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Citadel vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-71
26-32 38-39
Position#254
Record7-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#198
Record10-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Citadel v Mercer
14 Feb 2026
CITA54
MERC70
19 Feb 2025
CITA52
MERC62
24 Jan 2024
CITA68
MERC66
28 Jan 2023
CITA65
MERC74
17 Jan 2022
CITA64
MERC71
20 Jan 2021
CITA63
MERC83
26 Feb 2020
CITA57
MERC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#227
W
91-79 OT
91
79
+12
A28/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A01/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#196
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H07/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#576
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H17/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#200
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A08/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H14/01
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
45-44
24-31
34-34
42-32
38-35
44-32
58-30
30-32
27-42
40-34
34-43
35-44
46-37
31-36
36-49
18-33
56-36
41-46
44-44
154.0Avg total
77.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.174.8155.9+6.347%
Season at home (8)85.269.4154.6+15.962%
Season away (7)76.481.0157.4-4.629%
Last 10 (10)77.876.2154.0+1.640%
Last 5 (5)78.083.0161.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.181.3152.4-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.779.3151.1-7.633%
vs Weaker (7)88.770.4159.1+18.371%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#253
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A19/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H22/12
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/01
NCAA
VMI
#186
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
34-37
36-38
47-39
35-30
39-39
37-30
40-38
26-18
29-49
33-38
32-31
33-38
50-42
27-44
39-37
52-34
45-57
30-23
28-26
145.3Avg total
73.1Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.871.1143.8+1.759%
Season at home (10)76.568.3144.8+8.280%
Season away (7)67.475.0142.4-7.629%
Last 10 (10)73.172.2145.3+0.970%
Last 5 (5)73.874.0147.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.378.6149.9-7.233%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.466.6137.0+3.764%
vs Weaker (6)80.068.8148.8+11.283%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -1.2-1.2
CitadelMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#227
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A28/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A01/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#196
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H07/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#576
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H17/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#200
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A08/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
L
18-33
18
33
-15
H14/01
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
33.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.372.3-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.434.271.6+3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)34.638.473.0-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.369.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.671.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.939.673.4-5.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.337.571.8-3.327%-
vs Weaker (7)40.132.172.3+8.071%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#253
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A19/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H22/12
NCAA
Samford
#91
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H06/01
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/01
NCAA
VMI
#186
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H15/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.830.965.7+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.830.266.1+5.659%-
Last 30 away (13)33.531.865.3+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.767.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.470.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.733.868.4+0.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.330.965.1+3.464%-
vs Weaker (6)34.829.264.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
4
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22HVMI85-90
14/01/22HNC Greensboro74-69
08/01/22AChattanooga Mocs67-85
06/01/22AWestern Carolina90-94 OT
22/12/21HManhattan74-77
20/12/21HSouth Carolina St57-74
17/12/21HSt. Andrews102-62
07/12/21HN. Carolina Central80-67
01/12/21AUNC Asheville58-65
28/11/21ASouth Carolina St91-79 OT
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22HNC Greensboro58-49
14/01/22HVMI97-91
08/01/22AFurman66-81
06/01/22HSamford83-80
22/12/21HTroy65-69
19/12/21AFlorida Gulf Coast55-67
11/12/21HGeorgia Southern77-68
07/12/21ACoastal Carolina74-69
04/12/21HGeorgia State83-77
02/12/21AKennesaw State73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game81.185.276.4
Allowed / game74.869.481.0
Point differential+6.3+15.9-4.6
Avg total155.9154.6157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%43%
Mercer
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%80%29%
Points / game72.876.567.4
Allowed / game71.168.375.0
Point differential+1.7+8.2-7.6
Avg total143.8144.8142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs1814478%76.863.4+13.4
2 Samford1711665%75.574.4+1.1
3 Furman1912763%77.670.9+6.7
4 Wofford1811761%76.165.0+11.1
5 Mercer1710759%72.871.1+1.7
6 NC Greensboro1710759%63.262.9+0.4
7 East Tennessee St1911858%71.372.1-0.7
8 VMI1810856%79.270.1+9.1
9 Citadel157847%81.174.8+6.3
10 Western Carolina1881044%75.378.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel263864
Mercer323971
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