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Saga vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 74-79
18-18 16-25 23-17 17-19
Position#18
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Chiba
10 Feb 2027
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
SAGA76
CHIB95
31 Jan 2026
SAGA83
CHIB79
23 Oct 2024
SAGA74
CHIB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 68
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 68
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 68
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 68
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 68
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 68
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 68
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 68
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
62avg 68
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 68
A20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
13-6
21-20
22-24
25-14
27-25
22-21
22-17
19-18
20-17
23-4
12-17
15-23
16-25
17-16
14-18
25-15
147.1Avg total
73.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.070.2143.2+2.867%
Season at homeno games
Season away (6)73.070.2143.2+2.867%
Last 10 (10)73.773.4147.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)78.070.2148.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.080.4150.4-10.414%
vs Similar (15)76.175.8151.9+0.347%
vs Weaker (8)79.164.8143.9+14.488%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
103-93 OT
103
93
+10
97avg 76
A13/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 76
A18/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 76
A19/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
67-83
67
83
-16
54avg 76
A21/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
83avg 76
H05/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
80-61
80
61
+19
70avg 76
H06/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-67
91
67
+24
92avg 76
A12/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 76
A13/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
88avg 76
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
68-57
68
57
+11
57avg 76
H20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
14-15
17-22
18-17
29-24
30-14
11-12
25-12
13-23
20-20
15-19
15-19
14-22
17-24
24-19
12-18
26-7
19-25
14-24
18-21
21-12
26-15
19-20
14-14
26-16
21-13
26-21
18-17
20-17
20-28
20-23
13-13
28-22
18-24
32-15
14-23
14-24
19-18
20-8
15-7
157.6Avg total
82.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.572.3154.8+10.283%
Season at home (4)82.871.5154.2+11.2100%
Season away (2)82.074.0156.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)82.375.3157.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)80.870.0150.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.279.8151.0-8.633%
vs Similar (14)82.176.7158.8+5.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.478.9168.3+10.671%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
SagaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/10
B League
73.0Avg total
36.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.976.7+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.239.676.8-2.440%-
Last 30 away (20)39.637.076.7+2.655%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.473.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.675.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.440.777.1-4.329%-
vs Similar (15)39.139.178.3+0.040%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.073.4+7.488%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A18/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A21/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A12/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/10
B League
80.3Avg total
42.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.782.4-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.541.382.8+0.355%-
Last 30 away (19)40.242.082.2-1.837%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.380.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.141.375.4-7.233%-
vs Similar (14)42.240.983.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.043.989.9+2.143%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.8
48.1%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.911.7
65.4%
72.7%11.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.7
51.7%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.3
30.8%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
72.7%13.5
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWWWLLLWL
Chiba
WWLWWWLLWW
#18
League position
#5
-1.0
Net rating
+9.2
102.4
Offensive rating
109.3
103.4
Defensive rating
100.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.4%
3-point %
30.8%
71.3%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 109.3Defence103.4 · 100.1Shooting50.2% · 49.1%3-point %35.4% · 30.8%Ball care16.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
1
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Chiba v Saga78-72
11/11/23Chiba v Saga76-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AAkita72-74
19/10/24AAkita70-61
13/10/24AHiroshima D.90-81
12/10/24AHiroshima D.81-64
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HKyoto68-57
19/10/24HKyoto92-84
13/10/24AIbaraki Robots73-81
12/10/24AIbaraki Robots91-67
06/10/24HUtsunomiya Brex80-61
05/10/24HUtsunomiya Brex91-84 OT
21/05/24ARyukyu67-83
19/05/24ARyukyu63-81
18/05/24ARyukyu95-62
13/05/24AUtsunomiya Brex103-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
Home--
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games6-6
Win %67%-67%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game70.2-70.2
Point differential+2.8-+2.8
Avg total143.2-143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%-17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game82.582.882.0
Allowed / game72.371.574.0
Point differential+10.2+11.2+8.0
Avg total154.8154.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane65183%81.870.2+11.7
2 Chiba65183%82.572.3+10.2
3 Alvark65183%80.371.0+9.3
4 Ryukyu64267%89.575.8+13.7
5 Diamond Dolphins64267%85.075.2+9.8
6 Osaka64267%81.876.2+5.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%79.073.5+5.5
8 NeoPhoenix64267%80.877.5+3.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex64267%82.079.0+3.0
10 Nagasaki64267%71.068.2+2.8
11 Saga64267%73.070.2+2.8
12 Gunma63350%76.871.8+5.0
13 Akita63350%74.272.3+1.8
14 Kyoto63350%73.271.8+1.3
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya63350%69.569.0+0.5
16 Yokohama63350%77.579.8-2.3
17 Brave Thunders62433%77.784.3-6.7
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles62433%69.275.8-6.7
19 Ibaraki Robots62433%72.282.5-10.3
20 Hiroshima D.61517%67.780.0-12.3
21 Hokkaido61517%64.276.7-12.5
22 Shiga61517%78.091.2-13.2
23 Koshigaya Alphas61517%69.385.5-16.2
24 Sendai6060%71.778.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1816231774
Chiba1825171979
← all games of the day
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