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Cremona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 92-79
33-26 21-15 20-18 18-20
Position#10
Record9-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.2
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#15
Record4-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.9
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cremona v Pesaro
19 Nov 2023
CRE96
PES69
21 Nov 2021
CRE84
PES88
07 Mar 2021
CRE100
PES78
29 Mar 2020
CRE v PES
upcoming
07 Apr 2019
CRE97
PES64
04 Mar 2018
CRE92
PES79
04 Dec 2016
CRE71
PES73
20 Mar 2016
CRE77
PES72
14 Dec 2014
CRE73
PES80
22 Dec 2013
CRE80
PES82
23 Dec 2012
CRE91
PES73
18 Dec 2011
CRE78
PES81
12 Dec 2010
CRE74
PES87
03 Apr 2010
CRE98
PES94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A02/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H28/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H11/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
A15/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
H17/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
31-9
18-24
27-27
18-18
19-21
25-15
18-13
22-14
22-17
21-26
15-15
21-27
25-23
21-14
28-21
21-23
18-25
25-21
16-13
33-17
24-33
31-27
21-23
13-24
21-11
17-22
14-19
20-17
23-31
19-13
21-24
18-22
14-18
19-13
23-21
22-12
18-28
21-15
19-25
168.4Avg total
86.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.381.2163.4+1.147%
Season at home (9)85.179.8164.9+5.367%
Season away (10)79.782.4162.1-2.730%
Last 10 (10)86.082.4168.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)86.687.0173.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.183.9163.0-4.812%
vs Similar (16)83.281.8165.0+1.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.677.8162.4+6.880%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
26-23
21-18
11-23
8-29
25-14
27-20
18-20
17-17
15-21
13-23
28-31
13-20
18-17
20-15
13-26
15-23
19-17
18-22
19-10
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
164.8Avg total
78.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.783.9160.6-7.221%
Season at home (10)78.382.4160.7-4.130%
Season away (9)75.085.6160.6-10.611%
Last 10 (10)78.086.8164.8-8.810%
Last 5 (5)82.291.4173.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.985.3164.3-6.426%
vs Similar (6)79.282.0161.2-2.833%
vs Weaker (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
CremonaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H28/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/02
Italian Cup
83.2Avg total
41.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.282.5+0.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.739.884.5+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.042.580.5-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.383.2+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.644.585.1-3.912%-
vs Similar (16)41.440.682.0+0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.437.882.2+6.660%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
38.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.781.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.439.577.9-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.884.5-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.981.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.286.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.042.381.3-3.230%-
vs Similar (6)43.340.383.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
73.0%12.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.0
50.6%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.9
33.2%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
73.0%12.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLLWLWWWW
Pesaro
LLLLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#15
+4.7
Net rating
-12.4
108.9
Offensive rating
104.2
104.3
Defensive rating
116.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.9%
3-point %
33.2%
48.2%
Assist %
45.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 104.2Defence104.3 · 116.6Shooting52.3% · 50.3%3-point %36.9% · 33.2%Ball care15.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Cremona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cremona wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
02/04/17Pesaro v Cremona63-73
04/12/16Cremona v Pesaro71-73
20/03/16Cremona v Pesaro77-72
30/11/15Pesaro v Cremona74-86
04/04/15Pesaro v Cremona74-89
14/12/14Cremona v Pesaro73-80
06/04/14Pesaro v Cremona86-91
22/12/13Cremona v Pesaro80-82
14/04/13Pesaro v Cremona88-81
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/18HTorino87-92 OT
15/02/18AAvellino89-82 OT
11/02/18HVenezia83-85
04/02/18APistoia65-76
28/01/18HCantu109-100
22/01/18AOlimpia Milano80-82
14/01/18ACapo d'Orlando95-85
07/01/18HVarese80-72
02/01/18ABrescia80-67
26/12/17HBrindisi92-83
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
07/01/18AVenezia71-72
02/01/18HOlimpia Milano64-78
26/12/17ACantu73-92
17/12/17HAvellino78-83
09/12/17APistoia83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game82.385.179.7
Allowed / game81.279.882.4
Point differential+1.1+5.3-2.7
Avg total163.4164.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game76.778.375.0
Allowed / game83.982.485.6
Point differential-7.2-4.1-10.6
Avg total160.6160.7160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2015575%79.972.3+7.5
2 Venezia2015575%80.278.2+2.1
3 Avellino2014670%84.577.3+7.2
4 Brescia1913668%79.575.3+4.2
5 Torino2012860%80.780.8-0.1
6 Virtus Bologna2011955%79.475.9+3.5
7 Sassari20101050%84.282.0+2.1
8 Trento20101050%77.977.3+0.6
9 Cantu20101050%86.887.4-0.6
10 Cremona1991047%82.381.2+1.1
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese2081240%77.775.4+2.2
13 Pistoia2071335%74.880.0-5.2
14 Brindisi1961332%77.180.3-3.2
15 Capo d'Orlando2051525%68.782.2-13.4
16 Pesaro1941521%76.783.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona3321201892
Pesaro2615182079
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