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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-86
19-23 21-28 22-10 15-25
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game89.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H16/10
BBL
Minsk
#33
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A23/10
BBL
Peristeri
#30
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
H30/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-26
36-14
28-20
25-17
15-26
25-25
14-14
19-19
16-14
10-10
8-10
24-33
29-22
25-22
21-22
18-24
27-19
20-18
26-17
21-25
24-21
17-24
9-23
20-25
10-19
31-14
16-23
22-23
25-11
19-19
20-21
20-15
16-14
19-21
21-16
20-24
19-26
23-17
17-12
168.6Avg total
85.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.375.0156.3+6.367%
Season at home (1)77.081.0158.0-4.00%
Season away (2)83.572.0155.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.982.7168.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)80.480.8161.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.581.0155.5-6.550%
vs Similar (12)81.784.2165.9-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.183.3173.4+6.862%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H15/09
Champions League
Horsens
#2
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A06/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H09/10
Basketligaen
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#30
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A23/10
Basketligaen
Minsk
#33
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Copenhagen
#7
W
113-67
113
67
+46
H29/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
23-19
12-29
31-25
24-25
29-22
22-24
29-18
25-21
30-19
23-29
24-26
28-11
14-23
20-23
30-16
20-15
31-16
24-26
31-12
24-18
19-27
18-20
17-26
12-24
23-16
14-19
34-26
25-20
29-17
21-26
14-22
28-25
28-25
25-18
20-25
35-18
28-23
26-16
24-10
179.7Avg total
95.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.389.7177.0-2.333%
Season at home (2)89.592.0181.5-2.550%
Season away (1)83.085.0168.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)95.883.9179.7+11.970%
Last 5 (5)92.884.2177.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)78.091.0169.0-13.00%
vs Similar (1)82.080.0162.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker (27)101.086.4187.3+14.681%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.8+4.8
Crailsheim MerlinsBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/10
BBL
Minsk
#33
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#16
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/10
BBL
Peristeri
#30
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H30/10
BBL
84.4Avg total
41.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.782.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.241.182.3+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.383.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.784.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (12)40.943.584.4-2.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.741.884.5+0.854%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/09
Champions League
Horsens
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H09/10
Basketligaen
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#30
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A23/10
Basketligaen
Minsk
#33
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Copenhagen
#7
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H29/10
Basketligaen
90.2Avg total
49.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.642.291.8+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.942.795.6+10.286%-
Last 30 away (16)46.641.888.4+4.956%-
Last 10 (10)49.940.390.2+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)50.242.692.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (1)35.036.071.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (27)50.442.592.9+8.074%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.917.8
57.6%
52.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.2
38.6%
34.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.515.9
81.5%
73.3%15.9
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.0
55.6%
52.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.9
34.4%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.2%
73.3%11.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWLLWLWLW
Bakken Bears
WWWLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#17
+2.3
Net rating
+7.5
115.7
Offensive rating
114.8
113.5
Defensive rating
107.3
57.8%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.6%
3-point %
34.4%
63.2%
Assist %
54.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 114.8Defence113.5 · 107.3Shooting57.8% · 54.0%3-point %38.6% · 34.4%Ball care19.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.0% · 35.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
13/10/21Bakken Bears v Crailsheim Merlins78-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/21HBasketball Braunschweig92-90 OT
27/10/21APeristeri76-66
23/10/21ABayreuth86-74
20/10/21HMinsk77-81
16/10/21HUlm71-93
13/10/21ABakken Bears91-78
10/10/21ASyntainics MBC111-116 OT
02/10/21HLudwigsburg65-63 OT
28/09/21AOldenburg79-82
25/09/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg111-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/21HCopenhagen113-67
27/10/21HMinsk101-93
23/10/21ATeam FOG Naestved89-85
20/10/21APeristeri83-85
13/10/21HCrailsheim Merlins78-91
09/10/21HHerlev Wolfpack106-69
06/10/21ABears Academy92-73
29/09/21ARanders102-95
23/09/21HHorsens104-89
15/09/21HTreviso90-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game81.377.083.5
Allowed / game75.081.072.0
Point differential+6.3-4.0+11.5
Avg total156.3158.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game87.389.583.0
Allowed / game89.792.085.0
Point differential-2.3-2.5-2.0
Avg total177.0181.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saratov330100%97.775.3+22.3
2 London Lions330100%79.366.3+13.0
3 Legia440100%76.265.2+11.0
4 Bahcesehir Kol.440100%78.271.5+6.8
5 Bayreuth54180%83.275.4+7.8
6 Benfica54180%83.877.2+6.6
7 Sporting CP43175%78.563.0+15.5
8 Reggiana43175%85.074.5+10.5
9 Antwerp Giants43175%75.574.0+1.5
10 Kyiv Basket43175%75.276.8-1.5
11 Parma Perm32167%80.773.0+7.7
12 Crailsheim Merlins32167%81.375.0+6.3
13 Den Bosch32167%72.374.0-1.7
14 FC Porto53260%69.868.6+1.2
15 Mornar Bar42250%82.277.2+5.0
16 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
17 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
18 Rilski Sportist42250%87.286.8+0.5
19 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
20 Ironi Eilat42250%85.885.8+0.0
21 Peristeri42250%79.079.0+0.0
22 Leiden42250%76.578.0-1.5
23 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
24 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
25 Minsk42250%82.885.8-3.0
26 Donar Groningen52340%73.273.8-0.6
27 Trefl Sopot62433%78.076.7+1.3
28 Bakken Bears31233%87.389.7-2.3
29 Iraklis62433%73.877.0-3.2
30 Szolnoki Olaj31233%68.374.0-5.7
31 Basket Zaragoza31233%79.388.7-9.3
32 CSM Oradea41325%68.071.0-3.0
33 Belfius Mons41325%70.076.0-6.0
34 Ionikos41325%71.882.8-11.0
35 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
36 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
37 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
38 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
39 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
40 Opava3030%85.097.3-12.3
41 Kapfenberg Bulls3030%71.085.7-14.7
42 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
43 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
44 Gilboa Galil4040%73.093.2-20.2
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1921221577
Bakken Bears2328102586
← all games of the day
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