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Cincinnati vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-58
31-29 45-29
Position#161
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game64.1
vs
Position#255
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
31-34
38-26
49-42
24-33
32-43
49-28
45-35
39-30
35-34
33-26
41-36
30-36
42-19
32-28
32-46
42-28
52-39
23-36
33-28
140.9Avg total
73.8Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.464.1139.6+11.371%
Season at home (7)75.464.1139.6+11.371%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.867.1140.9+6.760%
Last 5 (5)72.064.4136.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.075.4141.4-9.412%
vs Similar (10)60.764.4125.1-3.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.664.7142.2+12.983%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#32
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A14/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A04/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A06/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#430
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
30-36
21-30
30-25
38-48
38-48
31-47
29-49
47-28
38-49
34-31
42-31
42-55
39-39
44-25
33-29
37-38
53-36
25-36
42-21
146.5Avg total
72.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.576.2152.8+0.262%
Season at home (4)76.262.5138.8+13.8100%
Season away (4)76.890.0166.8-13.225%
Last 10 (10)72.973.6146.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)78.268.2146.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.471.9134.2-9.524%
vs Similar (10)70.667.1137.7+3.570%
vs Weaker (1)100.083.0183.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +1.1+1.1
CincinnatiTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.964.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.930.764.7+3.267%-
Last 30 away (12)30.833.864.5-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.566.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.862.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.836.066.8-5.212%-
vs Similar (10)29.930.960.8-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.230.166.3+6.275%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#32
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A14/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H09/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#430
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
35.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.066.1+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.129.165.1+7.079%-
Last 30 away (16)30.636.466.9-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.372.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.135.366.4-4.229%-
vs Similar (10)34.629.263.8+5.480%-
vs Weaker (1)51.036.087.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HEastern Michigan56-64
25/11/25HNJIT94-67
21/11/25HLouisville64-74
16/11/25HMount St. Mary's72-55
12/11/25HDayton74-62
08/11/25HGeorgia State74-64
04/11/25HWestern Carolina94-63
12/03/25AIowa State56-76
11/03/25AOklahoma State87-68
08/03/25AOklahoma State67-78
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HState Mustangs67-57
21/11/25ARice90-74
18/11/25HAngelo State77-54
15/11/25ABaylor81-94
12/11/25HMerrimack Warriors76-62
09/11/25HTexas A&M-CC85-77
06/11/25ALSU60-96
04/11/25ASMU Mustangs76-96
14/03/25ACalifornia Baptist51-55
09/03/25HUtah Valley State66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWLWL71%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %71%71%-
Points / game75.475.4-
Allowed / game64.164.1-
Point differential+11.3+11.3-
Avg total139.6139.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game76.576.276.8
Allowed / game76.262.590.0
Point differential+0.2+13.8-13.2
Avg total152.8138.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona770100%87.367.0+20.3
2 Oklahoma State770100%92.175.3+16.9
3 Colorado770100%90.377.9+12.4
4 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
5 UCF Knights87188%88.276.9+11.4
6 Iowa State76186%88.967.3+21.6
7 Brigham Young76186%84.469.1+15.3
8 Baylor65183%86.880.3+6.5
9 West Virginia86275%71.157.5+13.6
10 Kansas86275%76.264.5+11.8
11 Texas Tech86275%81.471.5+9.9
12 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
13 Utah Utes86275%81.477.9+3.5
14 TCU75271%79.765.9+13.9
15 Cincinnati75271%75.464.1+11.3
16 Kansas State75271%89.480.4+9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist770100%75.463.0+12.4
2 UT Arlington86275%77.863.1+14.6
3 Utah Valley State75271%85.962.9+23.0
4 Abilene Christian85362%73.865.6+8.1
5 Tarleton85362%76.576.2+0.2
6 Utah Tech105550%77.872.5+5.3
7 Southern Utah93633%76.782.6-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati314576
Tarleton292958
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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