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Clemson vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-75
38-35 42-40
Position#56
Record20-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game65.6
Clemson 🏆
USA
vs
Louisville
USA
Position#53
Record20-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Clemson v Louisville
28 Feb 2026
CLEM80
LOUI75
30 Jan 2024
CLEM70
LOUI64
11 Jan 2023
CLEM83
LOUI70
03 Mar 2021
CLEM v LOUI
upcoming
27 Jan 2021
CLEM54
LOUI50
15 Feb 2020
CLEM77
LOUI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clemson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ClemsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H17/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H31/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A05/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
34-33
33-38
36-31
35-33
42-30
33-16
30-36
30-32
36-32
39-20
38-35
33-40
33-36
26-31
28-36
32-45
45-40
36-33
29-37
136.1Avg total
69.0Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.565.6140.1+8.971%
Season at home (16)75.261.4136.7+13.881%
Season away (12)73.671.2144.8+2.458%
Last 10 (10)69.067.1136.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)67.870.6138.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)54.067.0121.0-13.00%
vs Similar (14)72.971.1144.0+1.957%
vs Weaker (15)76.861.3138.1+15.580%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#122
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H24/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
118-77
118
77
+41
H10/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A14/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-22
48-49
28-38
24-45
44-47
44-27
38-32
38-33
43-34
45-46
56-36
62-41
34-34
48-37
49-52
36-43
42-31
45-39
38-39
36-38
159.8Avg total
83.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.472.0158.3+14.471%
Season at home (17)91.568.5159.9+23.088%
Season away (11)78.577.4155.8+1.145%
Last 10 (10)83.576.3159.8+7.270%
Last 5 (5)89.278.0167.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.380.0142.3-17.70%
vs Similar (5)72.283.4155.6-11.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.269.1160.3+22.191%
This opponent (Clemson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.8+2.8
ClemsonLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ClemsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H17/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A05/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A19/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H21/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.029.864.8+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.827.262.9+8.671%-
Last 30 away (13)34.033.267.2+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.464.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.867.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)26.031.057.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)32.531.564.0+1.043%-
vs Weaker (15)37.928.166.0+9.987%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H10/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
77.4Avg total
40.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.933.975.8+8.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.832.477.2+12.478%-
Last 30 away (12)37.436.273.6+1.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.577.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.482.2+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.736.374.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (5)31.240.471.6-9.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.932.177.0+12.873%-
This opponent (Clemson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Clemson wins
5
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Louisville v Clemson76-73
08/01/25Louisville v Clemson74-64
31/01/24Clemson v Louisville70-64
19/02/23Louisville v Clemson83-73
12/01/23Clemson v Louisville83-70
19/02/22Louisville v Clemson70-61
28/01/21Clemson v Louisville54-50
15/02/20Clemson v Louisville77-62
25/01/20Louisville v Clemson80-62
Clemsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HFlorida State65-70
19/02/26AWake Forest77-85
14/02/26ADuke54-67
12/02/26HVirginia Tech66-76
08/02/26ACalifornia77-55
05/02/26AStanford66-64
31/01/26HPittsburgh63-52
24/01/26AGeorgia Tech77-63
21/01/26HNC State76-80 OT
17/01/26HMiami (FL)69-59
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26ANorth Carolina74-77
21/02/26HGeorgia Tech87-70
18/02/26ASMU Mustangs85-95
14/02/26ABaylor82-71
10/02/26HNC State118-77
07/02/26AWake Forest88-80
05/02/26HNotre Dame76-65
31/01/26HSMU Mustangs88-74
27/01/26ADuke52-83
24/01/26HVirginia Tech85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Clemson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL71%
HomeWLWLL81%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %71%81%58%
Points / game74.575.273.6
Allowed / game65.661.471.2
Point differential+8.9+13.8+2.4
Avg total140.1136.7144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %71%88%45%
Points / game86.491.578.5
Allowed / game72.068.577.4
Point differential+14.4+23.0+1.1
Avg total158.3159.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%76%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2927293%82.862.5+20.3
2 Virginia3025583%80.369.3+11.0
3 Miami (FL)2822679%82.970.6+12.3
4 North Carolina2822679%80.670.8+9.9
5 Louisville2820871%86.472.0+14.4
6 Clemson2820871%74.565.6+8.9
7 California2820871%78.572.6+5.9
8 SMU Mustangs2819968%86.277.4+8.8
9 NC State29191066%84.275.1+9.1
10 Virginia Tech28181064%78.874.0+4.8
11 Stanford28171161%75.172.3+2.8
12 Syracuse28151354%75.673.4+2.2
13 Florida State29151452%79.777.6+2.1
14 Wake Forest28141450%78.876.9+2.0
15 Notre Dame29131645%74.574.9-0.4
16 Georgia Tech29111838%74.077.4-3.4
17 Pittsburgh28101836%69.971.8-1.8
18 Boston College28101836%67.770.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Clemson384280
Louisville354075
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