PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Crailsheim Merlins vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-68
22-14 10-23 15-22 29-9
Position#14
Record7-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#4
Record12-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyBBLRound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm
27 Apr 2024
CME66
ULM86
18 Mar 2023
CME76
ULM68
16 Oct 2021
CME71
ULM93
29 Dec 2020
CME86
ULM84
29 Dec 2019
CME91
ULM79
18 Apr 2019
CME79
ULM82
18 Oct 2015
CME99
ULM90
06 Dec 2014
CME80
ULM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
69avg 77
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 77
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 77
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 77
A12/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
25-16
12-32
26-27
14-25
13-21
28-18
17-18
18-22
20-23
22-27
16-14
21-18
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
15-21
17-19
22-20
25-26
176.0Avg total
84.1Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.991.6178.5-4.730%
Season at home (10)91.691.7183.3-0.140%
Season away (13)83.391.5174.8-8.223%
Last 10 (10)84.191.9176.0-7.810%
Last 5 (5)82.492.8175.2-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.495.3179.6-10.99%
vs Similar (15)89.889.9179.7-0.147%
vs Weaker (4)91.571.2162.8+20.2100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
107-87
107
87
+20
94avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 76
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 76
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 76
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 76
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
66avg 76
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
81avg 76
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 76
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 76
H11/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
97-85
97
85
+12
92avg 76
H15/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
20-20
37-28
26-14
18-26
26-24
22-16
26-20
23-21
25-12
18-11
14-20
18-13
17-11
26-24
15-34
24-20
20-25
22-25
26-14
20-23
21-19
19-29
17-26
12-20
27-11
20-12
23-19
21-20
18-20
17-24
22-19
24-28
22-25
25-16
23-10
30-26
23-15
19-20
25-24
168.4Avg total
87.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.985.3173.2+2.555%
Season at home (11)91.289.5180.6+1.755%
Season away (11)84.581.2165.7+3.455%
Last 10 (10)87.580.9168.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)85.681.2166.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.591.5173.0-10.017%
vs Similar (7)86.983.9170.7+3.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.984.4174.2+5.576%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Crailsheim MerlinsUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
BBL
89.3Avg total
41.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.944.088.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.042.187.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.045.788.7-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)41.847.589.3-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.288.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.348.188.4-7.818%-
vs Similar (15)45.044.289.2+0.853%-
vs Weaker (4)50.032.282.2+17.8100%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H11/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/03
Eurocup
83.7Avg total
43.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.086.1+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.245.189.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.982.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.483.7+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.882.0-1.750%-
vs Similar (7)44.044.188.1-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.743.086.7+0.747%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.3
54.7%
54.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.3
38.3%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws16.313.5
82.8%
75.8%13.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.4
53.2%
54.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.4
36.2%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.116.7
75.6%
75.8%16.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLLLLLW
Ulm
WWLWLWLWWW
#14
League position
#4
-5.7
Net rating
+9.1
114.8
Offensive rating
115.9
120.5
Defensive rating
106.8
56.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.3%
3-point %
36.2%
58.1%
Assist %
62.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 115.9Defence120.5 · 106.8Shooting56.1% · 53.8%3-point %38.3% · 36.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 32.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
8
Ulm wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ARostock79-86
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97
05/02/23HChemnitz79-82
01/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo76-79
28/01/23AAlba Berlin77-100
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/23HCedevita Olimpija97-85
11/03/23HFrankfurt94-79
08/03/23HPrometey78-83
03/03/23AWurzburg82-62
14/02/23ABamberg77-97
11/02/23HHeidelberg92-84
07/02/23AJoventut Badalona76-82
05/02/23ABayreuth80-64
01/02/23HBursaspor92-86
28/01/23HBamberg107-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %30%40%23%
Points / game86.991.683.3
Allowed / game91.691.791.5
Point differential-4.7-0.1-8.2
Avg total178.5183.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%55%55%
Points / game87.991.284.5
Allowed / game85.389.581.2
Point differential+2.5+1.7+3.4
Avg total173.2180.6165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2321291%90.273.6+16.7
2 Alba Berlin2220291%90.580.0+10.5
3 Bayern2216673%82.076.7+5.3
4 Ludwigsburg2215768%90.285.1+5.1
5 Oldenburg2215768%85.481.9+3.5
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm22121055%87.985.3+2.5
8 Bamberg24121250%87.586.7+0.8
9 Wurzburg24121250%83.784.2-0.6
10 Rostock24121250%84.888.7-3.9
11 Chemnitz21101148%84.383.7+0.6
12 Syntainics MBC2391439%83.688.1-4.5
13 Hamburg2381535%82.685.6-3.0
14 Heidelberg2381535%86.191.2-5.1
15 Crailsheim Merlins2371630%86.991.6-4.7
16 Basketball Braunschweig2361726%78.984.7-5.8
17 Frankfurt2351822%78.887.6-8.8
18 Bayreuth2332013%81.790.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2210152976
Ulm142322968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.