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Forli vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-82
20-20 19-13 13-23 27-26
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#5
Record13-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.5
ItalySerie A2Round 20· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Cividale
11 Apr 2027
FORL v CIVI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
FORL58
CIVI79
18 May 2025
FORL83
CIVI72
16 May 2025
FORL91
CIVI81
12 Jan 2025
FORL79
CIVI82
01 Nov 2023
FORL84
CIVI78
20 Nov 2022
FORL53
CIVI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#14
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
76avg 70
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 70
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 70
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 70
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 70
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 70
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
64avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 70
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 70
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-65
64
65
-1
56avg 70
H05/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-15
15-16
18-22
14-27
20-23
13-22
28-12
16-20
21-15
25-21
9-20
32-17
21-20
17-28
12-15
21-24
25-18
19-21
23-19
19-18
30-14
12-19
18-23
18-17
21-17
15-18
13-15
24-22
14-21
24-25
31-23
24-19
25-16
17-20
18-20
17-17
18-7
13-17
16-24
157.9Avg total
79.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.374.7152.1+2.658%
Season at home (9)78.773.3152.0+5.367%
Season away (10)76.176.0152.1+0.150%
Last 10 (10)79.478.5157.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)78.276.2154.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.075.2148.2-2.239%
vs Weaker (11)84.174.5158.6+9.591%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
67avg 73
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 73
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 73
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 73
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
67avg 73
H06/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
77-84
77
84
-7
61avg 73
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
68avg 73
A14/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 73
H21/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
67avg 73
A29/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 73
H05/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
11-17
25-14
25-10
26-21
14-14
15-20
25-20
23-10
19-20
21-23
23-22
25-13
26-10
16-23
12-16
13-22
19-22
20-17
25-16
21-25
21-10
19-27
16-22
20-19
18-15
14-17
18-19
26-25
21-17
10-23
30-24
18-11
18-24
10-16
28-14
21-27
31-20
22-24
23-15
159.1Avg total
82.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.276.5156.7+3.668%
Season at home (10)81.675.5157.1+6.180%
Season away (9)78.677.7156.2+0.956%
Last 10 (10)82.177.0159.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)82.881.0163.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.274.5148.7-0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.978.2160.2+3.769%
vs Weaker (8)79.869.4149.1+10.488%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
ForliCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H05/01
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
42.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.876.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.273.9+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.579.1+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.979.1+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.675.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.050.084.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.035.473.4+2.661%-
vs Weaker (11)42.937.980.8+5.064%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H21/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A29/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H05/01
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
40.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.275.3+3.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.235.673.8+2.775%-
Last 30 away (14)40.236.977.1+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.477.1+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.681.6+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.839.375.2-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.537.175.6+1.475%-
vs Weaker (8)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.0
48.0%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.4%
74.4%15.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.4
50.1%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.816.7
76.6%
74.4%16.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWLWWWLLW
Cividale
WWLLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#5
+1.2
Net rating
+6.9
106.5
Offensive rating
109.5
105.3
Defensive rating
102.6
48.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
33.1%
67.8%
Assist %
53.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 109.5Defence105.3 · 102.6Shooting48.6% · 49.9%3-point %33.0% · 33.1%Ball care15.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 33.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
3
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Cividale v Forli77-69
06/01/24Cividale v Forli86-77
01/11/23Forli v Cividale84-78 OT
11/02/23Cividale v Forli73-77
20/11/22Forli v Cividale53-56
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HSebastiani Rieti64-65
29/12/24ANardo84-75
22/12/24HVigevano93-91
14/12/24AFortitudo Bologna71-76 OT
07/12/24AJuVi Cremona79-74
01/12/24HAssigeco Piacenza88-82
23/11/24AUrania Milano82-80
17/11/24HCantu71-76
13/11/24AUdine75-84
10/11/24HOrzinuovi87-82 OT
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HPesaro97-86
29/12/24ABasket Torino74-65
21/12/24HOrzinuovi87-89
14/12/24AUrania Milano79-81 OT
11/12/24ANardo77-84
06/12/24HAvellino Basket85-90 OT
29/11/24ACento79-62
16/11/24HFortitudo Bologna86-75
13/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza80-75
09/11/24HSebastiani Rieti77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game77.378.776.1
Allowed / game74.773.376.0
Point differential+2.6+5.3+0.1
Avg total152.1152.0152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %16%22%10%
Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW68%
HomeWWLLW80%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game80.281.678.6
Allowed / game76.575.577.7
Point differential+3.6+6.1+0.9
Avg total156.7157.1156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %16%10%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1915479%83.476.6+6.7
2 Udine1914574%83.174.3+8.8
3 Cantu1914574%78.472.5+5.9
4 Cividale1913668%80.276.5+3.6
5 Urania Milano2013765%77.574.0+3.5
6 Verona1912763%77.072.9+4.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%73.972.8+1.1
8 Avellino Basket2012860%78.177.7+0.4
9 Forli1911858%77.374.7+2.6
10 Fortitudo Bologna2011955%76.275.0+1.2
11 Orzinuovi1991047%78.980.0-1.1
12 Pesaro1991047%77.579.6-2.1
13 Brindisi1981142%75.676.9-1.3
14 Basket Torino2081240%75.876.8-1.1
15 Libertas Livorno1971237%74.376.0-1.7
16 JuVi Cremona2071335%79.283.0-3.8
17 Vigevano1961332%77.781.2-3.5
18 Cento1951426%70.477.9-7.6
19 Nardo2051525%71.580.8-9.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza2031715%74.580.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2019132779
Cividale2013232682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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