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Chiba vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 76-95
16-29 11-28 24-21 25-17
Position#9
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record5-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game73.6
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena (Funabashi)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chiba v Saga
12 Mar 2025
CHIB85
SAGA71
12 Nov 2023
CHIB78
SAGA72
11 Nov 2023
CHIB76
SAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Fubon Braves
#8
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
A18/10
EASL
Sendai
#16
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 76
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 76
H22/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 76
A25/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 76
H28/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 76
H29/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
63avg 76
A01/11
EASL
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 76
H04/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
87avg 76
H05/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 76
A08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
14-22
18-13
27-19
21-17
14-21
17-18
20-27
24-31
30-17
26-23
19-19
19-14
21-24
18-16
24-23
25-16
21-18
16-17
17-18
17-28
22-17
25-22
9-21
23-14
27-18
14-24
11-10
23-17
24-20
15-15
21-36
12-24
32-28
28-24
29-14
22-21
20-20
25-18
19-19
164.6Avg total
83.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.584.2169.8+1.258%
Season at home (8)86.284.5170.8+1.862%
Season away (4)84.083.8167.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)83.581.1164.6+2.470%
Last 5 (5)83.682.0165.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.584.7169.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (24)86.477.2163.5+9.275%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 60
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
no box
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
74-87
74
87
-13
71avg 60
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 60
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 60
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 60
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 60
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 60
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 60
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
61-80
61
80
-19
42avg 60
A08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
19-29
24-19
11-17
16-12
17-23
12-13
19-16
18-25
24-15
13-25
19-22
21-14
6-15
11-18
20-14
20-21
21-15
21-21
18-17
19-16
20-18
18-8
23-17
19-14
19-18
12-18
24-18
15-24
21-11
11-14
18-17
15-14
17-15
21-23
17-12
13-26
12-18
18-19
18-17
142.6Avg total
70.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.473.6144.0-3.242%
Season at home (7)71.175.4146.6-4.343%
Season away (5)69.471.0140.4-1.640%
Last 10 (10)70.372.3142.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)70.067.4137.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.381.3148.7-14.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.470.6141.0-0.238%
vs Weaker (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
ChibaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fubon Braves
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A18/10
EASL
Sendai
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H22/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A25/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H29/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A01/11
EASL
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H04/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/11
B League
83.3Avg total
42.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.181.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.937.681.5+6.463%-
Last 30 away (11)41.538.980.5+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.783.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.485.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.242.386.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (24)42.837.079.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/11
B League
71.8Avg total
34.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)35.037.572.5-2.558%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.638.774.3-3.157%-
Last 30 away (5)34.235.870.0-1.660%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.171.8-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.868.8-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.745.376.0-14.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.934.870.6+1.175%-
vs Weaker (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.4
50.1%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.0
35.9%
33.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
72.0%14.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.216.4
45.3%
50.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.9
27.1%
33.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.114.9
67.4%
72.0%14.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WWLWLWWWLW
Saga
LWLWWWLLWL
#9
League position
#15
+5.1
Net rating
-5.4
112.6
Offensive rating
96.6
107.5
Defensive rating
102.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
43.4%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.9%
3-point %
27.1%
57.5%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 96.6Defence107.5 · 102.0Shooting52.0% · 43.4%3-point %35.9% · 27.1%Ball care15.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Chiba   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chiba wins
0
Saga wins
No previous meetings.
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23AGunma86-78
05/11/23HSeaHorses Mikawa101-90
04/11/23HSeaHorses Mikawa83-88
01/11/23ATNT Tropang Giga75-66
29/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles73-88
28/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles79-69
25/10/23AHokkaido82-77
22/10/23HSendai99-90
21/10/23HSendai72-83
18/10/23AFubon Braves85-82 OT
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23AHiroshima D.61-80
05/11/23HAkita70-64
04/11/23HAkita65-66
29/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya74-68
28/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya80-59
25/10/23HShinshu80-74
22/10/23AShimane58-61
21/10/23AShimane74-87
15/10/23HHiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23HHiroshima D.69-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%62%50%
Points / game85.586.284.0
Allowed / game84.284.583.8
Point differential+1.2+1.8+0.2
Avg total169.8170.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL42%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%43%40%
Points / game70.471.169.4
Allowed / game73.675.471.0
Point differential-3.2-4.3-1.6
Avg total144.0146.6140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %17%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1312192%80.760.5+20.2
2 NeoPhoenix1210283%87.378.7+8.7
3 Brave Thunders1210283%81.074.4+6.6
4 Osaka129375%85.478.8+6.6
5 Ryukyu129375%81.975.7+6.2
6 Utsunomiya Brex129375%76.570.4+6.1
7 Diamond Dolphins129375%84.279.2+4.9
8 Nagasaki128467%88.584.5+4.0
9 Shimane128467%80.977.2+3.7
10 Chiba127558%85.584.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.126650%78.973.2+5.7
12 SeaHorses Mikawa126650%81.978.6+3.3
13 Sendai126650%81.579.2+2.2
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles126650%72.674.7-2.1
15 Saga125742%70.473.6-3.2
16 Yokohama125742%77.282.4-5.2
17 Gunma125742%76.382.3-6.0
18 Shinshu124833%77.883.6-5.8
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya123925%75.280.2-4.9
20 Hokkaido123925%72.279.6-7.4
21 Akita1331023%68.578.5-10.0
22 Ibaraki Robots121118%77.786.6-8.9
23 Kyoto121118%72.284.1-11.9
24 Toyama120120%72.487.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba1611242576
Saga2928211795
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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