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CSKA Sofia vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-84
24-17 17-23 20-22 18-22
Position#5
Record12-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game77.6
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
vs
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record15-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game73.2
BulgariaNBLRound 19· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets
13 Apr 2024
CSKA78
CHER94
28 Jan 2024
CSKA79
CHER84
12 Apr 2023
CSKA88
CHER86
05 Dec 2022
CSKA80
CHER63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 81
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 81
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 81
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 81
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 81
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 81
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
13-19
30-28
23-22
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
26-19
17-25
23-26
29-16
27-20
29-25
16-23
27-18
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
168.9Avg total
88.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.577.6164.1+8.971%
Season at home (9)87.675.0162.6+12.678%
Season away (8)85.480.5165.9+4.962%
Last 10 (10)88.180.8168.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)85.078.8163.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.681.8163.4-0.240%
vs Similar (9)88.975.9164.8+13.0100%
vs Weaker (11)86.778.9165.6+7.864%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
83avg 78
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 78
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 78
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 78
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 78
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 78
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 78
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 78
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 78
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 78
A20/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
14-19
21-16
22-13
20-25
22-19
19-9
28-25
21-18
22-14
24-19
17-21
23-18
23-17
17-17
23-22
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
25-25
18-13
23-16
14-28
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
23-19
13-24
16-19
25-23
157.4Avg total
83.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.773.2157.9+11.483%
Season at home (9)87.872.0159.8+15.8100%
Season away (9)81.674.4156.0+7.167%
Last 10 (10)83.673.8157.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)86.275.8162.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.984.6166.5-2.850%
vs Similar (7)79.973.4153.3+6.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.774.4161.1+12.387%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
CSKA SofiaChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
85.0Avg total
42.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.882.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.083.1+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.780.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.885.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.339.880.1+0.550%-
vs Similar (9)43.937.381.2+6.667%-
vs Weaker (11)42.541.884.3+0.655%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NBL
75.8Avg total
39.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.876.9+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.435.177.5+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.938.576.4-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.475.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.677.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.838.976.6-1.125%-
vs Similar (7)38.037.175.1+0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.535.577.9+7.060%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.6
56.6%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.2
30.2%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
74.2%
71.1%14.7
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.1
54.7%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.4
29.1%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
71.1%13.0
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LLWWWWWWWL
Chernomorets
LWWLWLWWWW
#5
League position
#2
+10.0
Net rating
+12.1
114.0
Offensive rating
108.5
104.0
Defensive rating
96.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.2%
3-point %
29.1%
67.9%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 108.5Defence104.0 · 96.4Shooting51.7% · 50.1%3-point %30.2% · 29.1%Ball care15.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds34.8% · 35.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSKA Sofia wins
2
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia95-82
12/04/23CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets88-86
04/02/23Chernomorets v CSKA Sofia100-84
05/12/22CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets80-63
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74
17/12/23AYambol90-75
09/12/23HBeroe99-86
03/12/23ABalkan95-86
29/11/23HShumen90-72
26/11/23AChernomorets82-95
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ABalkan77-85
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
06/01/24AMinyor80-82
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69
16/12/23HBeroe86-74
09/12/23HLevski84-72
02/12/23AShumen89-78
29/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game86.587.685.4
Allowed / game77.675.080.5
Point differential+8.9+12.6+4.9
Avg total164.1162.6165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.787.881.6
Allowed / game73.272.074.4
Point differential+11.4+15.8+7.1
Avg total157.9159.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1815383%84.773.2+11.4
2 Rilski Sportist1914574%82.273.9+8.3
3 Spartak Pleven1813572%85.879.2+6.6
4 CSKA Sofia1712571%86.577.6+8.9
5 Balkan1911858%80.678.4+2.2
6 Beroe1881044%82.483.8-1.3
7 Cherno More1881044%81.385.1-3.8
8 Yambol1971237%78.885.6-6.8
9 Shumen1961332%82.684.9-2.3
10 Academic Plovdiv1961332%76.883.4-6.6
11 Minyor1961332%74.785.2-10.5
12 Levski1951426%73.578.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2417201879
Chernomorets1723222284
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