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Cremona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 71-73
22-29 23-12 13-15 13-17
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game82.1
Cremona
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.7
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Cremona v Pesaro
19 Nov 2023
CRE96
PES69
21 Nov 2021
CRE84
PES88
07 Mar 2021
CRE100
PES78
29 Mar 2020
CRE v PES
upcoming
07 Apr 2019
CRE97
PES64
04 Mar 2018
CRE92
PES79
04 Dec 2016
CRE71
PES73
20 Mar 2016
CRE77
PES72
14 Dec 2014
CRE73
PES80
22 Dec 2013
CRE80
PES82
23 Dec 2012
CRE91
PES73
18 Dec 2011
CRE78
PES81
12 Dec 2010
CRE74
PES87
03 Apr 2010
CRE98
PES94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
87-109
87
109
-22
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pistoia
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H03/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A09/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H16/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A23/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H07/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A13/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
24-21
9-27
26-32
26-21
25-12
20-11
16-23
19-20
22-28
27-20
9-22
19-13
25-19
14-32
24-31
18-22
12-26
22-11
22-15
18-25
16-18
21-19
18-19
17-16
16-22
19-11
17-35
18-21
10-10
20-25
28-23
17-24
21-15
15-12
19-25
19-25
20-10
21-26
23-21
163.6Avg total
78.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.982.1160.0-4.222%
Season at home (4)77.580.5158.0-3.025%
Season away (5)78.283.4161.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.884.8163.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)74.680.4155.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.483.6155.0-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.978.2155.1-1.247%
vs Weaker (4)67.567.2134.8+0.250%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#15
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A09/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A16/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H23/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
21-20
18-24
15-22
20-14
19-9
12-18
25-22
19-21
21-20
21-12
18-30
25-23
15-18
10-20
18-16
15-14
13-13
10-18
17-15
18-24
9-21
20-23
12-18
17-14
24-22
16-22
27-20
13-17
17-21
24-20
29-29
26-23
13-25
21-8
20-31
22-23
15-19
19-14
17-22
150.5Avg total
72.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.077.7150.7-4.722%
Season at home (5)74.273.2147.4+1.040%
Season away (4)71.583.2154.8-11.80%
Last 10 (10)72.378.2150.5-5.920%
Last 5 (5)75.883.2159.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.579.6157.1-2.245%
vs Similar ◀ (19)74.976.3151.2-1.437%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
CremonaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pistoia
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H03/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A09/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H16/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H07/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/11
Lega A
78.7Avg total
39.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.374.4-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.835.572.3+1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.176.5-5.627%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.778.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.271.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.244.279.4-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.236.974.1+0.342%-
vs Weaker (4)29.037.066.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A16/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/11
Lega A
73.2Avg total
35.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.076.4+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.537.175.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.177.4-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)35.437.873.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.876.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.539.877.4-2.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.936.975.9+2.042%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.5
51.2%
51.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.2
33.3%
35.7%24.8
🏀 Free throws17.614.4
81.6%
74.0%14.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.2
50.5%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.1
29.7%
35.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.3%
74.0%9.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLLLLLLWL
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLWL
#16
League position
#15
-7.7
Net rating
-5.4
101.6
Offensive rating
98.7
109.3
Defensive rating
104.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.3%
3-point %
29.7%
55.6%
Assist %
43.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 98.7Defence109.3 · 104.1Shooting50.7% · 48.6%3-point %33.3% · 29.7%Ball care19.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cremona wins
5
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
20/03/16Cremona v Pesaro77-72
30/11/15Pesaro v Cremona74-86
04/04/15Pesaro v Cremona74-89
14/12/14Cremona v Pesaro73-80
06/04/14Pesaro v Cremona86-91
22/12/13Cremona v Pesaro80-82
14/04/13Pesaro v Cremona88-81
23/12/12Cremona v Pesaro91-73
09/04/12Pesaro v Cremona86-64
18/12/11Cremona v Pesaro78-81
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/16ASassari83-82
20/11/16HOlimpia Milano72-76
13/11/16ACapo d'Orlando76-79
07/11/16HBrindisi69-84
30/10/16AVenezia73-81
23/10/16ATorino82-85 OT
16/10/16HCaserta82-95
09/10/16ATrento77-90
03/10/16HPistoia87-67
24/09/16AOlimpia Milano87-109
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/16HTrento73-78
20/11/16AReggiana80-87
13/11/16HVarese83-87
06/11/16HVenezia84-78
30/10/16ASassari59-86
23/10/16HAvellino55-60
16/10/16ACantu68-77
09/10/16ATorino79-83
02/10/16HBrescia76-63
04/05/16ATorino66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game77.977.578.2
Allowed / game82.180.583.4
Point differential-4.2-3.0-5.2
Avg total160.0158.0161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game73.074.271.5
Allowed / game77.773.283.2
Point differential-4.7+1.0-11.8
Avg total150.7147.4154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano990100%88.977.0+11.9
2 Reggiana97278%84.880.7+4.1
3 Avellino107370%79.175.7+3.4
4 Venezia107370%82.580.1+2.4
5 Caserta96367%83.483.1+0.3
6 Capo d'Orlando95456%80.877.4+3.3
7 Sassari94544%78.676.9+1.7
8 Brindisi94544%80.780.0+0.7
9 Trento94544%76.175.6+0.6
10 Torino94544%84.184.9-0.8
11 Brescia94544%79.882.9-3.1
12 Pistoia93633%74.379.3-5.0
13 Varese103730%77.681.3-3.7
14 Cantu103730%77.884.2-6.4
15 Cremona92722%77.982.1-4.2
16 Pesaro92722%73.077.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2223131371
Pesaro2912151773
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