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Citadel vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 57-73
21-38 36-35
Position#340
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#186
Record12-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Citadel v Mercer
14 Feb 2026
CITA54
MERC70
19 Feb 2025
CITA52
MERC62
24 Jan 2024
CITA68
MERC66
28 Jan 2023
CITA65
MERC74
17 Jan 2022
CITA64
MERC71
20 Jan 2021
CITA63
MERC83
26 Feb 2020
CITA57
MERC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A23/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
54-78
54
78
-24
H25/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
56-79
56
79
-23
H30/01
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A06/02
NCAA
VMI
#318
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H08/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A13/02
NCAA
Samford
#321
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H15/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
H20/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-52
29-40
30-37
24-41
30-36
26-43
22-31
49-45
32-40
36-48
35-39
29-36
32-38
35-53
37-31
25-43
28-40
40-51
35-39
49-57
150.3Avg total
66.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.779.9156.6-3.223%
Season at home (11)78.775.3154.0+3.527%
Season away (11)74.684.5159.2-9.918%
Last 10 (10)66.384.0150.3-17.70%
Last 5 (5)69.085.4154.4-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.984.7154.7-14.80%
vs Similar (2)90.587.0177.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker (4)91.866.5158.2+25.250%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#96
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H23/01
NCAA
VMI
#318
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A06/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#153
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A13/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H15/02
NCAA
Samford
#321
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H20/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
46-46
28-25
41-41
36-34
35-21
31-22
45-49
24-39
33-40
22-31
38-42
32-37
38-31
22-29
33-38
47-32
59-34
38-29
47-51
143.8Avg total
73.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.769.2139.9+1.550%
Season at home (12)71.768.7140.3+3.042%
Season away (12)69.869.8139.5+0.058%
Last 10 (10)73.470.4143.8+3.070%
Last 5 (5)75.270.8146.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.274.6139.8-9.420%
vs Similar (11)67.069.4136.4-2.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.868.2154.0+17.783%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -11.5-11.52nd half: +2.2+2.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -11.5-11.52nd half: +2.2+2.2
CitadelMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A06/02
NCAA
VMI
#318
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H08/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Samford
#321
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H20/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
32.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.537.675.1-0.136%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.536.678.2+4.955%-
Last 30 away (11)33.538.672.1-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)32.138.370.4-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.470.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.740.374.0-6.713%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.031.281.2+18.8100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#96
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/01
NCAA
VMI
#318
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A06/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A13/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Samford
#321
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H20/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A22/02
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.9Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.964.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.531.563.0+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)32.234.266.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.163.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.663.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.836.164.9-7.320%-
vs Similar (11)29.531.560.9-2.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.732.775.3+10.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
1
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/20AWestern Carolina84-96
20/02/20HUT Chattanooga68-91
15/02/20HSamford62-74
13/02/20AEast Tennessee St67-91
08/02/20HVMI64-75
06/02/20ANC Greensboro68-88
01/02/20AMercer71-76
30/01/20HWofford56-79
25/01/20HFurman54-78
23/01/20AUT Chattanooga69-92
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20AUT Chattanooga85-80
20/02/20HSamford106-66
15/02/20HNC Greensboro55-67
13/02/20AWofford70-68
08/02/20HEast Tennessee St60-73
06/02/20AFurman57-79
01/02/20HCitadel76-71
30/01/20AEast Tennessee St71-55
25/01/20AVMI69-66
23/01/20HWestern Carolina85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game76.778.774.6
Allowed / game79.975.384.5
Point differential-3.2+3.5-9.9
Avg total156.6154.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Mercer
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLLW42%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%42%58%
Points / game70.771.769.8
Allowed / game69.268.769.8
Point differential+1.5+3.0+0.0
Avg total139.9140.3139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2522388%77.263.1+14.2
2 NC Greensboro2319483%75.064.1+11.0
3 Furman2419579%75.966.9+9.0
4 Western Carolina2315865%79.075.0+4.0
5 Wofford24141058%73.068.1+4.8
6 Mercer24121250%70.769.2+1.5
7 VMI2261627%71.671.9-0.3
8 Samford2461825%73.584.1-10.6
9 Citadel2251723%76.779.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel213657
Mercer383573
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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