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Citadel vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-66
21-35 47-31
Position#311
Record8-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.8
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
Mercer
USA
Position#223
Record8-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Citadel v Mercer
14 Feb 2026
CITA54
MERC70
19 Feb 2025
CITA52
MERC62
24 Jan 2024
CITA68
MERC66
28 Jan 2023
CITA65
MERC74
17 Jan 2022
CITA64
MERC71
20 Jan 2021
CITA63
MERC83
26 Feb 2020
CITA57
MERC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A19/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H13/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A18/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
45-39
32-44
39-42
32-29
33-16
56-31
50-45
28-40
43-40
25-31
39-49
36-44
32-38
30-40
41-32
29-38
38-35
29-35
34-35
145.8Avg total
73.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.568.8140.3+2.642%
Season at home (10)75.867.6143.4+8.260%
Season away (9)66.770.2136.9-3.622%
Last 10 (10)73.472.4145.8+1.030%
Last 5 (5)66.675.4142.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.974.9138.8-11.012%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.967.5134.4-0.625%
vs Weaker (6)83.364.2147.5+19.283%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H20/12
NCAA
Thomas Univ.
#443
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Talladega
#452
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A06/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
33-32
42-26
42-39
50-36
48-39
39-25
35-25
30-42
39-38
48-28
38-36
37-40
36-34
25-29
27-35
23-31
37-43
33-46
47-41
144.4Avg total
74.6Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.071.4141.4-1.442%
Season at home (9)69.867.4137.2+2.356%
Season away (10)70.274.9145.1-4.730%
Last 10 (10)74.669.8144.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)70.272.6142.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.175.4138.6-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.270.2137.5-3.038%
vs Weaker (5)75.654.8130.4+20.8100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
CitadelMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pfeiffer Falcons
#476
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H06/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H13/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A20/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.734.165.9-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.133.467.5+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)29.134.964.0-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.369.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)29.837.667.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.635.964.5-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.433.965.2-2.550%-
vs Weaker (6)40.529.870.3+10.783%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Thomas Univ.
#443
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Talladega
#452
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A06/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.465.7+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.329.763.0+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)33.335.168.3-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.670.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.868.0-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.936.664.4-8.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.433.267.6+1.269%-
vs Weaker (5)35.623.659.2+12.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
8
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Mercer v Citadel66-41
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AVMI63-70
18/01/24ANC Greensboro67-73
13/01/24HWofford71-72
11/01/24AFurman68-82
06/01/24HSamford64-80
04/01/24HWestern Carolina71-80
30/12/23HToccoa Falls106-76
19/12/23ANotre Dame65-45
15/12/23ACharleston71-86
06/12/23HPfeiffer Falcons88-60
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ASamford80-87
18/01/24HChattanooga Mocs60-74
13/01/24HWestern Carolina52-64
11/01/24AWofford73-74
06/01/24AVMI86-64
04/01/24AEast Tennessee St69-80
29/12/23HTalladega74-50
21/12/23HThomas Univ.98-75
20/12/23HQueens Royals84-65
16/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game71.575.866.7
Allowed / game68.867.670.2
Point differential+2.6+8.2-3.6
Avg total140.3143.4136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game70.069.870.2
Allowed / game71.467.474.9
Point differential-1.4+2.3-4.7
Avg total141.4137.2145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1917289%90.475.3+15.1
2 Western Carolina1915479%75.365.9+9.3
3 NC Greensboro1914574%77.168.0+9.1
4 Chattanooga Mocs1811761%78.370.3+8.0
5 Wofford1911858%77.675.8+1.7
6 Furman1910953%81.976.7+5.2
7 East Tennessee St1910953%71.569.9+1.6
8 Citadel1981142%71.568.8+2.6
9 Mercer1981142%70.071.4-1.4
10 VMI2041620%70.779.4-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel214768
Mercer353166
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