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Cherno More vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.7
Cherno More
Bulgaria
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game98.6
BulgariaNBLRound 16· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cherno More v CSKA Sofia
06 Feb 2027
CHER v CSKA
upcoming
31 Mar 2024
CHER91
CSKA99
14 Jan 2024
CHER91
CSKA84
23 Apr 2023
CHER84
CSKA93
12 Feb 2023
CHER95
CSKA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 81
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 81
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 81
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 81
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 81
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 81
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 81
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 81
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
20-10
21-28
25-15
19-13
162.8Avg total
83.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.871.7155.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)82.069.0151.0+13.067%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.5162.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.478.1170.5+14.380%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
100-95
100
95
+5
42avg 46
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-114
76
114
-38
58avg 46
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
62-95
62
95
-33
35avg 46
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
48avg 46
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
26-16
21-18
21-20
14-23
4-31
24-19
21-22
25-22
25-24
23-24
26-23
26-24
19-28
15-32
26-27
16-27
20-18
13-23
13-25
16-29
14-35
19-17
20-21
12-21
21-23
25-26
20-26
23-20
175.5Avg total
79.9Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Season at home (3)83.795.0178.7-11.333%
Season away (2)70.5104.0174.5-33.50%
Last 10 (10)79.995.6175.5-15.730%
Last 5 (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.091.1167.1-15.10%
vs Similar (9)78.383.9162.2-5.633%
vs Weaker (7)94.088.4182.4+5.686%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -6.9-6.9
Cherno MoreCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NBL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.139.484.5+5.875%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H07/11
NBL
87.1Avg total
40.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.385.7-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.187.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.045.484.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.387.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.850.088.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.544.884.4-5.331%-
vs Similar (9)40.644.084.6-3.433%-
vs Weaker (7)47.345.392.6+2.057%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.7
48.8%
55.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.4
30.3%
29.8%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.014.9
62.1%
71.2%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WLLWWWLLLL
CSKA Sofia
LLLLWLWLWL
#7
League position
#10
+6.3
Net rating
-25.0
100.0
Offensive rating
87.3
93.8
Defensive rating
112.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.2%
3-point %
30.3%
56.0%
Assist %
76.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 87.3Defence93.8 · 112.3Shooting52.5% · 47.6%3-point %31.2% · 30.3%Ball care13.4% · 19.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Cherno More   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cherno More wins
6
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26CSKA Sofia v Cherno More62-95
22/04/24CSKA Sofia v Cherno More105-99
31/03/24Cherno More v CSKA Sofia91-99
14/01/24Cherno More v CSKA Sofia91-84
04/11/23CSKA Sofia v Cherno More99-64
23/04/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia84-93
12/02/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia95-98
12/12/22CSKA Sofia v Cherno More97-84
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPolytechnica85-66
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HShumen89-95
30/10/26ABalkan65-94
24/10/26HCherno More62-95
17/10/26ARilski Sportist76-114
10/10/26HPolytechnica100-95
03/05/24ABalkan74-94
01/05/24HBalkan82-77
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.882.085.7
Allowed / game71.769.074.3
Point differential+12.2+13.0+11.3
Avg total155.5151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game78.483.770.5
Allowed / game98.695.0104.0
Point differential-20.2-11.3-33.5
Avg total177.0178.7174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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