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Cherno More vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-84
30-20 26-17 22-24 13-23
Position#11
Record6-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.0
Cherno More 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game76.1
BulgariaNBLRound 16· DKS - Varna
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cherno More v CSKA Sofia
06 Feb 2027
CHER v CSKA
upcoming
31 Mar 2024
CHER91
CSKA99
14 Jan 2024
CHER91
CSKA84
23 Apr 2023
CHER84
CSKA93
12 Feb 2023
CHER95
CSKA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
71avg 74
H11/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
89avg 74
A17/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
94-76
94
76
+18
97avg 74
H25/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
60-79
60
79
-19
48avg 74
A29/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
91avg 74
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A10/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 74
A16/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
93-89
93
89
+4
84avg 74
H23/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
89-81
89
81
+8
90avg 74
H29/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 74
A06/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
21-13
10-13
33-30
10-20
32-9
25-27
24-26
27-26
29-6
21-26
17-18
18-11
11-22
14-23
17-23
32-19
30-17
16-25
15-26
15-14
23-23
20-17
15-19
18-25
18-17
20-15
23-18
18-32
21-13
25-27
29-17
19-15
17-17
27-22
26-27
25-26
15-26
26-15
19-22
166.4Avg total
84.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.085.0165.0-5.040%
Season at home (7)82.784.0166.7-1.357%
Season away (8)77.685.9163.5-8.225%
Last 10 (10)84.082.4166.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)85.484.4169.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.891.8170.7-13.017%
vs Similar (4)86.088.2174.2-2.250%
vs Weaker (2)97.590.5188.0+7.050%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 81
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 81
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 81
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 81
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 81
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 81
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 81
H08/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
16-12
20-24
30-19
23-17
21-20
19-18
20-24
16-26
13-19
30-28
23-22
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
26-19
17-25
23-26
29-16
27-20
29-25
16-23
27-18
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
166.2Avg total
87.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.876.1162.9+10.780%
Season at home (8)87.973.6161.5+14.288%
Season away (7)85.679.0164.6+6.671%
Last 10 (10)87.378.9166.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)89.075.6164.6+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.081.8163.8+0.250%
vs Similar (10)87.775.5163.2+12.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.077.7164.7+9.370%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
Cherno MoreCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A17/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H25/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A29/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A10/12
NBL
Levski
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H23/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H29/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/01
NBL
78.3Avg total
41.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.985.0-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.486.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.745.483.1-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.378.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.745.984.5-7.225%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.082.2+0.275%-
vs Weaker (2)55.041.096.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
81.6Avg total
41.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.281.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.938.882.7+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.680.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.481.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.086.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.139.879.9+0.350%-
vs Similar (10)43.737.481.1+6.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.8
55.4%
54.3%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.3
29.6%
31.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.8
69.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.2
56.9%
54.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.0
29.6%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
71.1%15.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
LWWWLWLWWL
CSKA Sofia
WWWWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#5
-1.8
Net rating
+11.7
102.8
Offensive rating
114.8
104.6
Defensive rating
103.2
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.6%
3-point %
29.6%
61.1%
Assist %
69.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 114.8Defence104.6 · 103.2Shooting51.8% · 51.4%3-point %29.6% · 29.6%Ball care19.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cherno More   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cherno More wins
4
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23CSKA Sofia v Cherno More99-64
23/04/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia84-93
12/02/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia95-98
12/12/22CSKA Sofia v Cherno More97-84
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ASpartak Pleven85-89
29/12/23HBalkan89-81
23/12/23HYambol93-89
16/12/23ALevski79-75
10/12/23AMinyor81-88 OT
03/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-87
29/11/23ARilski Sportist60-79
25/11/23HBeroe94-76
17/11/23AShumen91-82
11/11/23HChernomorets75-78
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74
17/12/23AYambol90-75
09/12/23HBeroe99-86
03/12/23ABalkan95-86
29/11/23HShumen90-72
26/11/23AChernomorets82-95
19/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-79
13/11/23ARilski Sportist78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game80.082.777.6
Allowed / game85.084.085.9
Point differential-5.0-1.3-8.2
Avg total165.0166.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game86.887.985.6
Allowed / game76.173.679.0
Point differential+10.7+14.2+6.6
Avg total162.9161.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1614288%85.272.3+12.9
2 CSKA Sofia1512380%86.876.1+10.7
3 Rilski Sportist1611569%81.174.1+7.0
4 Spartak Pleven1611569%85.979.6+6.4
5 Balkan168850%80.479.6+0.8
6 Beroe167944%81.983.9-2.1
7 Cherno More156940%80.085.0-5.0
8 Yambol1661038%79.887.4-7.6
9 Minyor1661038%75.184.4-9.2
10 Levski1651131%74.677.3-2.8
11 Shumen1651131%82.385.4-3.1
12 Academic Plovdiv1641225%76.383.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More3026221391
CSKA Sofia2017242384
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