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Crailsheim Merlins vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-81
20-25 10-19 31-14 16-23
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Minsk 🏆
Position#33
Record1-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 80
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 80
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 80
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
62avg 80
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
110avg 80
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 80
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
no box
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 80
H16/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
25-29
17-15
11-20
20-25
19-17
19-25
21-16
32-19
22-16
18-21
24-26
16-16
16-24
21-24
19-22
27-24
20-26
36-14
28-20
25-17
15-26
25-25
14-14
19-19
16-14
10-10
8-10
24-33
29-22
25-22
21-22
18-24
27-19
20-18
26-17
21-25
24-21
17-24
9-23
169.4Avg total
84.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.185.3169.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)83.486.4169.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.085.0160.0-10.040%
vs Similar (12)82.885.3168.1-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.384.4176.8+7.967%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
Enisey
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H16/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H21/04
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
109-74
109
74
+35
107avg 65
A25/04
VTB United League
Leiden
#18
W
69-67
69
67
+2
55avg 65
H15/09
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
78-95
78
95
-17
76avg 65
A17/09
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
44-92
44
92
-48
no box
H23/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 65
A02/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
72avg 65
H10/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Saratov
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
63avg 65
A16/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-29
19-19
27-20
20-13
17-16
13-21
15-19
20-25
25-17
32-21
17-24
35-12
15-19
19-12
12-15
23-21
21-30
19-25
13-25
25-15
11-33
6-13
10-28
17-18
18-19
15-20
21-28
33-25
21-24
16-19
20-15
18-20
23-25
26-15
21-16
7-21
11-28
21-21
19-21
28-25
160.7Avg total
76.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.784.0160.7-7.330%
Last 5 (5)74.488.4162.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.286.1156.3-15.99%
vs Similar (7)82.982.7165.6+0.129%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Crailsheim MerlinsMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/10
BBL
86.6Avg total
42.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.984.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.783.3+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.185.8-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.886.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.087.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
vs Similar (12)41.343.284.5-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.741.987.6+3.858%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#11
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H16/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/04
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A25/04
VTB United League
Leiden
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/09
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A17/09
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
17-46
17
46
-29
H23/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Saratov
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A16/10
VTB United League
78.2Avg total
35.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.742.478.1-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.540.475.8-4.929%-
Last 30 away (13)36.045.281.2-9.215%-
Last 10 (10)35.642.678.2-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.477.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.542.977.4-8.417%-
vs Similar (7)39.740.980.6-1.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.217.3
59.2%
52.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.4
38.7%
34.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
73.2%16.2
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
52.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.2
37.6%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.011.1
74.0%
73.2%11.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWLWLWLL
Minsk
LWLLLLWWLL
#7
League position
#33
+1.7
Net rating
-12.9
115.2
Offensive rating
101.5
113.5
Defensive rating
114.3
58.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.7%
3-point %
37.6%
64.6%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 101.5Defence113.5 · 114.3Shooting58.6% · 52.6%3-point %38.7% · 37.6%Ball care20.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds27.2% · 21.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Minsk wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/21HUlm71-93
13/10/21ABakken Bears91-78
10/10/21ASyntainics MBC111-116 OT
02/10/21HLudwigsburg65-63 OT
28/09/21AOldenburg79-82
25/09/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg111-84
25/05/21HBayern72-86
23/05/21HBayern96-82
21/05/21ABayern79-83
19/05/21ABayern66-86
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/21ASaratov79-95
13/10/21HPeristeri87-85 OT
10/10/21HParma Perm75-78
02/10/21ALokomotiv Kuban87-92
23/09/21HCSKA Moscow44-92
17/09/21ATreviso78-95
15/09/21HLeiden69-67
25/04/21AAstana109-74
21/04/21HKhimki M.65-81
16/04/21HEnisey74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Minsk
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parma Perm110100%106.084.0+22.0
2 London Lions110100%79.060.0+19.0
3 Legia220100%79.566.0+13.5
4 Saratov220100%95.582.0+13.5
5 Crailsheim Merlins110100%91.078.0+13.0
6 Bayreuth440100%83.871.5+12.2
7 Antwerp Giants220100%86.078.0+8.0
8 Den Bosch220100%82.577.5+5.0
9 Kyiv Basket220100%77.573.0+4.5
10 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%69.565.5+4.0
11 Minsk110100%87.085.0+2.0
12 Benfica32167%79.076.0+3.0
13 FC Porto32167%71.069.7+1.3
14 Reggiana21150%88.580.5+8.0
15 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
16 Iraklis42250%73.870.5+3.2
17 Mornar Bar21150%77.574.5+3.0
18 Trefl Sopot42250%79.576.5+3.0
19 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
20 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
21 Ironi Eilat21150%86.086.0+0.0
22 Peristeri21150%85.085.0+0.0
23 Szolnoki Olaj21150%73.573.5+0.0
24 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
25 Leiden21150%72.575.0-2.5
26 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
27 Ionikos21150%79.583.5-4.0
28 Basket Zaragoza21150%85.595.0-9.5
29 Donar Groningen41325%69.271.0-1.8
30 Belfius Mons1010%75.078.0-3.0
31 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
32 Sporting CP1010%75.080.0-5.0
33 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
34 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
35 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
36 Bakken Bears2020%80.588.0-7.5
37 Rilski Sportist2020%83.592.0-8.5
38 CSM Oradea1010%66.076.0-10.0
39 Gilboa Galil2020%80.092.0-12.0
40 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
41 Opava2020%83.096.5-13.5
42 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
43 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
44 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
45 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%70.0100.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2010311677
Minsk2519142381
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