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Mercer vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-46
34-18 46-28
Position#264
Record10-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.9
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#361
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mercer v Citadel
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CITA
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
MERC101
CITA63
29 Jan 2025
MERC80
CITA46
08 Mar 2024
MERC84
CITA76
21 Feb 2024
MERC87
CITA78
03 Mar 2023
MERC66
CITA41
25 Feb 2023
MERC72
CITA50
23 Feb 2022
MERC67
CITA71
22 Feb 2021
MERC88
CITA52
01 Feb 2020
MERC76
CITA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#69
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
H01/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A04/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A18/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
61-58
40-37
31-31
42-37
43-48
34-26
36-41
32-40
36-30
44-40
38-45
38-41
36-34
23-26
26-43
35-48
44-30
38-41
36-38
155.0Avg total
76.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.575.9155.3+3.648%
Season at home (10)86.471.4157.8+15.060%
Season away (11)73.279.9153.1-6.736%
Last 10 (10)76.378.7155.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.677.2148.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.178.7152.9-4.633%
vs Similar (9)73.878.1151.9-4.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.066.7159.7+26.383%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#337
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
53-105
53
105
-52
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-47
29-26
21-49
32-56
27-41
29-45
30-42
38-39
19-30
39-28
22-36
30-34
29-34
28-36
36-41
34-34
26-52
42-27
27-36
45-36
142.2Avg total
63.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.573.8143.4-4.326%
Season at home (12)75.370.9146.2+4.442%
Season away (7)59.678.9138.4-19.30%
Last 10 (10)63.678.6142.2-15.00%
Last 5 (5)65.074.8139.8-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.178.5142.6-14.57%
vs Similar (10)69.774.7144.4-5.010%
vs Weaker (4)89.062.2151.2+26.8100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -12.9-12.92nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -12.9-12.92nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
MercerCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#69
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A04/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A18/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/01
NCAA
74.2Avg total
36.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.470.7-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.433.772.1+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.137.269.3-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.274.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.138.271.3-5.113%-
vs Similar (9)32.934.667.4-1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.229.874.0+14.3100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#337
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A02/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/01
NCAA
68.7Avg total
27.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.469.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.234.769.9+0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)29.438.567.9-9.28%-
Last 10 (10)27.940.868.7-12.90%-
Last 5 (5)28.039.867.8-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)28.538.767.2-10.37%-
vs Similar (10)32.335.367.6-3.030%-
vs Weaker (4)48.233.581.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mercer wins
2
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24Mercer v Citadel84-76
22/02/24Mercer v Citadel87-78
25/01/24Citadel v Mercer68-66
03/03/23Mercer v Citadel66-41
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HFurman74-79
23/01/25ANC Greensboro79-78
18/01/25AWofford49-69
16/01/25HSamford74-75
12/01/25AWestern Carolina82-85
09/01/25HEast Tennessee St68-70
04/01/25AVMI70-67
01/01/25HChattanooga Mocs99-94 OT
28/12/24AGeorgia State71-68
21/12/24AWinthrop97-102
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HWestern Carolina78-80 OT
23/01/25AWofford68-79
18/01/25HVMI70-75
16/01/25ANC Greensboro57-70
11/01/25AEast Tennessee St52-70
09/01/25HFurman63-67 OT
04/01/25HChattanooga Mocs68-81
02/01/25ASamford56-86
19/12/24AVanderbilt53-105
17/12/24ACentral Arkansas71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game79.586.473.2
Allowed / game75.971.479.9
Point differential+3.6+15.0-6.7
Avg total155.3157.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %14%20%9%
Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %26%42%0%
Points / game69.575.359.6
Allowed / game73.870.978.9
Point differential-4.3+4.4-19.3
Avg total143.4146.2138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2217577%83.873.4+10.4
2 Furman2217577%76.868.1+8.6
3 NC Greensboro2113862%74.164.4+9.7
4 Chattanooga Mocs2113862%76.972.1+4.8
5 East Tennessee St2112957%74.367.0+7.2
6 Wofford21111052%74.670.2+4.4
7 Mercer21101148%79.575.9+3.6
8 VMI2191243%76.172.1+4.0
9 Western Carolina1961332%68.378.3-10.0
10 Citadel1951426%69.573.8-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer344680
Citadel182846
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