Cremona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 91-73

20-17 26-23 22-17 23-16

Position#10

Record3-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game78.3

Cremona 🏆

Pesaro

Position#15

Record2-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game76.1

Lega ARound 12

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Cremona v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

60-63

-3

A06/10

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

69-78

-9

A14/10

Lega A

Avellino

#11

94-83

+11

H21/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

80-74 OT

A28/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

67-75

-8

H04/11

Lega A

Cantu

60-87

-27

A11/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-78

-19

H19/11

Lega A

Sassari

78-80

-2

A25/11

Lega A

Venezia

92-88

H02/12

Lega A

Siena

68-81

-13

A10/12

Lega A

25-17

17-19

10-14

8-13

16-17

11-22

20-20

22-19

24-25

23-19

24-17

23-22

10-15

16-11

21-15

20-26

19-20

15-20

18-21

15-14

16-18

17-28

9-20

18-21

11-16

14-15

17-25

17-22

25-22

16-21

24-19

13-18

24-26

29-13

19-23

20-26

11-17

17-24

19-18

21-22

151.4Avg total

72.7Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	71.8	78.3	150.1	-6.5	27%
Season at home (5)	75.0	79.6	154.6	-4.6	40%
Season away (6)	69.2	77.2	146.3	-8.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	78.7	151.4	-6.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	82.8	154.2	-11.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	71.9	81.1	153.0	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (19)	72.2	72.5	144.7	-0.3	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	72.3	73.3	145.7	-1.0	33%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

82-78

A06/10

Lega A

Venezia

88-75

+13

H14/10

Lega A

Siena

60-65

-5

A21/10

Lega A

Sassari

90-100

100

-10

H28/10

Lega A

Reggiana

59-71

-12

A04/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

55-72

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Cantu

66-76

-10

H18/11

Lega A

Caserta

#12

63-77

-14

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

58-76

-18

A02/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

70-72

-2

H10/12

Lega A

23-23

27-7

19-22

13-26

23-22

20-18

32-13

13-22

20-19

17-9

15-19

8-18

27-28

21-16

14-27

28-29

18-19

7-19

17-11

17-22

8-13

7-17

20-23

20-19

21-22

15-18

13-19

17-17

14-13

15-20

19-24

15-20

17-19

13-23

14-22

14-12

20-25

24-13

13-14

13-20

145.3Avg total

69.1Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	69.3	76.1	145.4	-6.8	18%
Season at home (6)	74.7	79.2	153.8	-4.5	17%
Season away (5)	62.8	72.4	135.2	-9.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	69.1	76.2	145.3	-7.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	62.4	74.6	137.0	-12.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	72.5	76.4	148.8	-3.9	29%
vs Similar (12)	74.5	74.1	148.6	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	78.0	160.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CremonaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	19.4	35.9	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.5	20.4	35.9	-4.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	21.4	38.2	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.1	34.8	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	16.9	33.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.2	33.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.9	16.4	34.2	+1.5	59%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.6	19.1	35.7	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	7.0	34.0	+20.0	100%	-

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

42-36

A06/10

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

27-39

-12

A14/10

Lega A

Avellino

#11

47-44

H21/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

26-26

A28/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

34-40

-6

H04/11

Lega A

Cantu

33-46

-13

A11/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

25-31

-6

H19/11

Lega A

Sassari

41-43

-2

A25/11

Lega A

Venezia

53-39

+14

H02/12

Lega A

Siena

28-41

-13

A10/12

Lega A

74.1Avg total

35.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.9	36.9	72.8	-1.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	34.9	74.7	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.8	38.6	71.3	-5.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.5	74.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.0	76.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.2	40.6	73.9	-7.4	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	36.3	35.5	71.8	+0.8	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	40.7	35.7	76.3	+5.0	100%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

50-30

+20

A06/10

Lega A

Venezia

43-40

H14/10

Lega A

Siena

37-28

A21/10

Lega A

Sassari

48-44

H28/10

Lega A

Reggiana

25-38

-13

A04/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

15-30

-15

A11/11

Lega A

Cantu

36-40

-4

H18/11

Lega A

Caserta

#12

29-33

-4

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

30-42

-12

A02/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-38

H10/12

Lega A

72.0Avg total

35.7Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	36.8	73.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	37.3	77.6	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	36.2	68.9	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	36.3	72.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	36.6	67.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.2	36.8	72.1	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	30.0	80.0	+20.0	100%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.9	19.1	37.9	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	38.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.6	36.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.4	36.2	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	18.2	34.5	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	16.4	18.3	34.7	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	13.7	17.7	31.3	-4.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	19.3	35.2	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	20.5	36.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.6	33.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.8	38.3	74.1	-2.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.3	38.8	76.2	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	37.8	72.4	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.5	75.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.8	78.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.6	40.5	79.1	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	35.3	37.4	72.7	-2.1	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	31.7	37.7	69.3	-6.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	38.4	75.0	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	37.9	71.8	-4.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	39.9	73.3	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	38.0	69.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.5	39.2	74.6	-3.7	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	48.0	80.0	-16.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cremona wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
09/04/12	Pesaro v Cremona	86-64
18/12/11	Cremona v Pesaro	78-81
03/04/11	Pesaro v Cremona	82-59
12/12/10	Cremona v Pesaro	74-87
03/04/10	Cremona v Pesaro	98-94 OT
06/12/09	Pesaro v Cremona	101-94

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/12	A	Siena	68-81
02/12/12	H	Venezia	92-88
25/11/12	A	Sassari	78-80
19/11/12	H	Olimpia Milano	59-78
11/11/12	A	Cantu	60-87
04/11/12	H	Virtus Roma	67-75
28/10/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	80-74 OT
21/10/12	H	Avellino	94-83
14/10/12	A	Brindisi	69-78
06/10/12	A	Caserta	60-63

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/12	H	Olimpia Milano	70-72
02/12/12	A	Virtus Bologna	58-76
25/11/12	H	Caserta	63-77
18/11/12	H	Cantu	66-76
11/11/12	A	Brindisi	55-72
04/11/12	A	Reggiana	59-71
28/10/12	H	Sassari	90-100
21/10/12	A	Siena	60-65
14/10/12	H	Venezia	88-75
06/10/12	A	Biella	82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	27%
Home	LWLLW	40%
Away	LWLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	27%	40%	17%
Points / game	71.8	75.0	69.2
Allowed / game	78.3	79.6	77.2
Point differential	-6.5	-4.6	-8.0
Avg total	150.1	154.6	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

Pesaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	18%
Home	WLLLL	17%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	18%	17%	20%
Points / game	69.3	74.7	62.8
Allowed / game	76.1	79.2	72.4
Point differential	-6.8	-4.5	-9.6
Avg total	145.4	153.8	135.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	11	10	1	91%	87.5	78.5	+9.0
3	Sassari	12	10	2	83%	86.7	80.9	+5.8
4	Siena	11	9	2	82%	77.1	64.1	+13.0
5	Cantu	11	7	4	64%	76.5	68.3	+8.2
6	Virtus Roma	12	7	5	58%	79.6	76.2	+3.4
7	Olimpia Milano	11	6	5	55%	77.7	76.4	+1.4
8	Virtus Bologna	11	6	5	55%	72.5	71.8	+0.6
9	Brindisi	11	6	5	55%	80.5	80.5	+0.0
10	Reggiana	11	5	6	45%	74.7	72.8	+1.9
11	Caserta	11	5	6	45%	68.0	75.1	-7.1
12	Venezia	11	4	7	36%	76.1	78.0	-1.9
13	Sutor Montegranaro	11	3	8	27%	78.9	84.9	-6.0
14	Cremona	11	3	8	27%	71.8	78.3	-6.5
15	Avellino	11	3	8	27%	77.6	84.6	-7.0
16	Biella	11	3	8	27%	69.2	78.0	-8.8
17	Pesaro	11	2	9	18%	69.3	76.1	-6.8
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cremona	20	26	22	23	91
Pesaro	17	23	17	16	73

← all games of the day

Cremona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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