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Chernomorets vs Shumen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-83
19-21 18-18 28-17 20-27
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game74.1
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Shumen
Bulgaria
Position#6
Record7-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game84.8
BulgariaNBLRound 21· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v Shumen
10 Feb 2024
CHER85
SHUM83
08 Oct 2022
CHER94
SHUM87
16 Oct 2021
CHER114
SHUM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 78
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 78
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 78
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 78
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 78
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 78
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 78
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 78
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 78
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 78
H03/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-14
24-19
17-21
23-18
23-17
17-17
23-22
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
25-25
18-13
23-16
14-28
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
23-19
13-24
16-19
25-23
17-24
23-17
22-20
22-18
23-26
23-17
27-22
20-20
160.3Avg total
84.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.074.1159.1+11.085%
Season at home (10)88.373.3161.6+15.0100%
Season away (10)81.874.9156.7+6.970%
Last 10 (10)84.575.8160.3+8.770%
Last 5 (5)87.478.2165.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.984.6166.5-2.850%
vs Similar (6)78.374.0152.3+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.975.2162.1+11.888%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 69
A11/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H17/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 69
A23/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
81avg 69
H29/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
69avg 69
A06/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
48avg 69
H13/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 69
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
90-97
90
97
-7
78avg 69
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 69
A27/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 69
H03/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-15
27-21
19-18
22-17
23-28
24-23
17-18
22-23
19-20
23-19
21-28
20-17
27-28
19-29
21-24
16-27
17-16
28-20
15-21
21-15
15-12
21-12
13-26
20-6
14-29
25-15
17-11
26-19
30-29
18-26
16-23
20-19
22-22
24-25
20-23
24-24
19-15
26-15
17-28
166.4Avg total
82.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.884.8167.5-2.035%
Season at home (10)81.885.5167.3-3.730%
Season away (10)83.784.0167.7-0.340%
Last 10 (10)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)81.678.8160.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.092.7175.7-9.727%
vs Similar (8)80.881.0161.8-0.238%
vs Weaker (7)82.485.0167.4-2.643%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
ChernomoretsShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/02
NBL
76.9Avg total
40.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.077.3+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.935.178.1+7.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.138.676.7-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.776.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.838.976.6-1.125%-
vs Similar (6)37.737.875.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.635.878.4+6.962%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A11/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H13/01
NBL
Levski
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/02
NBL
81.4Avg total
41.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.284.9-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.543.182.5-3.633%-
Last 30 away (15)43.943.487.3+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.181.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.080.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.946.989.8-3.947%-
vs Similar (8)40.239.679.9+0.638%-
vs Weaker (7)40.639.680.1+1.057%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.7
58.4%
54.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.7
28.1%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.813.0
65.7%
71.1%13.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.9
50.2%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
31.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
71.1%12.4
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WWLWWLWLWW
Shumen
WLLWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#6
+10.9
Net rating
-1.7
109.7
Offensive rating
103.8
98.8
Defensive rating
105.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.1%
3-point %
30.9%
59.6%
Assist %
46.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 103.8Defence98.8 · 105.5Shooting51.8% · 48.8%3-point %28.1% · 30.9%Ball care17.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.2% · 32.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Chernomorets wins
1
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Shumen v Chernomorets78-89
04/03/23Shumen v Chernomorets70-85
21/12/22Shumen v Chernomorets79-94
08/10/22Chernomorets v Shumen94-87
14/03/22Shumen v Chernomorets88-85
05/01/22Shumen v Chernomorets68-77
16/10/21Chernomorets v Shumen114-63
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
28/01/24ACSKA Sofia84-79
20/01/24ABalkan77-85
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
06/01/24AMinyor80-82
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69
16/12/23HBeroe86-74
09/12/23HLevski84-72
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HCSKA Sofia86-82
27/01/24ASpartak Pleven86-89
20/01/24ACherno More90-97
17/01/24HLevski76-61
13/01/24HMinyor70-65
06/01/24AAcademic Plovdiv76-84
29/12/23HRilski Sportist87-98
23/12/23ABeroe85-90
17/12/23HBalkan90-96 OT
11/12/23AYambol82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%100%70%
Points / game85.088.381.8
Allowed / game74.173.374.9
Point differential+10.9+15.0+6.9
Avg total159.2161.6156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeLLWWW30%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%30%40%
Points / game82.881.883.7
Allowed / game84.885.584.0
Point differential-2.0-3.7-0.3
Avg total167.5167.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2017385%85.074.1+10.9
2 Rilski Sportist2116576%83.174.0+9.1
3 Spartak Pleven2116576%86.878.4+8.3
4 CSKA Sofia2012860%85.478.5+7.0
5 Balkan2012860%81.477.5+3.9
6 Cherno More2191243%82.786.5-3.9
7 Beroe2181338%81.186.5-5.4
8 Shumen2071335%82.884.8-2.0
9 Minyor2071335%74.884.3-9.5
10 Academic Plovdiv2171433%78.784.5-5.8
11 Yambol2171433%78.085.2-7.2
12 Levski2051525%73.178.4-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets1918282085
Shumen2118172783
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