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Chernomorets vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-85
23-26 23-17 27-22 20-20
Position#2
Record16-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game73.5
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#8
Record6-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game83.4
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v Academic Plovdiv
03 Feb 2024
CHER93
ACAD85
11 Mar 2023
CHER94
ACAD70
15 Oct 2022
CHER96
ACAD84
09 Mar 2022
CHER76
ACAD66
09 Oct 2021
CHER80
ACAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 78
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 78
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 78
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 78
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 78
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 78
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 78
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 78
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 78
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 78
A28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
22-19
19-9
28-25
21-18
22-14
24-19
17-21
23-18
23-17
17-17
23-22
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
25-25
18-13
23-16
14-28
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
23-19
13-24
16-19
25-23
17-24
23-17
22-20
22-18
159.2Avg total
84.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.673.5158.2+11.184%
Season at home (9)87.872.0159.8+15.8100%
Season away (10)81.874.9156.7+6.970%
Last 10 (10)84.175.1159.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)84.877.6162.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.984.6166.5-2.850%
vs Similar (7)79.973.4153.3+6.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.574.5161.1+12.087%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
L
87-93
87
93
-6
74avg 69
A03/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
58avg 69
H09/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 69
H18/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
73avg 69
A22/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
84avg 69
A29/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 69
H06/01
NBL
Levski
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
54avg 69
A13/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 69
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
58avg 69
A20/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
90-72
90
72
+18
88avg 69
H27/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
17-30
25-16
26-15
20-15
17-30
16-20
22-8
17-23
19-20
18-20
12-22
25-19
21-29
10-22
18-23
24-22
19-23
21-21
19-25
27-16
16-17
20-28
21-15
17-20
15-12
13-23
17-17
21-15
26-21
20-33
19-11
13-23
16-25
21-18
13-24
24-15
26-17
25-20
15-20
159.5Avg total
77.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.883.4160.3-6.632%
Season at home (10)77.179.1156.2-2.050%
Season away (9)76.688.2164.8-11.711%
Last 10 (10)77.082.5159.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)77.078.0155.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.483.3157.6-8.936%
vs Similar (11)80.183.7163.8-3.636%
vs Weaker (5)86.083.4169.4+2.660%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
ChernomoretsAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/01
NBL
76.6Avg total
39.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.776.8+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.534.476.9+8.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.138.676.7-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.876.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.838.976.6-1.125%-
vs Similar (7)38.037.175.1+0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.435.377.7+7.160%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H09/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A22/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/01
NBL
Levski
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A20/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NBL
82.3Avg total
39.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.879.6-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.477.9+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.681.6-5.714%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.482.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.940.478.2-2.529%-
vs Similar (11)40.239.880.0+0.436%-
vs Weaker (5)38.444.482.8-6.040%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.0
55.6%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.27.9
27.1%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
71.1%13.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
53.0%
54.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.8
30.0%
31.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
71.1%14.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WLWWLWLWWW
Academic Plovdiv
WLWLWLLLWL
#2
League position
#8
+10.9
Net rating
-7.1
107.9
Offensive rating
98.7
97.0
Defensive rating
105.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.1%
3-point %
30.0%
58.3%
Assist %
60.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 98.7Defence97.0 · 105.9Shooting49.4% · 50.0%3-point %27.1% · 30.0%Ball care16.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds35.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Chernomorets wins
1
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Academic Plovdiv v Chernomorets66-79
11/03/23Chernomorets v Academic Plovdiv94-70
28/12/22Academic Plovdiv v Chernomorets87-82
15/10/22Chernomorets v Academic Plovdiv96-84
09/03/22Chernomorets v Academic Plovdiv76-66
29/12/21Academic Plovdiv v Chernomorets88-91
09/10/21Chernomorets v Academic Plovdiv80-66
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ACSKA Sofia84-79
20/01/24ABalkan77-85
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
06/01/24AMinyor80-82
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69
16/12/23HBeroe86-74
09/12/23HLevski84-72
02/12/23AShumen89-78
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HMinyor90-72
20/01/24ARilski Sportist63-90
17/01/24HBeroe86-80
13/01/24ALevski62-72
06/01/24HShumen84-76
29/12/23AYambol83-91
22/12/23ACSKA Sofia74-93
18/12/23HSpartak Pleven66-85
09/12/23HBalkan75-73
03/12/23ACherno More87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%100%70%
Points / game84.687.881.8
Allowed / game73.572.074.9
Point differential+11.1+15.8+6.9
Avg total158.2159.8156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW32%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game76.877.176.6
Allowed / game83.479.188.2
Point differential-6.6-2.0-11.7
Avg total160.3156.2164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1916384%84.673.5+11.1
2 Rilski Sportist1914574%82.273.9+8.3
3 Spartak Pleven1813572%85.879.2+6.6
4 CSKA Sofia1912763%85.978.4+7.5
5 Balkan1911858%80.678.4+2.2
6 Cherno More1991047%82.384.8-2.5
7 Beroe1981142%82.384.6-2.3
8 Yambol1971237%78.885.6-6.8
9 Shumen2071335%82.884.8-2.0
10 Academic Plovdiv1961332%76.883.4-6.6
11 Minyor1961332%74.785.2-10.5
12 Levski1951426%73.578.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets2323272093
Academic Plovdiv2617222085
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