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Cherno More vs Balkan Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
BulgariaNBLRound 9· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cherno More v Balkan
11 Dec 2026
CHER v BAL
upcoming
14 May 2026
CHER59
BAL77
26 Jan 2026
CHER93
BAL66
15 May 2025
CHER80
BAL78
13 May 2025
CHER86
BAL78
16 Mar 2025
CHER89
BAL81
13 Oct 2024
CHER75
BAL80
09 Mar 2024
CHER79
BAL95
29 Dec 2023
CHER89
BAL81
14 Apr 2023
CHER76
BAL105
04 Feb 2023
CHER85
BAL88
05 Apr 2022
CHER72
BAL84
02 Mar 2022
CHER79
BAL101
30 Mar 2021
CHER78
BAL99
11 Dec 2020
CHER72
BAL86
14 Mar 2020
CHER v BAL
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
CHER67
BAL88
14 Apr 2019
CHER76
BAL97
26 Jan 2019
CHER79
BAL99
24 Mar 2018
CHER76
BAL81
21 Oct 2017
CHER75
BAL82
13 Jan 2017
CHER58
BAL76
14 Nov 2015
CHER83
BAL80
24 Jan 2015
CHER75
BAL74
27 May 2014
CHER20
BAL0
30 Mar 2014
CHER105
BAL81
28 Feb 2014
CHER101
BAL93
10 Jan 2014
CHER80
BAL63
01 May 2013
CHER86
BAL91
12 Jan 2013
CHER67
BAL74
25 Feb 2012
CHER54
BAL66
12 Nov 2011
CHER73
BAL59
29 Apr 2011
CHER81
BAL66
15 Jan 2011
CHER77
BAL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 85
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 85
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 85
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 85
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 85
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 85
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 85
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 85
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
20-10
21-28
25-15
19-13
162.8Avg total
83.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.871.7155.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)82.069.0151.0+13.067%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.5162.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker (20)92.478.1170.5+14.380%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
91-66
91
66
+25
74avg 81
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
62avg 81
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 81
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
57-64
57
64
-7
54avg 81
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 81
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 81
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 81
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
35-14
17-19
21-20
21-12
18-24
23-15
20-16
17-14
22-19
12-25
22-12
21-15
12-19
20-34
9-19
15-7
149.8Avg total
77.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.471.6161.0+17.8100%
Season at home (2)97.574.0171.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.572.3149.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.480.6148.0-13.114%
vs Similar (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.277.6165.9+10.682%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
Cherno MoreBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NBL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker (20)45.139.484.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H10/11
Eurocup
77.3Avg total
39.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.480.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.283.4+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.977.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.442.975.3-10.429%-
vs Similar (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.140.084.1+4.168%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WLLWWWLLLL
Balkan
LWWWLWLWLW
#7
League position
#1
+6.3
Net rating
+3.6
100.0
Offensive rating
91.7
93.8
Defensive rating
88.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.2%
3-point %
30.4%
56.0%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 91.7Defence93.8 · 88.1Shooting52.5% · 50.8%3-point %31.2% · 30.4%Ball care13.4% · 17.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cherno More   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cherno More wins
6
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Cherno More v Balkan59-77
11/05/26Balkan v Cherno More80-78
09/05/26Balkan v Cherno More91-89
06/04/26Balkan v Cherno More80-79
26/01/26Cherno More v Balkan93-66
16/11/25Balkan v Cherno More85-82
15/05/25Cherno More v Balkan80-78
13/05/25Cherno More v Balkan86-78
10/05/25Balkan v Cherno More94-86
08/05/25Balkan v Cherno More72-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPolytechnica85-66
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HPAOK56-79
07/11/26ASpartak Pleven77-71
04/11/26AKK Bosna78-69
30/10/26HCSKA Sofia94-65
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.882.085.7
Allowed / game71.769.074.3
Point differential+12.2+13.0+11.3
Avg total155.5151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.497.584.0
Allowed / game71.674.070.0
Point differential+17.8+23.5+14.0
Avg total161.0171.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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