25
22-21
24-24
17-23
21-12
18-20
29-31
20-26
16-18
23-19
15-14
20-15
14-17
17-12
25-30
14-29
16-23
18-20
26-29
16-24
34-17
160.8Avg total
79.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.080.3159.4-1.357%
Season at home (12)82.482.1164.5+0.367%
Season away (9)74.678.0152.6-3.444%
Last 10 (10)79.581.3160.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)81.084.8165.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.085.0160.0-10.014%
vs Similar (12)79.678.2157.8+1.367%
vs Weaker (3)91.781.3173.0+10.3100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
WurzburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/01
BBL
Tortona
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
Champions League
Oldenburg
#9
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H01/02
BBL
Promitheas
#31
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A05/02
Champions League
Rostock
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H01/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H04/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/03
Champions League
87.2Avg total
43.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.180.0+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.482.0+1.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.238.178.2+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.387.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.287.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.238.278.5+2.075%-
vs Similar (19)41.939.381.2+2.768%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.739.277.8-0.550%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H04/01
BBL
Manisa
#25
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/01
Champions League
Manisa
#25
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H17/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/01
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
BBL
80.1Avg total
41.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.279.1-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.180.1+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)36.541.578.0-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.080.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.641.077.6-4.421%-
vs Similar (12)39.839.579.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (3)47.039.086.0+8.067%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.5
50.6%
52.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.0
34.7%
33.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.917.5
76.4%
73.5%17.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
52.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.5
35.2%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
73.5%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LLLWWLWLWL
Chemnitz
WLWLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#7
-1.6
Net rating
-2.4
112.0
Offensive rating
105.2
113.6
Defensive rating
107.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
35.2%
65.1%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 105.2Defence113.6 · 107.6Shooting51.3% · 50.6%3-point %34.7% · 35.2%Ball care17.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.2% · 32.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wurzburg wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-77
12/05/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg79-66
04/11/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz68-70
03/02/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz77-74
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AAEK Athens77-84
09/03/25ASyntainics MBC101-110
04/03/25HAEK Athens71-77
01/03/25HLudwigsburg77-60
12/02/25ABamberg98-93 OT
09/02/25HRostock93-97
05/02/25APromitheas79-77
01/02/25HOldenburg102-112
28/01/25HTortona80-79
26/01/25AHamburg66-68
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AGottingen94-90
02/03/25HBayern72-94
11/02/25HHeidelberg72-65
08/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig83-95
02/02/25ABonn84-80
24/01/25AVechta66-89
17/01/25HHamburg69-60
14/01/25HManisa84-87
08/01/25AManisa86-87
04/01/25HFrankfurt85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game83.283.183.4
Allowed / game80.879.981.6
Point differential+2.4+3.2+1.7
Avg total164.0163.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %57%67%44%
Points / game79.082.474.6
Allowed / game80.382.178.0
Point differential-1.3+0.3-3.4
Avg total159.4164.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm2216673%86.879.1+7.7
2 Bayern2115671%81.974.6+7.2
3 Basketball Braunschweig2214864%83.981.1+2.8
4 Vechta2314961%83.282.3+0.9
5 Chemnitz2112957%79.080.3-1.3
6 Heidelberg2011955%78.479.2-0.8
7 Ludwigsburg21111052%75.372.1+3.2
8 Wurzburg21111052%83.280.8+2.4
9 Oldenburg22111150%89.989.3+0.6
10 Rostock22111150%81.280.9+0.3
11 Syntainics MBC22111150%84.484.9-0.5
12 Alba Berlin21101148%85.583.2+2.3
13 Bonn22101245%83.083.1-0.1
14 Hamburg22101245%79.881.9-2.1
15 Bamberg23101343%82.183.3-1.2
16 Frankfurt2051525%76.383.5-7.2
17 Gottingen211205%80.094.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1422212683
Chemnitz1921222890
← all games of the day
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