PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cincinnati vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-74
51-34 46-40
Position#91
Record19-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game69.6
Cincinnati 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#327
Record10-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs
05 Mar 2023
CINC97
SMU 74
06 Jan 2022
CINC77
SMU 60
04 Mar 2021
CINC v SMU
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
CINC65
SMU 43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#42
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H22/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H02/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
A08/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H12/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
36-33
43-36
26-39
36-18
45-37
31-20
42-44
37-28
46-55
34-38
50-27
37-29
34-46
33-30
40-41
37-34
38-41
30-41
43-35
151.4Avg total
77.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.369.6146.9+7.763%
Season at home (19)80.366.9147.2+13.379%
Season away (11)72.274.1146.3-1.936%
Last 10 (10)77.474.0151.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)77.874.0151.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.073.5137.5-9.50%
vs Similar (9)76.974.6151.4+2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.867.4145.3+10.478%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#42
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A27/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A02/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H17/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H19/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-50
52-49
45-33
37-47
28-39
24-35
32-40
40-37
32-30
40-41
39-38
36-37
29-43
36-37
35-28
51-42
38-26
29-45
37-50
25-31
152.5Avg total
73.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.174.8145.0-4.733%
Season at home (18)71.972.0143.9-0.144%
Season away (12)67.479.1146.5-11.717%
Last 10 (10)73.179.4152.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)73.878.6152.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.278.6146.8-10.418%
vs Similar (5)75.665.2140.8+10.460%
vs Weaker (3)75.363.3138.7+12.0100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -3.1-3.1
CincinnatiSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#42
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H02/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A08/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A26/02
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.468.1+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.330.868.1+6.474%-
Last 30 away (11)35.832.368.1+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.666.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.468.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)34.334.268.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.129.766.8+7.483%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#42
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H03/03
NCAA
72.4Avg total
34.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.166.2-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.732.865.5-0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)31.336.067.3-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.772.4-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.072.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.435.968.3-3.541%-
vs Similar (5)32.829.662.4+3.260%-
vs Weaker (3)29.328.357.7+1.033%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cincinnati wins
1
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati52-54
04/03/22SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati76-71
07/01/22Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs77-60
12/03/21SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati71-74
08/01/21SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati69-76
29/01/20Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs65-43
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23AMemphis73-76
23/02/23HTemple88-83 OT
19/02/23AUCF Knights73-71
16/02/23AEast Carolina71-75
12/02/23HSouth Florida84-65
08/02/23ATulane94-101 OT
04/02/23HUCF Knights73-64
02/02/23HTulsa81-55
28/01/23AHouston69-75
22/01/23HMemphis68-75
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HMemphis62-81
26/02/23ASouth Florida67-71
19/02/23HEast Carolina86-70
17/02/23HHouston65-80
12/02/23AWichita State89-91 OT
09/02/23HTemple72-71
04/02/23AEast Carolina72-77
02/02/23ATulane52-74
29/01/23HSouth Florida82-80
27/01/23AMemphis84-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %63%79%36%
Points / game77.380.372.2
Allowed / game69.666.974.1
Point differential+7.7+13.3-1.9
Avg total146.9147.2146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%68%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%5%9%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %33%44%17%
Points / game70.171.967.4
Allowed / game74.872.079.1
Point differential-4.7-0.1-11.7
Avg total145.0143.9146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)43% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %10%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3129294%76.056.5+19.5
2 Arizona3125681%83.171.9+11.2
3 Kansas3125681%75.668.2+7.4
4 Kansas State3123874%75.868.7+7.1
5 Baylor3122971%77.370.0+7.3
6 TCU31201165%75.568.0+7.5
7 Arizona State31201165%70.767.6+3.1
8 Cincinnati30191163%77.369.6+7.7
9 Iowa State30181260%68.562.2+6.3
10 West Virginia31181358%76.771.1+5.6
11 Brigham Young33191458%75.769.7+6.0
12 UCF Knights29161355%71.665.6+6.0
13 Utah Utes31171455%68.963.5+5.3
14 Oklahoma State31171455%69.566.8+2.7
15 Texas Tech31161552%73.768.7+5.0
16 Colorado31161552%69.966.3+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2923679%68.260.5+7.7
2 Duke3123874%71.863.8+8.0
3 NC State3122971%78.470.3+8.1
4 Clemson3122971%75.568.1+7.4
5 Pittsburgh31211068%75.969.3+6.6
6 North Carolina31191261%76.571.3+5.1
7 Miami (FL)61362559%76.672.9+3.7
8 Virginia Tech31181358%74.469.1+5.3
9 Wake Forest31181358%76.773.8+3.0
10 Syracuse31171455%74.172.8+1.4
11 Boston College31151648%66.370.0-3.7
12 Georgia Tech31141745%69.670.5-0.9
13 Stanford31131842%69.867.7+2.1
14 Notre Dame31112035%69.872.3-2.5
15 SMU Mustangs30102033%70.174.8-4.7
16 Florida State3192229%69.676.7-7.1
17 Louisville3142713%64.075.6-11.6
18 California3132810%58.570.1-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati514697
SMU Mustangs344074
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.